251 S Robinson St · Lenox, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large lot with multiple structures and endless possibilities. The home is in need of renovation, making it an ideal project for investors or buyers seeking a property with potential. Plenty of room to expand, improve, or repurpose the existing buildings. Seller Pays: Buyer uses Premium Title Services, the seller's preferred title partner and closing agent. This lets the buyer bypass the title insurance fee, related search costs and reduced escrow/ settlement fees, since the seller will cover those charges. The average charges for title search and insurance is $1225 & escrow/ settlement fees is $875, resulting in an overall savings of ~$1660 for buyers, who opt for Premium Title Services.
Key facts
- Multiple structures
- Large lot
- Room to expand
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story single family home; Residential property (house)
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Irregular lot
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $204 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#552 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- Cook County (rural): math 29% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #111 of 174 in GA (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
- Cook County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.95%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $134,142
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 411 S Robinson St | 0.02mi | 3/1.5 | 1,900 (+12%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $79 | 72 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $24,837
- Equity at exit
- $47,942
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.34×
- Total profit
- $72,039
- Equity at exit
- $72,723
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31637
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,221 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $204
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $110,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 695-char remark
Show marketing remark (702 chars)
Large lot with multiple structures and endless possibilities. The home is in need of renovation, making it an ideal project for investors or buyers seeking a property with potential. Plenty of room to expand, improve, or repurpose the existing buildings. Seller Pays: Buyer uses Premium Title Services, the seller's preferred title partner and closing agent. This lets the buyer bypass the title insurance fee, related search costs and reduced escrow/ settlement fees, since the seller will cover those charges. The average charges for title search and insurance is $1225 & escrow/ settlement fees is $875, resulting in an overall savings of ~$1660 for buyers, who opt for Premium Title Services.
-
2026-06-12$110,000 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (702 chars)
Large lot with multiple structures and endless possibilities. The home is in need of renovation, making it an ideal project for investors or buyers seeking a property with potential. Plenty of room to expand, improve, or repurpose the existing buildings. Seller Pays: Buyer uses Premium Title Services, the seller's preferred title partner and closing agent. This lets the buyer bypass the title insurance fee, related search costs and reduced escrow/ settlement fees, since the seller will cover those charges. The average charges for title search and insurance is $1225 & escrow/ settlement fees is $875, resulting in an overall savings of ~$1660 for buyers, who opt for Premium Title Services.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,646
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,172
- − Management
- −$1,172
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $741
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$178
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,271/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cook County
- NCES district ID
- 1301470
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,135
- Composite
- 23.14/100
- National rank
- #7951
- State rank
- #111 of 174 in GA
Livability — Lenox
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #552
- US rank
- #24393
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lenox, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,006
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,984 people
- By 2030
- 16,800 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 16,343 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 15,696 · -7.6%
- By 2075
- 13,451 · -20.8%
- By 2100
- 10,357 · -39.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Scottish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.5) · D 26.6% · R 73.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -46.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.5 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+40.1 2012: R+31.4 2008: R+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.75%
- Current HPI
- 232.9201
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $110,000 SGMLS
- 2026-06-12 Listed $110,000 MBOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…