1034 W Roselawn Dr · West Memphis, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.7/30.0
- ARV discount +11.6/15.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$194,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Back on market at no fault of the home or seller. Transferable Lifetime Olshan Warranty in place. Repairs completed. FHA appraisal completed at $203k. Fresh paint, fresh carpet! Brand new range. Move-in ready. Nice home in Richland with large fenced back yard. Large 2 car carport with storage area. Plenty of driveway parking. Double gate to back yard. Primary bedroom features a large walk-in closet.
Key facts
- Fenced back yard
- Double gate
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2 covered spaces; Attached carport; Driveway; 2-car garage; 2 carport spaces; Open parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Brick veneer and wood siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built as a residential single-family home
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Wood fencing; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Electric oven; Gas water heater
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Fireplace (1)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-22 ($-266/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (2.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (23.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (23.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#413 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- West Memphis School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 238 in AR (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Richland Elementary School (math 43% / reading 22%, grade F, #277 of 454 statewide, top 61%, 528 students, 100% FRL); West Junior High School (math 19% / reading 25%, grade F, #175 of 201 statewide, top 88%, 507 students, 100% FRL); The Academies of West Memphis Charter School (math 7% / reading 22%, grade F, #265 of 292 statewide, top 91%, 952 students, 100% FRL, charter) — zoned schools at 100% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $88k; list at $195k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.49%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $214,300
- List price
- $194,900
- Delta
- -9.05%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1010 Arlington Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,467 (+1%) | 3mo | $239,000 | $163 | 88 |
| 908 Roselawn Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,442 (-1%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $62 | 84 |
| 1010 Clement Rd | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,510 (+4%) | 8mo | $235,000 | $156 | 83 |
| 1312 Baywood Cir | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,448 (-0%) | 7mo | $230,000 | $159 | 70 |
| 813 Pryor Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,581 (+9%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $111 | 64 |
| 906 N Roselawn Dr | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,560 (+7%) | 8mo | $187,900 | $120 | 63 |
| 1502 Balfour Rd | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-8%) | 7mo | $192,000 | $143 | 62 |
| 1108 N Rich Rd | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,335 (-8%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $142 | 61 |
| 1301 Crestmere St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,283 (-12%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $144 | 61 |
| 618 S Roselawn | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,537 (+6%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $91 | 60 |
| 714 Baylor Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,285 (-12%) | 1mo | $169,900 | $132 | 50 |
| 814 Briarcliff Rd | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,242 (-15%) | 3mo | $168,000 | $135 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-33,058
- Equity at exit
- $29,060
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-30,861
- Equity at exit
- $16,851
Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72301
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,022
- Tax from tax record
- −$104 /mo · $1,247/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $-22
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $88 | -5% $33 | +0% $-22 | +5% $-77 | +10% $-133 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-141 | -5% $-81 | +0% $-22 | +5% $37 | +10% $96 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $76 | -0.5pp $27 | base $-22 | +0.5pp $-73 | +1.0pp $-124 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,725
- Closing costs
- $5,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 911 N Avalon St Unit Future applicants West Memphis, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1057 | $1,500 | $1.42 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $194,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $194,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $194,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $194,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $194,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $194,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 403-char remark
-
2026-06-10days on market $194,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $194,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $194,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $194,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $194,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $194,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $194,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $194,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-04status Pending 235-char remark
-
2026-04-27$194,900 Active 235-char remark
-
1996-10-25soldstatus $88,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,247 · $104/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,247 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1/yr ($0/mo · 0.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,917
- − Property taxes
- −$1,247
- − Insurance
- −$974
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,440
- − Management
- −$1,440
- − Depreciation
- −$5,670
- Taxable loss
- −$3,688
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$885
- After-tax cash flow
- $619/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Memphis School District
- NCES district ID
- 0508040
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,382
- Composite
- 12.22/100
- National rank
- #9647
- State rank
- #224 of 238 in AR
Livability — West Memphis
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #413
- US rank
- #23638
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Memphis, AR
- City population
- 24,182
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,182
Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,254 people
- By 2030
- 42,953 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 38,235 · -15.5%
- By 2050
- 33,670 · -25.6%
- By 2075
- 24,315 · -46.3%
- By 2100
- 17,173 · -62.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 47.9% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.7pp · 2024: 2.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.3 2020: D+7.2 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+14.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.63%
- Current HPI
- 182.7665
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+121.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Relisted — EARA
- 2026-05-04 Pending — EARA
- 2026-04-27 Listed $194,900 EARA
- 1996-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,247 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…