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None 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 73.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

None · Cahokia Heights, IL 62206
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1950 0.32 ac lot $59/sqft · 26% below area Est $87k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover a unique opportunity at 1921 Camp Jackson RD, Cahokia IL 62206, a single-family residence built in 1950. This property offers a chance to embrace a distinctive lifestyle in a home with established character. Envision your future at this address and schedule a private showing to experience its full potential. This is a perfect investment opportunity already producing rental income with a long term tenant in place. Great for a seasoned investor, or someone looking to get started on their portfolio.

Key facts

  • 0.32 acre lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 43 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-grade finished area: 1,100 (source: public records); Property type: Residential — Single Family Residence; Ownership type: Private; No pool; No other structures; Green feature: Insulation
  • Financial info: Lease not considered
  • HOA & community: No community features listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Security: Fire alarm
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Ameren electric; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Private ownership; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Entry steps/stairs; Level lot; Other lot features

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Insulated windows; Unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $65,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$87,290) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $645 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 13.3% in Cahokia Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Cahokia High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #614 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 845 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 85% district-wide (85 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 152 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,386/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,050 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.13%
Cap rate
18.21%
Cash-on-cash
42.55%
DSCR
2.89
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$87,290
List price
$65,000
Delta
-25.54%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1851 Camp Jackson Rd 0.10mi 3/1.5 1,200 (+9%) 10mo $117,000 $98 70
20 Melvin Dr 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,105 (+0%) 12mo $105,000 $95 57
21 Westwood Dr 0.64mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,100 (0%) 12mo $56,000 $51 51
20 Leonard Dr 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 975 (-11%) 0mo $110,000 $113 50
2 Margie Dr 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (+5%) 8mo $110,000 $95 50
1700 Theodore Ln 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,216 (+10%) 6mo $50,000 $41 46
19 Leonard Dr 0.55mi 3/1.0 936 (-15%) 1mo $59,000 $63 45
1808 Mullens Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 992 (-10%) 6mo $105,000 $106 43
1764 Parklane Dr 0.45mi 3/1.0 936 (-15%) 9mo $99,000 $106 42
11 Westwood Dr 0.59mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,225 (+11%) 6mo $110,000 $90 39
1735 Parklane Dr 0.58mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,248 (+14%) 6mo $110,000 $88 37
1710 Parklane Dr 0.72mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,225 (+11%) 5mo $110,000 $90 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.3%
Equity multiple
2.68×
Total profit
$30,592
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
45.7%
Equity multiple
5.38×
Total profit
$79,653
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62206

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Active inventory
152
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,386 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$291
Net cashflow
$645

Break-even live

Break-even rent $569
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $690 -5% $668 +0% $645 +5% $623 +10% $600
Rent -10% $536 -5% $591 +0% $645 +5% $700 +10% $755
Rate -1.0pp $678 -0.5pp $662 base $645 +0.5pp $629 +1.0pp $611

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2008 Delores St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,250 $1.35 5d 1 0.20mi
2116 Doris Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 880 $1,400 $1.59 23d 1 0.22mi
2 E Adams Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $885 $0.96 45d 1 0.56mi
13 Drexel Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $995 $1.08 13d 1 0.61mi
102 Melvin Dr Unit 34 Sauget, IL 4.0 1.0 1352 $1,700 $1.26 9d 1 0.65mi
32 Drexel Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1362 $1,675 $1.23 0d 1 0.67mi
1808 Mullens Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 992 $1,500 $1.51 4d 1 0.67mi
70 W Adams Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,200 $1.30 45d 1 0.68mi
1710 Parklane Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1225 $1,395 $1.14 45d 1 0.74mi
1421 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,100 $1.18 3d 1 0.78mi
1706 Andrews Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 925 $1,320 $1.43 25d 1 0.79mi
1420 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,500 $1.15 45d 1 0.80mi
1417 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,400 $1.50 23d 1 0.81mi
1614 Parklane Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1152 $1,400 $1.22 25d 1 0.81mi
1716 # E Unit Loretta Ave unit East St Louis, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,000 $1.39 45d 1 0.85mi
1713 Loretta Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 944 $1,095 $1.16 45d 1 0.87mi
1405 Williams St Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 45d 1 0.88mi
2231 Loren St Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 45d 1 0.91mi
13 Marilyn Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 995 $1,150 $1.16 45d 1 0.95mi
1312 Saint Raphael St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1280 $1,500 $1.17 45d 1 1.01mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 17d 1 1.02mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 16d 1 1.02mi
8 Louise Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,275 $1.11 18d 1 1.09mi
1220 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 876 $1,500 $1.71 16d 1 1.13mi
6 Delores Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,300 $1.50 25d 1 1.14mi
6 Delores Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,300 $1.50 13d 1 1.14mi
21 Agnes Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,050 $1.22 23d 1 1.18mi
302 Saint Leonard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1155 $1,300 $1.13 45d 1 1.19mi
818 La Salle Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1106 $1,300 $1.18 25d 1 1.37mi
1109 Saint Helena Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 825 $1,400 $1.70 4d 1 1.40mi
1162 Smith St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,295 $1.31 23d 1 1.43mi
850 Saint Bartholomew Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,285 $1.22 0d 1 1.46mi
850 Saint Bartholomew Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,285 $1.22 17d 1 1.46mi
819 Mildred Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,250 $1.34 23d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $65,000 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $65,000 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 23 DOM
  16. 2026-05-09
    listed $65,000 Active 510-char remark
  17. 2026-05-08
    historical $65,000 510-char remark
  18. 2022-11-02
    soldstatus $141,000
  19. 2016-05-06
    soldstatus $45,000
  20. 2016-05-06
    soldstatus $177,500
  21. 1990-04-03
    soldstatus $42,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,626
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,330
− Management
−$1,330
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$7,134
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,712
After-tax cash flow
$6,032/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cahokia CUSD 187
NCES district ID
1708040
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
5% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$28,028
Composite
6.44/100
National rank
#14827
State rank
#864 of 919 in IL

Livability — Cahokia Heights

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Cahokia Heights, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
19,956
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
12,959
Household income
$33,838
Rent vs Own
44.5% rent · 55.5% own
Severe rent burden
729.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.26%
Current HPI
131.5144
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+52.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $65,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Coming Soon $65,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $141,000 Public Records
  • 2016-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $177,500 Public Records
  • 2016-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 1990-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-27.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $44 · -97.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…