32 Clark St · Wellsville, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$24,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Older two story home on a good sized lot. This homes needs to be brought back to life, but there is great potential. There is a lot of charming natural woodwork, spacious rooms throughout, and two full baths. The basement is full and the front porch overlooking the neighborhood is quite pleasant. * * * * Under FinCEN's new RRE Rule, transfers will be subject to reporting when buyers use entities or trusts to take title to residential real estate, when the transaction is all cash, privately financed or HELOC.
Key facts
- 0.42 acre lot
- Built 1882
- Listed 77 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $973 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $23k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 53.2% vs local median 6.6% in Wellsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#336 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, employment C-.
- Wellsville Central School District (town): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #442 of 590 in NY (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 87 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($172 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Allegany County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1882 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1882 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 53.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 167.54%
- DSCR
- 8.45
- GRM
- 1.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $125,040
- List price
- $24,900
- Delta
- -80.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 Early St | 0.32mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,307 (-4%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $103 | 70 |
| 12 Lunn Ct | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 1,296 (-5%) | 17mo | $82,000 | $63 | 62 |
| 178 N Highland Ave | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,364 (+0%) | 22mo | $109,000 | $80 | 46 |
| 205 N Highland Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,490 (+10%) | 14mo | $125,900 | $84 | 40 |
| 80 Howard St | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,460 (+7%) | 21mo | $90,000 | $62 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 11.84×
- Total profit
- $75,581
- Equity at exit
- $22,432
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 25.94×
- Total profit
- $173,862
- Equity at exit
- $48,375
Cash invested: $6,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14895
- Home prices YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 1.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,450 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$31 /mo · $374/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $973
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $991 | -5% $982 | +0% $973 | +5% $965 | +10% $956 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $859 | -5% $916 | +0% $973 | +5% $1,031 | +10% $1,088 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $986 | -0.5pp $980 | base $973 | +0.5pp $967 | +1.0pp $960 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,225
- Closing costs
- $747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 Pine St Wellsville, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.17mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $24,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $24,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $24,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $24,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $24,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $24,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $24,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $24,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $24,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $24,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $24,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $24,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $24,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $24,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-03-31$39,900 Active 516-char remark
Show marketing remark (516 chars)
Older two story home on a good sized lot. This homes needs to be brought back to life, but there is great potential. There is a lot of charming natural woodwork, spacious rooms throughout, and two full baths. The basement is full and the front porch overlooking the neighborhood is quite pleasant. * * * * Under FinCEN's new RRE Rule, transfers will be subject to reporting when buyers use entities or trusts to take title to residential real estate, when the transaction is all cash, privately financed or HELOC.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,395
- − Property taxes
- −$374
- − Insurance
- −$124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,392
- − Management
- −$1,392
- − Depreciation
- −$724
- Taxable income
- $11,999
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,880
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,801/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wellsville Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3630480
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,964
- Composite
- 39.71/100
- National rank
- #3903
- State rank
- #442 of 590 in NY
Livability — Wellsville
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #336
- US rank
- #5669
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wellsville, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,117
Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,362 people
- By 2030
- 43,078 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 38,031 · -16.2%
- By 2050
- 33,634 · -25.9%
- By 2075
- 25,285 · -44.3%
- By 2100
- 18,902 · -58.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.2) · D 28.4% · R 71.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.7pp · 2024: -43.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.2 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+42.3 2012: R+25.3 2008: R+21.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 18.16%
- Current HPI
- 280.3569
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Listed $39,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
+10.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,098 · -3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…