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251 S Robinson St
B- Composite 68.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$110,000

251 S Robinson St · Lenox, GA 31637
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,698 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1940 0.72 ac lot Est $134k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Large lot with multiple structures and endless possibilities. The home is in need of renovation, making it an ideal project for investors or buyers seeking a property with potential. Plenty of room to expand, improve, or repurpose the existing buildings. Seller Pays: Buyer uses Premium Title Services, the seller's preferred title partner and closing agent. This lets the buyer bypass the title insurance fee, related search costs and reduced escrow/ settlement fees, since the seller will cover those charges. The average charges for title search and insurance is $1225 & escrow/ settlement fees is $875, resulting in an overall savings of ~$1660 for buyers, who opt for Premium Title Services.

Key facts

  • Multiple structures
  • Large lot
  • Room to expand

Tags

LARGE LOTMULTIPLE STRUCTURESROOM TO EXPAND

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story single family home; Residential property (house)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Irregular lot

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $204 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#552 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
  • Cook County (rural): math 29% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #111 of 174 in GA (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
  • Cook County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.52%
Cash-on-cash
7.95%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$134,142
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
411 S Robinson St 0.02mi 3/1.5 1,900 (+12%) 6mo $150,000 $79 72

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.3%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$24,837
Equity at exit
$47,942
10-year hold
IRR
16.3%
Equity multiple
3.34×
Total profit
$72,039
Equity at exit
$72,723

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31637

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,221 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax est. 1.5%
$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$204

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $110,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    remarks 695-char remark
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Large lot with multiple structures and endless possibilities. The home is in need of renovation, making it an ideal project for investors or buyers seeking a property with potential. Plenty of room to expand, improve, or repurpose the existing buildings. Seller Pays: Buyer uses Premium Title Services, the seller's preferred title partner and closing agent. This lets the buyer bypass the title insurance fee, related search costs and reduced escrow/ settlement fees, since the seller will cover those charges. The average charges for title search and insurance is $1225 & escrow/ settlement fees is $875, resulting in an overall savings of ~$1660 for buyers, who opt for Premium Title Services.

  7. 2026-06-12
    listed $110,000 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Large lot with multiple structures and endless possibilities. The home is in need of renovation, making it an ideal project for investors or buyers seeking a property with potential. Plenty of room to expand, improve, or repurpose the existing buildings. Seller Pays: Buyer uses Premium Title Services, the seller's preferred title partner and closing agent. This lets the buyer bypass the title insurance fee, related search costs and reduced escrow/ settlement fees, since the seller will cover those charges. The average charges for title search and insurance is $1225 & escrow/ settlement fees is $875, resulting in an overall savings of ~$1660 for buyers, who opt for Premium Title Services.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,646
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,650
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,172
− Management
−$1,172
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$741
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$178
After-tax cash flow
$2,271/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cook County
NCES district ID
1301470
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$35,135
Composite
23.14/100
National rank
#7951
State rank
#111 of 174 in GA

Livability — Lenox

Score
53/100
State rank
#552
US rank
#24393

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lenox, GA
Population (ZIP)
3,006

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,984 people
By 2030
16,800 · -1.1%
By 2040
16,343 · -3.8%
By 2050
15,696 · -7.6%
By 2075
13,451 · -20.8%
By 2100
10,357 · -39.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Scottish 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.5) · D 26.6% · R 73.0%
2008→2024 swing
-17.5pp toward R · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -46.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.5 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+40.1 2012: R+31.4 2008: R+28.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.75%
Current HPI
232.9201
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $110,000 SGMLS
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $110,000 MBOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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