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124 Ludington St Duplex
B+ Composite 78.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$139,900

124 Ludington St · Buffalo, NY 14206
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,370 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1900 2,696 sqft lot $59/sqft · 51% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Great rental area. Long time tenants. Both units in good condition.

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • Investment property
  • Spacious unit

Tags

INVESTMENT PROPERTYSTRONG RENTAL STABILITYIMMEDIATE INCOME POTENTIALSPACIOUS UNITLARGE LIVING ROOMFORMAL DINING ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Operating expenses include insurance, maintenance, professional management, and water/sewer; Owner pays trash collection and water (see remarks); Rent includes trash collection and water (see remarks); Two leased units with current rents of $1,000 and $995

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Public water connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Two-story multifamily building; Resale property; Wood siding
  • Construction: Wood siding construction; Existing year built; Full basement foundation
  • Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Porch; Rectangular residential lot; Near public transit; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchens; Formal dining rooms
  • Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom (2 full bathrooms total)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Forced air; Hot water heating
  • Interior features: Full basement; Enclosed porch
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $677/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.9% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,774/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 841% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $47k; list at $140k implies a 198% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $135,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.98%
Cap rate
17.90%
Cash-on-cash
41.47%
DSCR
2.84
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$285,678
List price
$139,900
Delta
-51.03%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
153 Ideal St 0.15mi 6/2.5 2,390 (+1%) 10mo $141,500 $59 82
53 Gold St 0.25mi 6/2.0 2,412 (+2%) 11mo $170,000 $70 77
1514 William St 0.34mi 6/2.0 2,200 (-7%) 4mo $175,000 $80 69
1047 E Lovejoy St 0.14mi 6/2.0 2,640 (+11%) 15mo $220,000 $83 62
136 Longnecker St 0.07mi 6/2.0 2,705 (+14%) 14mo $195,000 $72 61
55 N Ogden St Unit E 0.37mi 6/2.0 2,184 (-8%) 14mo $220,000 $101 58
120 Gold Street St 0.20mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,104 (-11%) 15mo $151,000 $72 54
8 Wagner Ave 0.52mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,149 (-9%) 2mo $205,000 $95 49
965 E Lovejoy St 0.22mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,696 (+14%) 18mo $150,000 $56 47
103 Goethe St 0.48mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,024 (-15%) 15mo $140,000 $69 36
45 N Ogden St 0.38mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,712 (+14%) 20mo $223,000 $82 33
75 Brownell St 0.74mi 7/3.0 (+1) 2,565 (+8%) 16mo $81,500 $32 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.8%
Equity multiple
4.68×
Total profit
$144,325
Equity at exit
$106,842
10-year hold
IRR
48.9%
Equity multiple
10.05×
Total profit
$354,638
Equity at exit
$212,612

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14206

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
169
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,774 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $551/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$583
Net cashflow
$1,354

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,061
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,433 -5% $1,393 +0% $1,354 +5% $1,314 +10% $1,274
Rent -10% $1,134 -5% $1,244 +0% $1,354 +5% $1,463 +10% $1,573
Rate -1.0pp $1,424 -0.5pp $1,389 base $1,354 +0.5pp $1,317 +1.0pp $1,280

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,774

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,900 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-11
    listed $159,000 Active 1265-char remark
  16. 2017-05-12
    soldstatus $47,000
  17. 2017-05-09
    soldstatus $47,000 Closed Sale or Rented 67-char remark
    Show marketing remark (67 chars)

    Great rental area. Long time tenants. Both units in good condition.

  18. 2017-03-30
    status Pending Sale 67-char remark
    Show marketing remark (67 chars)

    Great rental area. Long time tenants. Both units in good condition.

  19. 2017-03-09
    historical Under Contract- Do Not Show 67-char remark
    Show marketing remark (67 chars)

    Great rental area. Long time tenants. Both units in good condition.

  20. 2017-03-07
    status Pending Sale 67-char remark
    Show marketing remark (67 chars)

    Great rental area. Long time tenants. Both units in good condition.

  21. 2017-02-03
    price $53,000 67-char remark
    Show marketing remark (67 chars)

    Great rental area. Long time tenants. Both units in good condition.

  22. 2016-04-14
    price $61,900 67-char remark
    Show marketing remark (67 chars)

    Great rental area. Long time tenants. Both units in good condition.

  23. 2015-10-16
    listed $67,500 Active 67-char remark
    Show marketing remark (67 chars)

    Great rental area. Long time tenants. Both units in good condition.

  24. 2012-08-03
    soldstatus $52,000
  25. 2012-02-03
    soldstatus $20,000
  26. 2012-02-03
    soldstatus $20,000
  27. 2011-12-28
    listed $30,000
  28. 2006-03-10
    soldstatus $61,450
  29. 2006-01-31
    soldstatus $20,500
  30. 1999-01-15
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$551 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,458 · $121/mo
Expected delta
+$906/yr (+$76/mo · 164.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,288
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$551
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,663
− Management
−$2,663
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$14,805
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,553
After-tax cash flow
$12,690/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
21,631
Household income
$50,450
Rent vs Own
39.3% rent · 60.7% own
Severe rent burden
841.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 25% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.06%
Current HPI
457.3935
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+210.9% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Price Changed $139,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $159,000 WNYREIS
  • 2017-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
  • 2017-05-09 Sold (MLS) $47,000 WNYREIS
  • 2017-03-30 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2017-03-09 Contingent WNYREIS
  • 2017-03-07 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2017-02-03 Price Changed $53,000 WNYREIS
  • 2016-04-14 Price Changed $61,900 WNYREIS
  • 2015-10-16 Listed $67,500 WNYREIS
  • 2012-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
  • 2012-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 2012-02-03 Sold (MLS) $20,000 WNYREIS
  • 2011-12-28 Listed $30,000 WNYREIS
  • 2006-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $61,450 Public Records
  • 2006-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $20,500 Public Records
  • 1999-01-15 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $551 · +85.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…