🌊 Lakefront
5200 NW 31st Ave #92 · Fort Lauderdale, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.5/30.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
BEAUTIFUL AND BRIGHT 2 BEDROOMS AND 2 BATHS APARTMENT, BALCONY , GREAT LAKEVIEW, GREAT LOCATION , GATED COMMUNITY , POOL, RECENTLY PAINTED, NEW WASHER AND DRYER
Key facts
- $26 HOA
- Parking
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $431 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 2.2% in Fort Lauderdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#78 in FL, #1,293 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D-.
- Broward (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #46 of 73 in FL (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 343 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,111 units permitted in Broward County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Broward County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.73%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-2,078
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $10,320
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33309
- Home prices YoY
- -26.6%
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 343
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,110 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$390 /mo · $4,678/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$26
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$443
- Net cashflow
- $431
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $513 | -5% $472 | +0% $431 | +5% $390 | +10% $349 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $264 | -5% $347 | +0% $431 | +5% $514 | +10% $597 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $504 | -0.5pp $468 | base $431 | +0.5pp $393 | +1.0pp $355 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5200 NW 31st Ave Fort Lauderdale, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 867 | $1,900 | $2.19 | 8d | 4 | 0.18mi |
| 2853 W Commercial Blvd Fort Lauderdale, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $2,415 | $3.22 | 24d | 2 | 0.24mi |
| 4901 NW 27th Way Fort Lauderdale, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $2,750 | $2.73 | 5d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 216 Lake Pointe Dr Oakland Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 890 | $1,950 | $2.19 | 24d | 2 | 0.49mi |
| 215 Lake Pointe Dr #211 Oakland Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 890 | $1,900 | $2.13 | 8d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 215 Lake Pointe Dr Oakland Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 890 | $1,845 | $2.07 | 15d | 2 | 0.51mi |
| 213 Lake Pointe Dr #211 Oakland Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 890 | $1,990 | $2.24 | 8d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 201 Lake Pointe Dr #202 Oakland Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $2,100 | $2.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3100 NW 46th St #107 Fort Lauderdale, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1075 | $2,200 | $2.05 | 22d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 213 Lake Pointe Dr Oakland Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 890 | $1,894 | $2.13 | 15d | 2 | 0.59mi |
| 212 Lake Pointe Dr Oakland Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 890 | $1,950 | $2.19 | 24d | 2 | 0.59mi |
| 210 Lake Pointe Dr #114 Oakland Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 890 | $1,775 | $1.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 211 Lake Pointe Dr Oakland Park, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 805 | $1,900 | $2.36 | 3d | 2 | 0.68mi |
| 3299 NW 44th St #2 Fort Lauderdale, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1273 | $2,495 | $1.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3457 NW 44th St #205 Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $2,200 | $2.01 | 1d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3457 NW 44th St #205 Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $2,200 | $2.01 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3453 NW 44th St Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $2,050 | $2.01 | 5d | 2 | 0.70mi |
| 3445 NW 44th St Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1058 | $2,150 | $2.03 | 24d | 2 | 0.72mi |
| 3473 NW 44th St Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 861 | $1,750 | $2.03 | 24d | 2 | 0.77mi |
| 3473 NW 44th St Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,750 | $2.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3275 NW 44th St #2 Fort Lauderdale, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1273 | $3,000 | $2.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3445 NW 44th St #206 Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $2,100 | $1.92 | 12d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2800 NW 44th St Oakland Park, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1166 | $2,199 | $1.89 | 3d | 18 | 0.78mi |
| 3441 NW 44th St #104 Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,975 | $1.94 | 8d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3437 NW 44th St #107 Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $2,100 | $2.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3437 NW 44th St #107 Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $2,000 | $1.96 | 5d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3401 NW 44th St #205 Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 3d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 105 Lake Emerald Dr #708 Oakland Park, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 990 | $1,895 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3409 NW 44th St Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,850 | $1.69 | 4d | 2 | 0.91mi |
| 3409 NW 44th St Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 3d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 6171 NW 33rd Ter Fort Lauderdale, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $3,000 | $2.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4130 NW 31st Ter Unit 1 Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,900 | $2.71 | 12d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3413 NW 44th St #107 Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,900 | $1.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3413 NW 44th St #107 Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,900 | $1.86 | 22d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3417 NW 44th St #101 Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $2,495 | $2.45 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3700 Pacific Point Pl Fort Lauderdale, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1030 | $2,344 | $2.28 | 2d | 19 | 0.98mi |
| 4031 NW 30th Ter Unit 1 Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,690 | $2.11 | 8d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4001 NW 31st Ave Unit 4 Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $2,000 | $2.35 | 17d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1906 NW 45th Ct Fort Lauderdale, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $2,400 | $2.38 | 5d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3050 NW 68th St Unit 1101 Fort Lauderdale, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $2,000 | $2.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $26 · $312/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 11 events
-
2020-11-04soldstatus $140,000
-
2018-03-13soldstatus $140,000
-
2018-02-05historical
-
2018-01-03$145,000
-
2017-11-12historical
-
2017-08-25$142,000
-
2015-03-10soldstatus $97,000 Sold
-
2015-03-03status Pending
-
2015-02-27soldstatus $92,500
-
2014-12-06$99,000 Active
-
2005-09-26soldstatus $210,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,678 · $390/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,678 · $390/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,326
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$4,678
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,026
- − Management
- −$2,026
- − HOA
- −$312
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $3,218
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$772
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,395/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Broward
- NCES district ID
- 1200180
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,139
- Composite
- 40.88/100
- National rank
- #3621
- State rank
- #46 of 73 in FL
Livability — Fort Lauderdale
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #1293
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Lauderdale, FL
- County
- Broward County · 1,963,430 people
- City population
- 235,769
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,475
- Household income
- $77,321
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1596.0
Population outlook (Broward County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,207,033 people
- By 2030
- 2,360,704 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 2,661,208 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 2,946,698 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 3,602,273 · +63.2%
- By 2100
- 3,970,984 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 43% Hispanic / Latino 28% White 22% Two or more races 20% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 15% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 38% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 25% French/Haitian/Cajun 17% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Broward
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.0) · D 58.0% · R 41.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.8pp toward R · 2008: 34.7pp · 2024: 17.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.0 2020: D+29.8 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -158.71%
- Current HPI
- 439.091
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.50%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-33.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2020-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2018-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2018-02-05 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2018-01-03 Listed $145,000 MARMLS
- 2017-11-12 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2017-08-25 Listed $142,000 MARMLS
- 2015-03-10 Sold (MLS) $97,000 MARMLS
- 2015-03-03 Pending — MARMLS
- 2015-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $92,500 Public Records
- 2014-12-06 Listed $99,000 MARMLS
- 2005-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,678 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…