3155 Weilacher Rd SW · Lordstown, OH 44481

$175,000

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,296 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market

Built 1973 0.43 ac lot $135/sqft · at area comps Est $181k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +9.0/15.0
• Cash flow +7.2/30.0
• Schools +5.1/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +1.5/10.0
• DSCR +1.4/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to 3155 Weilacher Rd, a lovingly maintained, one-owner ranch offering the perfect blend of comfort, privacy, and country charm. Set on a beautiful 100’ x 187’ wooded lot with a vacant parcel to the west and additional rear right-of-way space that makes the property feel even larger, this home delivers a peaceful rural-neighborhood setting buyers will love. Inside, a foyer opens to an impressive 25’ x 12’ living room anchored by a striking stone-accent fireplace. The dining room features an elegant chandelier and overlooks the wooded backyard, creating a warm and inviting place to gather. All three bedrooms feature hardwood floors, and the owner’s suite

Key facts

• Vacant parcel
• Wooded backyard
• Wooded lot

Tags

• WOODED LOT
• VACANT PARCEL
• REAR RIGHT-OF-WAY SPACE
• STONE-ACCENT FIREPLACE
• WOODED BACKYARD
• HARDWOOD FLOORS

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
• Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
• Home design: Single-story home; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,296 (source: Realist); Below-grade finished area approximately 823 (source: Plans)
• Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Asphalt roof; Built (year per public records)
• Exterior features: Porch; Barn(s); Wooded lot; Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 187

Interior

• Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Two main-level bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Electric heating; Baseboard heating; Central air
• Interior features: Full, partially finished basement with sump pump; Two fireplaces
• Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Water softener

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-240 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $133k (24.2% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (35.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $113k (35.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#577 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Labrae Local (suburban): math 56% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #288 of 656 in OH (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Bascom Elementary School (234 students, 69% FRL); Labrae Middle School (math 51% / reading 63%, grade B, #305 of 654 statewide, top 48%, 249 students, 57% FRL); Labrae High School (math 57% / reading 72%, grade B-, #164 of 781 statewide, top 24%, 316 students, 40% FRL).
• Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 129 units permitted in Trumbull County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Trumbull County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Recommended offer $113,009 (35.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.65% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.65%
• Cash-on-cash: -5.88%
• DSCR: 0.74
• GRM: 12.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $180,961
• List price: $175,000
• Delta: -3.29%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 8 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3155 Weilacher Rd SW	0.00mi	3/1.5	1,296 (0%)	1mo	$185,000	$143	99
3421 Palmyra Rd SW	0.35mi	3/1.0	1,326 (+2%)	22mo	$195,000	$147	59
4017 Kibler Toot Rd SW	0.63mi	3/1.5	1,252 (-3%)	16mo	$175,000	$140	51
3565 Palmyra Rd SW	0.50mi	3/1.0	1,176 (-9%)	24mo	$165,000	$140	40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 20.1%
• Equity multiple: 2.63×
• Total profit: $79,987
• Equity at exit: $157,654

10-year hold

• IRR: 18.4%
• Equity multiple: 6.05×
• Total profit: $247,515
• Equity at exit: $339,987

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 73 Landlord-Friendly
• State Ohio: 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 44481

• Home prices YoY: 11.2%
• Active inventory: 35
• Price-to-rent: 12.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,130 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$918
• Tax from tax record: −$142 /mo · $1,707/yr
• Insurance: −$73
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$237
• Net cashflow: $-240

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,434

Max offer price $132,583

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-141	-5% $-191	+0% $-240	+5% $-290	+10% $-339
Rent	-10% $-329	-5% $-285	+0% $-240	+5% $-195	+10% $-151
Rate	-1.0pp $-152	-0.5pp $-196	base $-240	+0.5pp $-285	+1.0pp $-332

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $43,750
• Closing costs: $5,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-02
   status Pending 1602-char remark
2. 2026-04-29
   listed $175,000 Active 1602-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,707 · $142/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,219 · $185/mo
• Expected delta: +$511/yr (+$43/mo · 30.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,561
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,803
• − Property taxes: −$1,707
• − Insurance: −$875
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,085
• − Management: −$1,085
• − Depreciation: −$5,091
• Taxable loss: −$6,084
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,460
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,421/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Labrae Local
• NCES district ID: 3905024
• Math proficiency: 56% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 65% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $46,322
• Composite: 51.11/100
• National rank: #1766
• State rank: #288 of 656 in OH

Livability — Lordstown

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #577
• US rank: #9825

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Trumbull · 193,293 people
• Metro: Youngstown-Warren, OH
• Population (ZIP): 10,287
• Household income: $63,285
• Rent vs Own: 16.7% rent · 83.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 4.6

Population outlook (Trumbull County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 191,696 people
• By 2030: 184,015 · -4.0%
• By 2040: 166,810 · -13.0%
• By 2050: 149,857 · -21.8%
• By 2075: 115,769 · -39.6%
• By 2100: 83,617 · -56.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (92%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 92% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
• Common ancestry: Iranian 4% Polish 3% Romanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 1%
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Trumbull

• 2024 margin: R (+16.8) · D 41.2% · R 58.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -39.2pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: -16.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+6.4 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 36.58%
• Current HPI: 364.21
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.98%
• F500 in state: 48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	3	$145B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$49B
▸Financial Services	3	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$93B
▸Aerospace / Defense	2	$47B
▸Utilities	2	$33B

Price history

+5.7% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
• 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $185,000 MLSNOW
• 2026-05-02 Pending — MLSNOW
• 2026-04-29 Listed $175,000 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,707 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.