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5200 NW 31st Ave #92 🌊 Lakefront
B- Composite 67.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.5/30.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

5200 NW 31st Ave #92 · Fort Lauderdale, FL 33309
2 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,032 sqft · Condo public records
Built 1987 $26/mo HOA · 1% of rent ↓ 33% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

BEAUTIFUL AND BRIGHT 2 BEDROOMS AND 2 BATHS APARTMENT, BALCONY , GREAT LAKEVIEW, GREAT LOCATION , GATED COMMUNITY , POOL, RECENTLY PAINTED, NEW WASHER AND DRYER

Key facts

  • $26 HOA
  • Parking
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $431 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 2.2% in Fort Lauderdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#78 in FL, #1,293 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D-.
  • Broward (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #46 of 73 in FL (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 343 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,111 units permitted in Broward County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Broward County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
Recommended offer $145,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
9.86%
Cash-on-cash
12.73%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.4%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-2,078
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
4.1%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$10,320
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33309

Home prices YoY
-26.6%
Rents YoY
-0.5%
Active inventory
343
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,110 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$390 /mo · $4,678/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$26
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$443
Net cashflow
$431

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,565
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $513 -5% $472 +0% $431 +5% $390 +10% $349
Rent -10% $264 -5% $347 +0% $431 +5% $514 +10% $597
Rate -1.0pp $504 -0.5pp $468 base $431 +0.5pp $393 +1.0pp $355

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5200 NW 31st Ave Fort Lauderdale, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 867 $1,900 $2.19 8d 4 0.18mi
2853 W Commercial Blvd Fort Lauderdale, FL 2.0 1.0–2.0 750 $2,415 $3.22 24d 2 0.24mi
4901 NW 27th Way Fort Lauderdale, FL 2.0 1.0 1008 $2,750 $2.73 5d 1 0.36mi
216 Lake Pointe Dr Oakland Park, FL 2.0 2.0 890 $1,950 $2.19 24d 2 0.49mi
215 Lake Pointe Dr #211 Oakland Park, FL 2.0 2.0 890 $1,900 $2.13 8d 1 0.50mi
215 Lake Pointe Dr Oakland Park, FL 2.0 2.0 890 $1,845 $2.07 15d 2 0.51mi
213 Lake Pointe Dr #211 Oakland Park, FL 2.0 2.0 890 $1,990 $2.24 8d 1 0.55mi
201 Lake Pointe Dr #202 Oakland Park, FL 2.0 2.0 910 $2,100 $2.31 24d 1 0.58mi
3100 NW 46th St #107 Fort Lauderdale, FL 2.0 2.0 1075 $2,200 $2.05 22d 1 0.58mi
213 Lake Pointe Dr Oakland Park, FL 2.0 2.0–2.5 890 $1,894 $2.13 15d 2 0.59mi
212 Lake Pointe Dr Oakland Park, FL 2.0 2.0 890 $1,950 $2.19 24d 2 0.59mi
210 Lake Pointe Dr #114 Oakland Park, FL 2.0 2.0 890 $1,775 $1.99 24d 1 0.66mi
211 Lake Pointe Dr Oakland Park, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 805 $1,900 $2.36 3d 2 0.68mi
3299 NW 44th St #2 Fort Lauderdale, FL 3.0 2.5 1273 $2,495 $1.96 24d 1 0.68mi
3457 NW 44th St #205 Lauderdale Lakes, FL 2.0 2.0 1096 $2,200 $2.01 1d 1 0.69mi
3457 NW 44th St #205 Lauderdale Lakes, FL 2.0 2.0 1096 $2,200 $2.01 24d 1 0.69mi
3453 NW 44th St Lauderdale Lakes, FL 2.0 2.0 1020 $2,050 $2.01 5d 2 0.70mi
3445 NW 44th St Lauderdale Lakes, FL 2.0 2.0 1058 $2,150 $2.03 24d 2 0.72mi
3473 NW 44th St Lauderdale Lakes, FL 1.0 1.0 861 $1,750 $2.03 24d 2 0.77mi
3473 NW 44th St Lauderdale Lakes, FL 1.0 1.0 850 $1,750 $2.06 15d 1 0.77mi
3275 NW 44th St #2 Fort Lauderdale, FL 3.0 2.5 1273 $3,000 $2.36 24d 1 0.78mi
3445 NW 44th St #206 Lauderdale Lakes, FL 2.0 2.0 1096 $2,100 $1.92 12d 1 0.78mi
2800 NW 44th St Oakland Park, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 1166 $2,199 $1.89 3d 18 0.78mi
3441 NW 44th St #104 Lauderdale Lakes, FL 2.0 2.0 1020 $1,975 $1.94 8d 1 0.83mi
3437 NW 44th St #107 Lauderdale Lakes, FL 2.0 2.0 1020 $2,100 $2.06 24d 1 0.86mi
3437 NW 44th St #107 Lauderdale Lakes, FL 2.0 2.0 1020 $2,000 $1.96 5d 1 0.86mi
3401 NW 44th St #205 Lauderdale Lakes, FL 2.0 2.0 1096 $2,000 $1.82 3d 1 0.86mi
105 Lake Emerald Dr #708 Oakland Park, FL 1.0 1.5 990 $1,895 $1.91 24d 1 0.91mi
3409 NW 44th St Lauderdale Lakes, FL 2.0 2.0 1096 $1,850 $1.69 4d 2 0.91mi
3409 NW 44th St Lauderdale Lakes, FL 2.0 2.0 1096 $1,800 $1.64 3d 1 0.91mi
6171 NW 33rd Ter Fort Lauderdale, FL 2.0 2.0 1150 $3,000 $2.61 24d 1 0.93mi
4130 NW 31st Ter Unit 1 Lauderdale Lakes, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,900 $2.71 12d 1 0.93mi
3413 NW 44th St #107 Lauderdale Lakes, FL 2.0 2.0 1020 $1,900 $1.86 24d 1 0.94mi
3413 NW 44th St #107 Lauderdale Lakes, FL 2.0 2.0 1020 $1,900 $1.86 22d 1 0.94mi
3417 NW 44th St #101 Lauderdale Lakes, FL 2.0 2.0 1020 $2,495 $2.45 21d 1 0.97mi
3700 Pacific Point Pl Fort Lauderdale, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1030 $2,344 $2.28 2d 19 0.98mi
4031 NW 30th Ter Unit 1 Lauderdale Lakes, FL 1.0 1.0 800 $1,690 $2.11 8d 1 1.00mi
4001 NW 31st Ave Unit 4 Lauderdale Lakes, FL 2.0 2.0 850 $2,000 $2.35 17d 1 1.04mi
1906 NW 45th Ct Fort Lauderdale, FL 2.0 1.0 1008 $2,400 $2.38 5d 1 1.05mi
3050 NW 68th St Unit 1101 Fort Lauderdale, FL 1.0 1.0 710 $2,000 $2.82 24d 1 1.07mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$26 · $312/yr
Likely covers
poolsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2020-11-04
    soldstatus $140,000
  2. 2018-03-13
    soldstatus $140,000
  3. 2018-02-05
    historical
  4. 2018-01-03
    listed $145,000
  5. 2017-11-12
    historical
  6. 2017-08-25
    listed $142,000
  7. 2015-03-10
    soldstatus $97,000 Sold
  8. 2015-03-03
    status Pending
  9. 2015-02-27
    soldstatus $92,500
  10. 2014-12-06
    listed $99,000 Active
  11. 2005-09-26
    soldstatus $210,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,678 · $390/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,678 · $390/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,326
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$4,678
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,026
− Management
−$2,026
− HOA
−$312
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$3,218
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$772
After-tax cash flow
$4,395/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Broward
NCES district ID
1200180
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$52,139
Composite
40.88/100
National rank
#3621
State rank
#46 of 73 in FL

