2207 E 23rd Ave · Tampa, FL 33605

$185,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 756 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market

Built 1920 2,975 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +16.7/30.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +5.2/10.0
• 1% rule +4.2/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

BANK OWNED - BEING SOLD AS IS - PROOF OF FUNDS WITH CONTRACT. CALL FOR LOCKBOX CODE

Key facts

• 2,975 sq ft lot
• Built 1920
• Listed 18 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $116 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (7.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $171k (7.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#142 in FL, #2,135 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+.
• Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 187 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $1,707/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1374% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $170,737 (7.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.92% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.04%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.68%
• DSCR: 1.12
• GRM: 9.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 25.4%
• Equity multiple: 3.01×
• Total profit: $104,069
• Equity at exit: $166,663

10-year hold

• IRR: 21.8%
• Equity multiple: 6.66×
• Total profit: $293,213
• Equity at exit: $359,414

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33605

• Home prices YoY: 3.7%
• Rents YoY: 0.6%
• Active inventory: 187
• Price-to-rent: 9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,707 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$970
• Tax from tax record: −$186 /mo · $2,229/yr
• Insurance: −$77
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$359
• Net cashflow: $116

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,561

Max offer price $185,000

Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $46,250
• Closing costs: $5,550
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2205 Chipco St Tampa, FL	2.0	1.0	1100	$1,600	$1.45	24d	1	0.22mi
2704 E 25th Ave Tampa, FL	3.0	1.0	858	$1,595	$1.86	21d	1	0.30mi
2407 E 17th Ave Unit B Tampa, FL	3.0	2.0	810	$1,650	$2.04	17d	1	0.34mi
2407 E 17th Ave Apt A Tampa, FL	3.0	2.0	810	$1,650	$2.04	14d	1	0.34mi
2407 E 17th Ave Tampa, FL	3.0	2.0	810	$1,650	$2.04	24d	1	0.34mi
2407 E 17th Ave Tampa, FL	3.0	2.0	810	$1,650	$2.04	21d	1	0.34mi
2407 E 17th Ave Apt A Tampa, FL	3.0	2.0	810	$1,595	$1.97	10d	1	0.34mi
2104 E Columbus Dr Unit 301 Tampa, FL	3.0	2.0	1083	$2,050	$1.89	24d	1	0.35mi
2006 E Columbus Dr Unit A Tampa, FL	2.0	1.0	896	$1,495	$1.67	1d	1	0.38mi
2506 E Columbus Dr Tampa, FL	2.0	1.0	796	$1,950	$2.45	17d	1	0.38mi
2909 N 17th St Tampa, FL	2.0	1.0	750	$1,350	$1.80	21d	1	0.39mi
2308 E 15th Ave Tampa, FL	3.0	1.0	936	$1,895	$2.02	14d	1	0.41mi
1716 E Columbus Dr Unit A Tampa, FL	2.0	1.0	924	$1,800	$1.95	24d	1	0.49mi
3005 Sanchez St Apt 4 Tampa, FL	1.0	1.0	550	$900	$1.64	2d	1	0.50mi
3005 Sanchez St Unit 3 Tampa, FL	1.0	1.0	550	$995	$1.81	24d	1	0.50mi
3005 Sanchez St Unit 5 Tampa, FL	2.0	1.0	750	$1,050	$1.40	2d	1	0.50mi
1605 E 29th Ave Tampa, FL	3.0	1.0	870	$1,800	$2.07	20d	1	0.50mi
1607 E 18th Ave Tampa, FL	2.0	1.0	869	$2,600	$2.99	12d	1	0.52mi
2810 N 16th St Tampa, FL	2.0	1.0	1066	$2,550	$2.39	12d	1	0.54mi
2907 N 15th St Unit D Tampa, FL	3.0	2.0	888	$1,850	$2.08	4d	1	0.57mi
3101 E 18th Ave Tampa, FL	3.0	1.0	1050	$1,750	$1.67	3d	1	0.57mi
1810 E Palm Ave #5304 Tampa, FL	1.0	1.0	867	$1,595	$1.84	4d	1	0.63mi
2010 E Palm Ave #14221 Tampa, FL	1.0	1.0	675	$1,750	$2.59	24d	1	0.64mi
1515 E 31st Ave Tampa, FL	2.0	1.0	914	$1,500	$1.64	4d	1	0.65mi
2402 E Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Blvd Unit 4 Tampa, FL	1.0	1.0	610	$800	$1.31	10d	1	0.68mi
2402 E Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Blvd Tampa, FL	2.0	1.0	710	$1,699	$2.39	24d	1	0.68mi
1910 E Palm Ave Tampa, FL	1.0	1.0	665	$1,675	$2.52	2d	3	0.69mi
1910 E Palm Ave Tampa, FL	1.0	1.0	665	$1,712	$2.58	4d	2	0.69mi
2312 E 9th Ave Tampa, FL	3.0	2.0	1008	$2,200	$2.18	24d	1	0.70mi
1302 E 21st Ave Tampa, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	800	$1,408	$1.76	4d	9	0.71mi
1307 E 17th Ave Unit El Cafecito Loft Tampa, FL	1.0	1.0	600	$1,450	$2.42	24d	1	0.73mi
3411 N 13th St Tampa, FL	3.0	2.0	978	$1,895	$1.94	24d	1	0.73mi
1212 E 25th Ave Tampa, FL	2.0	1.0	1035	$1,490	$1.44	19d	1	0.75mi
3405 N 34th St Unit C Tampa, FL	1.0	1.0	600	$795	$1.32	3d	1	0.75mi
1211 E 18th Ave Unit 2 Tampa, FL	2.0	1.0	725	$1,800	$2.48	17d	1	0.78mi
1301 E Columbus Dr Unit 1 Tampa, FL	1.0	1.0	750	$1,995	$2.66	24d	1	0.79mi
1504 E 33rd Ave Tampa, FL	3.0	2.0	1108	$2,900	$2.62	24d	1	0.79mi
1221 E Columbus Dr Tampa, FL	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,499	$1.50	24d	1	0.80mi
4204 N 29th St Tampa, FL	3.0	1.0	957	$1,800	$1.88	24d	1	0.84mi
1105 E 28th Ave Tampa, FL	3.0	1.0	744	$1,525	$2.05	4d	1	0.87mi

