130 Chartleigh Cir · Canton, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 73.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- ARV discount +12.7/15.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Come see this home just put on the market in the highly sought after neighborhood of Yandell Farms. Located in the Germantown school district of Madison County. This 3/2 split plan is ready for its new owner! Fully fenced in backyard for your pets and privacy!
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2021
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $5 ($59/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (12.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $232k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 5.1% in Canton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#229 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Madison County School District (rural): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #3 of 130 in MS (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Madison Crossing Elementary (math 52% / reading 55%, grade C, #49 of 375 statewide, top 13%, 775 students, 100% FRL); Germantown Middle School (math 55% / reading 58%, grade B, #14 of 179 statewide, top 7%, 1,008 students, 100% FRL); Germantown High School (math 34% / reading 41%, grade F, #59 of 197 statewide, top 30%, 1,396 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 29% district-wide (70 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 417 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 553 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,324/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($249k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.08%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $299,726
- List price
- $265,000
- Delta
- -11.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 266 Chartleigh Cir | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,506 (+0%) | 2mo | $290,000 | $193 | 87 |
| 107 Kings Xing | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,520 (+1%) | 5mo | $265,000 | $174 | 85 |
| 109 Brunswick Cv | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,531 (+2%) | 0mo | $282,000 | $184 | 84 |
| 126 Bailey Cv | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,530 (+2%) | 2mo | $285,900 | $187 | 84 |
| 109 Allie Ln | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,552 (+4%) | 3mo | $279,500 | $180 | 78 |
| 103 Brunswick Cv | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,569 (+5%) | 5mo | $279,900 | $178 | 74 |
| 146 Allie Ln | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,565 (+4%) | 3mo | $282,500 | $181 | 74 |
| 170 Chartleigh Cir | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,695 (+13%) | 2mo | $299,999 | $177 | 74 |
| 151 Notting Hill Pl | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,588 (+6%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $157 | 72 |
| 117 Bailey Cv | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,677 (+12%) | 6mo | $299,999 | $179 | 63 |
| 712 Honeysuckle Loop | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,706 (+14%) | 5mo | $314,900 | $185 | 56 |
| 104 Bridge Hollow Ln | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,672 (+12%) | 5mo | $279,000 | $167 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-42,591
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- -7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-36,539
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 8 active · 15 under contract
- Months of supply
- 2.8 mo (35%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $288,650 ($183/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 145 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +9.2% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 39046
- Home prices YoY
- -30.1%
- Active inventory
- 417
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,324 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$331 /mo · $3,975/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$488
- Net cashflow
- $5
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $188 | -5% $97 | +0% $5 | +5% $-87 | +10% $-178 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-179 | -5% $-87 | +0% $5 | +5% $97 | +10% $189 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $138 | -0.5pp $72 | base $5 | +0.5pp $-64 | +1.0pp $-134 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 Trailbridge Crossing Canton, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $2,500 | $1.43 | 63d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 104 Moss Crk Canton, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $2,156 | $1.51 | 93d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 102 Moss Crk Canton, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $2,253 | $1.50 | 72d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 161 Harvey Crossing Canton, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1687 | $2,350 | $1.39 | 93d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking
- 2-car garageGarage door opener
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity connectedNatural gas availableCable availableFiber to the houseSewer connectedWater available
- Home design
- Single-family houseOne level
- Construction
- Brick constructionAsphalt roofSlab foundationBuilt by builder
- Exterior features
- Private yard
Interior
- Kitchen
- Free-standing refrigeratorGas cooktop
- Flooring
- Concrete floors
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioningGas cooling
- Interior features
- Soaking tubFireplace
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $265,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $265,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $265,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $265,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $265,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $265,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $265,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $265,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $265,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $265,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $265,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $265,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $265,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $265,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $265,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $265,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $265,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-07-14pricedays on market $265,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $270,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $270,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $270,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $270,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $270,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $270,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $270,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $270,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $270,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $270,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $270,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $270,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $270,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $270,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $270,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $270,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $270,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $270,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $270,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $270,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $270,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $270,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $270,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $270,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $280,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $280,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $280,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $280,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $280,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $280,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $280,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $280,000 Active 14 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,893
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$3,975
- − Insurance
- −$1,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,231
- − Management
- −$2,231
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable loss
- −$4,423
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,061
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,121/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 16 photos
This home is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and interior aesthetics. It is ready for its new owner and can be easily improved to increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property. ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Modern flooring can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by attracting tech-savvy buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802790
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,579
- Composite
- 48.08/100
- National rank
- #2188
- State rank
- #3 of 130 in MS
Livability — Canton
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #229
- US rank
- #19396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Madison · 122,509 people
- City population
- 29,160
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,160
- Household income
- $48,288
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14% of renters
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,509 people
- By 2030
- 131,737 · +7.5%
- By 2040
- 148,930 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 164,300 · +34.1%
- By 2075
- 197,495 · +61.2%
- By 2100
- 211,429 · +72.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.3) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.7pp toward R · 2008: -15.6pp · 2024: -17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.3 2020: R+11.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.50%
- Current HPI
- 154.0441
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-5.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-14 Price Changed $265,000 MLSU
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $270,000 MLSU
- 2026-05-19 Listed $280,000 MLSU
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…