Duplex
124 Ludington St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great rental area. Long time tenants. Both units in good condition.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Investment property
- Spacious unit
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Operating expenses include insurance, maintenance, professional management, and water/sewer; Owner pays trash collection and water (see remarks); Rent includes trash collection and water (see remarks); Two leased units with current rents of $1,000 and $995
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Public water connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Two-story multifamily building; Resale property; Wood siding
- Construction: Wood siding construction; Existing year built; Full basement foundation
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Porch; Rectangular residential lot; Near public transit; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchens; Formal dining rooms
- Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom (2 full bathrooms total)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Forced air; Hot water heating
- Interior features: Full basement; Enclosed porch
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $677/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.9% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,774/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 841% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $47k; list at $140k implies a 198% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.47%
- DSCR
- 2.84
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $285,678
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- -51.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 153 Ideal St | 0.15mi | 6/2.5 | 2,390 (+1%) | 10mo | $141,500 | $59 | 82 |
| 53 Gold St | 0.25mi | 6/2.0 | 2,412 (+2%) | 11mo | $170,000 | $70 | 77 |
| 1514 William St | 0.34mi | 6/2.0 | 2,200 (-7%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $80 | 69 |
| 1047 E Lovejoy St | 0.14mi | 6/2.0 | 2,640 (+11%) | 15mo | $220,000 | $83 | 62 |
| 136 Longnecker St | 0.07mi | 6/2.0 | 2,705 (+14%) | 14mo | $195,000 | $72 | 61 |
| 55 N Ogden St Unit E | 0.37mi | 6/2.0 | 2,184 (-8%) | 14mo | $220,000 | $101 | 58 |
| 120 Gold Street St | 0.20mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,104 (-11%) | 15mo | $151,000 | $72 | 54 |
| 8 Wagner Ave | 0.52mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,149 (-9%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $95 | 49 |
| 965 E Lovejoy St | 0.22mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,696 (+14%) | 18mo | $150,000 | $56 | 47 |
| 103 Goethe St | 0.48mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,024 (-15%) | 15mo | $140,000 | $69 | 36 |
| 45 N Ogden St | 0.38mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,712 (+14%) | 20mo | $223,000 | $82 | 33 |
| 75 Brownell St | 0.74mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 2,565 (+8%) | 16mo | $81,500 | $32 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.68×
- Total profit
- $144,325
- Equity at exit
- $106,842
- IRR
- 48.9%
- Equity multiple
- 10.05×
- Total profit
- $354,638
- Equity at exit
- $212,612
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14206
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 169
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,774 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $551/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$583
- Net cashflow
- $1,354
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,433 | -5% $1,393 | +0% $1,354 | +5% $1,314 | +10% $1,274 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,134 | -5% $1,244 | +0% $1,354 | +5% $1,463 | +10% $1,573 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,424 | -0.5pp $1,389 | base $1,354 | +0.5pp $1,317 | +1.0pp $1,280 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $2,774 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,387 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,387 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,774 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $139,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-11$159,000 Active 1265-char remark
-
2017-05-12soldstatus $47,000
-
2017-05-09soldstatus $47,000 Closed Sale or Rented 67-char remark
Show marketing remark (67 chars)
Great rental area. Long time tenants. Both units in good condition.
-
2017-03-30status Pending Sale 67-char remark
Show marketing remark (67 chars)
Great rental area. Long time tenants. Both units in good condition.
-
2017-03-09historical Under Contract- Do Not Show 67-char remark
Show marketing remark (67 chars)
Great rental area. Long time tenants. Both units in good condition.
-
2017-03-07status Pending Sale 67-char remark
Show marketing remark (67 chars)
Great rental area. Long time tenants. Both units in good condition.
-
2017-02-03price $53,000 67-char remark
Show marketing remark (67 chars)
Great rental area. Long time tenants. Both units in good condition.
-
2016-04-14price $61,900 67-char remark
Show marketing remark (67 chars)
Great rental area. Long time tenants. Both units in good condition.
-
2015-10-16$67,500 Active 67-char remark
Show marketing remark (67 chars)
Great rental area. Long time tenants. Both units in good condition.
-
2012-08-03soldstatus $52,000
-
2012-02-03soldstatus $20,000
-
2012-02-03soldstatus $20,000
-
2011-12-28$30,000
-
2006-03-10soldstatus $61,450
-
2006-01-31soldstatus $20,500
-
1999-01-15soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $551 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,458 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- +$906/yr (+$76/mo · 164.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,288
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$551
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,663
- − Management
- −$2,663
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $14,805
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,553
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,690/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,631
- Household income
- $50,450
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 841.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 25% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.06%
- Current HPI
- 457.3935
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+210.9% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $139,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $159,000 WNYREIS
- 2017-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 2017-05-09 Sold (MLS) $47,000 WNYREIS
- 2017-03-30 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2017-03-09 Contingent — WNYREIS
- 2017-03-07 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2017-02-03 Price Changed $53,000 WNYREIS
- 2016-04-14 Price Changed $61,900 WNYREIS
- 2015-10-16 Listed $67,500 WNYREIS
- 2012-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 2012-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2012-02-03 Sold (MLS) $20,000 WNYREIS
- 2011-12-28 Listed $30,000 WNYREIS
- 2006-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $61,450 Public Records
- 2006-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $20,500 Public Records
- 1999-01-15 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $551 · +85.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…