🏗️ New Construction
Wendell IV G Plan · Carencro, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.2/30.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$214,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Open Floor Plan Three Bedroom, Two Bathroom Two Car Garage Brick and siding Covered patio Recessed lighting Single master vanity Walk-in master closet Optional Fireplace
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Listed 857 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-339 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $199k (7.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (18.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $174k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#65 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D, amenities F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: J. Wallace James Elementary School (math 46% / reading 49%, grade D, #147 of 646 statewide, top 23%, 939 students, 64% FRL); Carencro Middle School (math 18% / reading 28%, grade F, #145 of 218 statewide, top 69%, 665 students, 75% FRL); Carencro High School (math 30% / reading 29%, grade F, #127 of 265 statewide, top 49%, 1,096 students, 69% FRL).
- Market conditions: 281 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 857 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 857 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.85%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 11.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $248,386
- List price
- $214,990
- Delta
- -13.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405 Auburn Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,345 (-1%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $100 | 85 |
| 214 Hester Way | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,283 (-6%) | 3mo | $210,700 | $164 | 84 |
| 209 Cainwood Ct | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,321 (-3%) | 3mo | $210,787 | $160 | 80 |
| 211 Cainwood Ct | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,422 (+4%) | 2mo | $220,177 | $155 | 78 |
| 215 Hester Way | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,225 (-10%) | 3mo | $207,775 | $170 | 78 |
| 102 Linares St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,427 (+5%) | 2mo | $162,000 | $114 | 76 |
| 129 Bradford Dr | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,362 (-0%) | 3mo | $72,800 | $53 | 75 |
| 902 Pelican Ridge Cv | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,410 (+3%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $142 | 71 |
| 103 Island Nest Cv | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,495 (+10%) | 4mo | $219,900 | $147 | 69 |
| 104 White Stripe Cv | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,478 (+8%) | 2mo | $217,500 | $147 | 66 |
| 103 Linares St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,500 (+10%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $63 | 62 |
| 104 Meadowvale Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,526 (+12%) | 5mo | $205,000 | $134 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-61,811
- Equity at exit
- $37,035
- IRR
- -23.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.17×
- Total profit
- $-81,515
- Equity at exit
- $21,476
Cash invested: $69,548 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70520
- Home prices YoY
- -17.6%
- Active inventory
- 281
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,744 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,303
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$310 /mo · $3,726/yr
- Insurance
- −$103
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$366
- Net cashflow
- $-339
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-167 | -5% $-253 | +0% $-339 | +5% $-425 | +10% $-511 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-477 | -5% $-408 | +0% $-339 | +5% $-270 | +10% $-201 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-214 | -0.5pp $-276 | base $-339 | +0.5pp $-403 | +1.0pp $-469 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,096
- Closing costs
- $7,452
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219 Oak Path Dr Carencro, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1615 | $1,900 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 124 Saint Fabian Dr Carencro, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,700 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 124 Saint Fabian Dr Carencro, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $1,650 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 115 Northpointe Dr Carencro, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $1,650 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $214,990 Active 857 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $214,990 Active 854 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $214,990 Active 853 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $214,990 Active 852 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $214,990 Active 851 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $214,990 Active 849 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $214,990 Active 848 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $214,990 Active 846 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $214,990 Active 845 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $214,990 Active 844 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $214,990 Active 843 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $214,990 Active 840 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $214,990 Active 839 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $214,990 Active 838 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $214,990 Active 837 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $214,990 Active 836 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $214,990 Active 835 DOM
-
2026-02-08status Active 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (171 chars)
Open Floor Plan Three Bedroom, Two Bathroom Two Car Garage Brick and siding Covered patio Recessed lighting Single master vanity Walk-in master closet Optional Fireplace
-
2026-02-07historical 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (171 chars)
Open Floor Plan Three Bedroom, Two Bathroom Two Car Garage Brick and siding Covered patio Recessed lighting Single master vanity Walk-in master closet Optional Fireplace
-
2024-02-14$214,990 Active 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (171 chars)
Open Floor Plan Three Bedroom, Two Bathroom Two Car Garage Brick and siding Covered patio Recessed lighting Single master vanity Walk-in master closet Optional Fireplace
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,925
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,913
- − Property taxes
- −$3,726
- − Insurance
- −$1,242
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,674
- − Management
- −$1,674
- − Depreciation
- −$7,226
- Taxable loss
- −$8,530
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,047
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,020/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including landscaping, fencing, and potential roof work, to become move-in ready and attract buyers or renters.
Repairs flagged
- Major Landscaping — Overgrown grass and unkempt appearance
- Major Fencing — No visible fencing, suggesting a lack of property boundary
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and fencing — Improving curb appeal and property boundary would attract buyers and renters
- Both Exterior painting — Fresh paint would improve the home's appearance and value
- Both Roof inspection — Aging roof may need replacement or repair, affecting both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Landscaping · Overgrown grass and unkempt appearance | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Fencing · No visible fencing, suggesting a lack of property boundary | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $30,000–100,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and fencing — Improving curb appeal and property boundary would attract buyers and renters ↑
- Both Exterior painting — Fresh paint would improve the home's appearance and value ↑
- Both Roof inspection — Aging roof may need replacement or repair, affecting both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Carencro
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #65
- US rank
- #8277
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Carencro, LA
- City population
- 20,134
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,134
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 32% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 13% Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.62%
- Current HPI
- 157.0194
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-08 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-02-07 Delisted — Zillow
- 2024-02-14 Listed $214,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…