Listing history 13 events

1. 2025-11-16
   status Pending
2. 2025-10-29
   listed $185,000 Active
3. 2022-07-25
   soldstatus $229,000
4. 2017-06-26
   status Pending
5. 2017-06-21
   price $40,000
6. 2017-06-20
   status Active
7. 2017-05-16
   status Pending
8. 2017-04-16
   price $25,000
9. 2016-12-10
   listed $55,000 Active
10. 2006-07-06
    soldstatus $74,000
11. 2006-06-22
    soldstatus $74,000 83-char remark

    Show marketing remark (83 chars)

    BANK OWNED - BEING SOLD AS IS - PROOF OF FUNDS WITH CONTRACT. CALL FOR LOCKBOX CODE

12. 2006-03-30
    listed $76,650 83-char remark

    Show marketing remark (83 chars)

    BANK OWNED - BEING SOLD AS IS - PROOF OF FUNDS WITH CONTRACT. CALL FOR LOCKBOX CODE

13. 2004-12-29
    soldstatus $92,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,229 · $186/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,229 · $186/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,488
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,363
• − Property taxes: −$2,229
• − Insurance: −$925
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,639
• − Management: −$1,639
• − Depreciation: −$5,382
• Taxable loss: −$1,689
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$405
• After-tax cash flow: $1,795/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hillsborough
• NCES district ID: 1200870
• Math proficiency: 47% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $50,622
• Composite: 41.6/100
• National rank: #3435
• State rank: #41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Tampa

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #142
• US rank: #2135

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime D+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Tampa, FL
• County: Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
• City population: 523,346
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• Population (ZIP): 16,030
• Household income: $36,975
• Rent vs Own: 59.8% rent · 40.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1374.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,607,022 people
• By 2030: 1,733,968 · +7.9%
• By 2040: 1,979,565 · +23.2%
• By 2050: 2,203,427 · +37.1%
• By 2075: 2,667,893 · +66.0%
• By 2100: 2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 48% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 18% White 17% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 6% Dominican 1%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 17% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 72% English-only · Spanish 24% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 17.43%
• Current HPI: 494.1871
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.58%
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+100.0% since first listed

13 events — show timeline

• 2025-11-16 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-10-29 Listed $185,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $229,000 Public Records
• 2017-06-26 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2017-06-21 Price Changed $40,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2017-06-20 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2017-05-16 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2017-04-16 Price Changed $25,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2016-12-10 Listed $55,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2006-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
• 2006-06-22 Sold (MLS) $74,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2006-03-30 Listed $76,650 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2004-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $92,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+15.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,229 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.