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3349 E Ames Ave
D Composite 40.72
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.7/15.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$237,899

3349 E Ames Ave · New Kingman-Butler, AZ 86409
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,317 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 288 Days on market
Built 2005 6,098 sqft lot $181/sqft · 9% below area Est $263k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

GREAT HOME 3 BEDROOM 2 BATH WITH 2 CAR GARAGE. FULLY FENCED New interior paint. New carpet in all bedrooms and Living room.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2005

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $238k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-158/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $236k (1.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (22.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $184k (22.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.3% in New Kingman-Butler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Kingman Unified School District (79598) (town): math 19% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #179 of 249 in AZ (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Cerbat Elementary (math 9% / reading 15%, grade F, #963 of 1,109 statewide, top 87%, 700 students, 78% FRL); Kingman Middle School (math 10% / reading 13%, grade F, #180 of 218 statewide, top 83%, 737 students, 74% FRL); Kingman High School (math 4% / reading 6%, grade F, #364 of 381 statewide, top 100%, 905 students, 50% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 10% at this address vs 22% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Kingman Unified School District (79598) average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 647 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 288 days — a 12% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $87k; list at $238k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $184,172 (22.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 288 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.23%
Cash-on-cash
-0.24%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$262,525
List price
$237,899
Delta
-9.38%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3378 E Cane Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,289 (-2%) 2mo $262,625 $204 86
3453 E Cane Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,289 (-2%) 2mo $262,500 $204 83
3390 Rusty Spur Ave 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,397 (+6%) 1mo $271,527 $194 82
3331 E Rusty Spur Ave 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,192 (-10%) 1mo $225,000 $189 78
3385 E Cane Dr 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,205 (-8%) 1mo $249,000 $207 78
3372 E Cane Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,205 (-8%) 1mo $249,500 $207 76
3379 E Cane Dr 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,472 (+12%) 0mo $286,500 $195 73
3623 E Andrea Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,290 (-2%) 1mo $248,000 $192 68
3427 E Cane Dr 0.21mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,458 (+11%) 2mo $275,363 $189 66
3509 E Lum Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,175 (-11%) 3mo $227,000 $193 58
3677 E Koval Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,208 (-8%) 1mo $248,000 $205 54
3150 E Northfield Ave 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,207 (-8%) 2mo $198,000 $164 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.4%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-44,289
Equity at exit
$35,472
10-year hold
IRR
-18.2%
Equity multiple
0.12×
Total profit
$-58,721
Equity at exit
$20,569

Cash invested: $66,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 86409

Rents YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
647
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,842 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,248
Tax from tax record
$121 /mo · $1,457/yr
Insurance
$99
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$387
Net cashflow
$-13

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,858
Max offer price $235,569
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $121 -5% $54 +0% $-13 +5% $-81 +10% $-148
Rent -10% $-159 -5% $-86 +0% $-13 +5% $60 +10% $132
Rate -1.0pp $107 -0.5pp $47 base $-13 +0.5pp $-75 +1.0pp $-138

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,475
Closing costs
$7,137
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3356 E El Tovar Ave Kingman, AZ 3.0 2.0 1356 $1,975 $1.46 45d 1 0.03mi
3597 E Koval Dr Kingman, AZ 4.0 3.0 1811 $2,200 $1.21 45d 1 0.51mi
3665 E Koval Dr Kingman, AZ 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,665 $1.19 15d 1 0.63mi
2995 E Ames Ave Kingman, AZ 3.0 2.0 1221 $1,250 $1.02 46d 1 0.72mi
3858 E Ames Ave Kingman, AZ 3.0 2.0 1631 $1,550 $0.95 45d 1 1.01mi
2658 E Punta Vista Kingman, AZ 3.0 2.0 1205 $1,700 $1.41 45d 1 1.13mi
4786 E Old West Rd Kingman, AZ 3.0 2.0 1513 $1,700 $1.12 22d 1 1.44mi
2381 E Butler Ave Kingman, AZ 2.0 2.0 1152 $1,200 $1.04 45d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $237,899 Active 288 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $237,899 Active 285 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $237,899 Active 284 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $237,899 Active 283 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $237,899 Active 282 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $237,899 Active 280 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $237,899 Active 279 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $237,899 Active 277 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $237,899 Active 276 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $237,899 Active 275 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $237,899 Active 274 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $237,899 Active 271 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $237,899 Active 270 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $237,899 Active 269 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $237,899 Active 268 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $237,899 Active 267 DOM
  17. 2025-12-19
    price $237,899 123-char remark
    Show marketing remark (123 chars)

    GREAT HOME 3 BEDROOM 2 BATH WITH 2 CAR GARAGE. FULLY FENCED New interior paint. New carpet in all bedrooms and Living room.

  18. 2025-09-05
    listed $247,899 Active 123-char remark
    Show marketing remark (123 chars)

    GREAT HOME 3 BEDROOM 2 BATH WITH 2 CAR GARAGE. FULLY FENCED New interior paint. New carpet in all bedrooms and Living room.

  19. 2013-12-19
    soldstatus $87,200

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,457 · $121/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,570 · $131/mo
Expected delta
+$113/yr (+$9/mo · 7.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,101
− Mortgage interest
−$13,326
− Property taxes
−$1,457
− Insurance
−$1,189
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,768
− Management
−$1,768
− Depreciation
−$6,921
Taxable loss
−$4,329
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,039
After-tax cash flow
$881/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kingman Unified School District (79598)
NCES district ID
0400295
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$36,760
Composite
17.87/100
National rank
#9002
State rank
#179 of 249 in AZ

Livability — New Kingman-Butler

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
New Kingman-Butler, AZ
County
Mohave County · 181,906 people
Metro
Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
Population (ZIP)
30,365
Household income
$50,852
Rent vs Own
31.4% rent · 68.6% own
Severe rent burden
688.0

Population outlook (Mohave County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
209,184 people
By 2030
209,674 · +0.2%
By 2040
205,897 · -1.6%
By 2050
196,810 · -5.9%
By 2075
169,454 · -19.0%
By 2100
136,630 · -34.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Mohave

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.8) · D 21.8% · R 77.6%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -55.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.8 2020: R+51.3 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+32.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -158.90%
Current HPI
280.1884
Rent YoY
▲ 0.33%
Metro
Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+172.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-19 Price Changed $237,899 WARDEX
  • 2025-09-05 Listed $247,899 WARDEX
  • 2013-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $87,200 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,457 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…