2531 S 1st St · Terre Haute, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$104,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Calling all investors! This versatile home features four bedrooms and two kitchens with separate entrances, making it ideal for duplex living. Enjoy the convenience of being near restaurants, shopping, and entertainment. Seize this opportunity to make a smart investment today!
Key facts
- Two kitchens
- Near shopping
- Near restaurants
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $327 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.7% in Terre Haute — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#63 in IN, #4,186 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
- Vigo County School Corporation (urban): math 32% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #202 of 301 in IN (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 60 units permitted in Vigo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Vigo County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 279 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $105k implies a 250% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 279 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.35%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $115,561
- List price
- $104,900
- Delta
- -9.23%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2427 Arleth Street St | 0.10mi | 4/1.5 | 1,316 (-9%) | 6mo | $145,500 | $111 | 75 |
| 2815 S 9 1/2 St St | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,380 (-5%) | 5mo | $112,000 | $81 | 55 |
| 2605 S 10th St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,336 (-8%) | 3mo | $156,000 | $117 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,462
- Equity at exit
- $15,641
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $18,777
- Equity at exit
- $9,070
Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47802
- Home prices YoY
- -26.8%
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 187
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,361 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$550
- Tax from tax record
- −$154 /mo · $1,853/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$286
- Net cashflow
- $327
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,225
- Closing costs
- $3,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1201 S 7th St Unit 3 Terre Haute, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $925 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $104,900 Active 279 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $104,900 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $104,900 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $104,900 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $104,900 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $104,900 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $104,900 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $104,900 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $104,900 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $104,900 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $104,900 Active 267 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $104,900 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $104,900 Active 262 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $104,900 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $104,900 Active 260 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $104,900 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-04-10status Active 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
Calling all investors! This versatile home features four bedrooms and two kitchens with separate entrances, making it ideal for duplex living. Enjoy the convenience of being near restaurants, shopping, and entertainment. Seize this opportunity to make a smart investment today!
-
2026-02-18status Pending 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
Calling all investors! This versatile home features four bedrooms and two kitchens with separate entrances, making it ideal for duplex living. Enjoy the convenience of being near restaurants, shopping, and entertainment. Seize this opportunity to make a smart investment today!
-
2025-11-24price $104,900 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
Calling all investors! This versatile home features four bedrooms and two kitchens with separate entrances, making it ideal for duplex living. Enjoy the convenience of being near restaurants, shopping, and entertainment. Seize this opportunity to make a smart investment today!
-
2025-10-08price $115,000 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
Calling all investors! This versatile home features four bedrooms and two kitchens with separate entrances, making it ideal for duplex living. Enjoy the convenience of being near restaurants, shopping, and entertainment. Seize this opportunity to make a smart investment today!
-
2025-08-07status Active 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
Calling all investors! This versatile home features four bedrooms and two kitchens with separate entrances, making it ideal for duplex living. Enjoy the convenience of being near restaurants, shopping, and entertainment. Seize this opportunity to make a smart investment today!
-
2025-07-28status Pending 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
Calling all investors! This versatile home features four bedrooms and two kitchens with separate entrances, making it ideal for duplex living. Enjoy the convenience of being near restaurants, shopping, and entertainment. Seize this opportunity to make a smart investment today!
-
2025-07-14$129,000 Active 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
Calling all investors! This versatile home features four bedrooms and two kitchens with separate entrances, making it ideal for duplex living. Enjoy the convenience of being near restaurants, shopping, and entertainment. Seize this opportunity to make a smart investment today!
-
2023-05-05status Pending
-
2023-04-10price $124,900
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2023-03-20$129,900 Active
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2020-04-15soldstatus $30,000
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2020-02-26$35,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,853 · $154/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,853 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,328
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,876
- − Property taxes
- −$1,853
- − Insurance
- −$524
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,306
- − Management
- −$1,306
- − Depreciation
- −$3,052
- Taxable income
- $2,410
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$578
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,342/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vigo County School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1812090
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,100
- Composite
- 28.97/100
- National rank
- #6625
- State rank
- #202 of 301 in IN
Livability — Terre Haute
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #4186
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Terre Haute, IN
- County
- Vigo County · 91,193 people
- City population
- 91,193
- Metro
- Terre Haute, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,135
- Household income
- $57,395
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1102.0
Population outlook (Vigo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,366 people
- By 2030
- 105,674 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 103,731 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 101,200 · -4.9%
- By 2075
- 95,674 · -10.1%
- By 2100
- 85,910 · -19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vigo
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.1) · D 40.0% · R 58.1% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.8pp · 2024: -18.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.1 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+15.2 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.05%
- Current HPI
- 183.0194
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.23%
- Metro
- Terre Haute, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+192.2% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Relisted — THAAR
- 2026-02-18 Pending — THAAR
- 2025-11-24 Price Changed $104,900 THAAR
- 2025-10-08 Price Changed $115,000 THAAR
- 2025-08-07 Relisted — THAAR
- 2025-07-28 Pending — THAAR
- 2025-07-14 Listed $129,000 THAAR
- 2023-05-05 Pending — THAAR
- 2023-04-10 Price Changed $124,900 THAAR
- 2023-03-20 Listed $129,900 THAAR
- 2020-04-15 Sold (MLS) $30,000 THAAR
- 2020-02-26 Listed $35,900 THAAR
Property tax history
+79.4%/yrLatest (2024): $1,853 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…