59 West Ave · Pawtucket, RI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $835 – $1,551
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 70.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.8/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$660,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
4 unit and 5 unit buildings on one lot. There are 7 one bedroom units and two 2 bedroom units. Fully rented. Excellent cash flow. Ideally located next to Route 95. Parking. Close to parks, restaurants and more. Investment and a must see!
Key facts
- 6,061 sq ft lot
- 8 parking spots
- Built 1920
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 3-bed/2.2-bath units multifamily listed at $660k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($29k/yr) — positive. Per door: $607/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $660k).
- Recommended offer: $601k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.8% in Pawtucket — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#16 in RI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, amenities F.
- Pawtucket (suburban): math 7% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #33 of 39 in RI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 123 active listings in the ZIP; 776 units permitted in Providence County in 2024 (229 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $8,558/mo this rent would consume 167% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 2528% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Providence County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $185k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($601k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $445k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.77%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $51,792
- Equity at exit
- $98,408
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $261,079
- Equity at exit
- $57,065
Cash invested: $184,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 31 Tenant-Leaning
- State Rhode Island
- 31 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 02860
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 123
- Price-to-rent
- 25.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,558 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,461
- Tax from tax record
- −$596 /mo · $7,152/yr
- Insurance
- −$275
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,797
- Net cashflow
- $2,429
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 3 | 2.2 | $8,556 |
| #1 | 3 | 2.2 | $2,139 |
| #2 | 3 | 2.2 | $2,139 |
| #3 | 3 | 2.2 | $2,139 |
| #4 | 3 | 2.2 | $2,139 |
| Total (4 units) | $8,558 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $165,000
- Closing costs
- $19,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2021-03-11status Pending
-
2020-12-08$660,000 Active
-
2016-11-08price $475,000
-
2016-11-08price $495,000
-
2013-12-19price $449,000
-
2013-12-19price $449,000
-
2010-08-27historical
-
2009-08-27$44,900,000
-
2009-07-01historical
-
2008-07-01$495,000
-
2008-06-27historical
-
2007-09-11$580,000
-
2005-11-14soldstatus $445,000
-
2005-08-28historical
-
2005-04-29$525,000
-
1996-07-22$89,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast RI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,152 · $596/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,955 · $746/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,803/yr (+$150/mo · 25.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $102,696
- − Mortgage interest
- −$36,970
- − Property taxes
- −$7,152
- − Insurance
- −$3,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,216
- − Management
- −$8,216
- − Depreciation
- −$19,200
- Taxable income
- $19,642
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,714
- After-tax cash flow
- $24,430/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pawtucket
- NCES district ID
- 4400840
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,838
- Composite
- 11.29/100
- National rank
- #9718
- State rank
- #33 of 39 in RI
Livability — Pawtucket
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #7037
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pawtucket, RI
- County
- Providence County · 548,917 people
- City population
- 75,942
- Metro
- Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,818
- Household income
- $61,539
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2528.0
Population outlook (Providence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 653,469 people
- By 2030
- 660,819 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 672,747 · +3.0%
- By 2050
- 683,741 · +4.6%
- By 2075
- 720,435 · +10.2%
- By 2100
- 741,582 · +13.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 22% Black 14% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 9% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Providence
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.4) · D 56.1% · R 41.7% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: 34.4pp · 2024: 14.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.4 2020: D+22.9 2016: D+21.2 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -215.00%
- Current HPI
- 355.0152
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.47%
- Metro
- Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.25%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in RI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $373B |
|
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| Food Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+635.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2021-03-11 Pending — RIS
- 2020-12-08 Listed $660,000 RIS
- 2016-11-08 Price Changed $495,000 RIS
- 2016-11-08 Price Changed $475,000 RIS
- 2013-12-19 Price Changed $449,000 RIS
- 2013-12-19 Price Changed $449,000 RIS
- 2010-08-27 Listing Removed — RIS
- 2009-08-27 Listed $44,900,000 RIS
- 2009-07-01 Listing Removed — RIS
- 2008-07-01 Listed $495,000 RIS
- 2008-06-27 Listing Removed — RIS
- 2007-09-11 Listed $580,000 RIS
- 2005-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $445,000 Public Records
- 2005-08-28 Listing Removed — RIS
- 2005-04-29 Listed $525,000 RIS
- 1996-07-22 Listed $89,800 RIS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $7,152 · -39.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…