60 Webb Ave · North Patchogue, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.7/30.0
- Schools +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$425,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 60 Webb Avenue in Patchogue, NY—a charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch-style home situated on a quarter-acre lot. This fixer-upper offers immense potential—ideal for investors or end-users with a vision. The home features a full, finished basement with a separate outside entrance, offering flexibility for extended family, additional living space or rental potential. Enjoy proximity to top-rated schools, local shops, playgrounds, and easy access to transportation. Bring your creativity—this home is ready to become your dream property! The home does need work!!!
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- 4 parking spots
- Built 1982
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $425k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-283 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $375k (11.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $382k (10.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $375k (11.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#817 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Patchogue-Medford Union Free School District (suburban): math 83% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #73 of 590 in NY (top 12%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Canaan Elementary School (math 30% / reading 75%, grade C-, #984 of 2,108 statewide, top 47%, 518 students, 36% FRL); Saxton Middle School (math 70%, 495 students, 49% FRL); Patchogue-Medford High School (math 89% / reading 67%, grade A-, #577 of 1,100 statewide, top 52%, 2,443 students, 53% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 216 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($105k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($419k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $135k; list at $425k implies a 215% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.85%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $710,028
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 Lyman Ave | 0.04mi | 3/3.0 | 2,052 (+5%) | 13mo | $755,000 | $368 | 75 |
| 19 Fairmont Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,820 (-7%) | 3mo | $660,000 | $363 | 60 |
| 38 Hayward St | 0.63mi | 3/3.0 | 1,937 (-1%) | 8mo | $575,000 | $297 | 58 |
| 511 Old North Ocean Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,776 (-9%) | 1mo | $630,000 | $355 | 53 |
| 40 Fry Blvd | 0.29mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,200 (+12%) | 12mo | $665,000 | $302 | 49 |
| 14 Putnam Ave | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,700 (-13%) | 23mo | $580,000 | $341 | 44 |
| 9 W Woodside Ct | 0.42mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,750 (-10%) | 13mo | $525,000 | $300 | 43 |
| 3 Sandie Ct | 0.37mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,744 (-11%) | 20mo | $660,000 | $378 | 41 |
| 22 Howell St | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 | 1,758 (-10%) | 9mo | $625,000 | $356 | 41 |
| 145 Arlington St | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,850 (-5%) | 19mo | $685,000 | $370 | 38 |
| 96 5th Ave | 0.73mi | 3/3.0 | 1,678 (-14%) | 3mo | $700,000 | $417 | 36 |
| 475 Old North Ocean Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (-13%) | 13mo | $650,000 | $382 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-78,485
- Equity at exit
- $63,369
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-55,644
- Equity at exit
- $36,746
Cash invested: $119,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11772
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 216
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,820 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,229
- Tax from tax record
- −$894 /mo · $10,734/yr
- Insurance
- −$177
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$802
- Net cashflow
- $-283
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $106,250
- Closing costs
- $12,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 143 N Summit Ave Patchogue, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $4,800 | $3.43 | 1d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-04status Pending
-
2026-03-18$425,000 Active
-
1989-06-08soldstatus $135,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $10,734 · $894/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,734 · $894/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,834
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,807
- − Property taxes
- −$10,734
- − Insurance
- −$2,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,667
- − Management
- −$3,667
- − Depreciation
- −$12,364
- Taxable loss
- −$10,528
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,527
- After-tax cash flow
- $-868/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Patchogue-Medford Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3622470
- Math proficiency
- 83% ▲ 27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▲ 15.00%
- Median HH income
- $75,120
- Composite
- 66.81/100
- National rank
- #405
- State rank
- #73 of 590 in NY
Livability — North Patchogue
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #817
- US rank
- #15796
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Patchogue, NY
- County
- Suffolk County · 679,920 people
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,023
- Household income
- $105,245
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1595.0
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,505,262 people
- By 2030
- 1,498,318 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,471,101 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 1,424,848 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 1,337,157 · -11.2%
- By 2100
- 1,217,720 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -578.02%
- Current HPI
- 375.1174
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.07%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+214.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-04 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-18 Listed $425,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1989-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $10,734 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…