Livability — Fort Lauderdale

Score
82/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#1293

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute C+ Cost of living D- Crime A+ Employment B Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Lauderdale, FL
County
Broward County · 1,963,430 people
City population
235,769
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
37,475
Household income
$77,321
Rent vs Own
40.9% rent · 59.1% own
Severe rent burden
1596.0

Population outlook (Broward County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,207,033 people
By 2030
2,360,704 · +7.0%
By 2040
2,661,208 · +20.6%
By 2050
2,946,698 · +33.5%
By 2075
3,602,273 · +63.2%
By 2100
3,970,984 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 43% Hispanic / Latino 28% White 22% Two or more races 20% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 3% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 15% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
38% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
55% English-only · Spanish 25% French/Haitian/Cajun 17% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Broward

2024 margin
D (+17.0) · D 58.0% · R 41.0%
2008→2024 swing
-17.8pp toward R · 2008: 34.7pp · 2024: 17.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.0 2020: D+29.8 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -158.71%
Current HPI
439.091
Rent YoY
▼ -0.50%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-33.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2020-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2018-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2018-02-05 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2018-01-03 Listed $145,000 MARMLS
  • 2017-11-12 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2017-08-25 Listed $142,000 MARMLS
  • 2015-03-10 Sold (MLS) $97,000 MARMLS
  • 2015-03-03 Pending MARMLS
  • 2015-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $92,500 Public Records
  • 2014-12-06 Listed $99,000 MARMLS
  • 2005-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,678 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…