4209 Lesley Ave · Indianapolis city (balance), IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step right up, folks, and feast your eyes on 4209 Lesley AVE, a charming single-family residence in INDIANAPOLIS, IN. PERFECT for investors or anyone wanting to add to their portfilio! Large Back Yard , There's plenty of space for everyone to spread out and dream big.
Key facts
- Large back yard
- 0.34 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage (528 sq ft)
- Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer connected; No solid waste service listed
- Home design: Single-family residence; Attached property; One level
- Construction: Vinyl with brick exterior; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Approximately 0.35 acre lot (about 1/4–1/2 acre); Property faces east
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator included
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank throughout main living areas and bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Attic access; Living room with luxury vinyl plank flooring; Dining room with luxury vinyl plank flooring; Kitchen with luxury vinyl plank flooring; Laundry room with luxury vinyl plank flooring; Additional main-level room with luxury vinyl plank flooring
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 151 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.8% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $19k; list at $99k implies a 432% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.37%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $139,400
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5605 Glencoe St | 0.22mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,056 (+3%) | 10mo | $158,500 | $150 | 71 |
| 3904 N Graham Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+5%) | 1mo | $107,000 | $99 | 68 |
| 5601 Glencoe St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+12%) | 9mo | $173,000 | $150 | 60 |
| 4002 N Catherwood Ave | 0.57mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 984 (-4%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $127 | 58 |
| 4101 N Arlington Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 944 (-8%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $154 | 58 |
| 3938 N Grand Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 993 (-3%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $136 | 55 |
| 4464 N Campbell Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,176 (+15%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $136 | 50 |
| 4509 Priscilla Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (+15%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $106 | 50 |
| 4071 Sawyer St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 964 (-6%) | 14mo | $36,000 | $37 | 49 |
| 4463 N Bolton Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (+15%) | 6mo | $148,500 | $126 | 48 |
| 3715 N Irvington Ave | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,104 (+8%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $109 | 43 |
| 4514 Priscilla Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (+15%) | 11mo | $180,000 | $153 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $4,384
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $46,376
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46226
- Rents YoY
- 6.8%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,298 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$225 /mo · $2,702/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $239
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5602 Glencoe St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,749 | $1.75 | 17d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 5865 E 46th St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3836 Priscilla Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1040 | $1,275 | $1.23 | 2d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 4404 Park Forest Ct Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,180 | $1.27 | 21d | 2 | 0.57mi |
| 4430 Park Forest Ct Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,180 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3912 N Webster Ave Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,350 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4555 N Arlington Ave Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 880 | $1,379 | $1.57 | 3d | 30 | 0.58mi |
| 4438 Park Forest Ct Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,180 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4411 Park Forest Ct Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,180 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4437 Park Forest Ct Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,180 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4445 Park Forest Ct Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,180 | $1.27 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4504 Park Forest Ct Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,180 | $1.27 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4521 Park Forest Ct Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,180 | $1.69 | 4d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3718 N Audubon Rd Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,300 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4537 Park Forest Ct Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,180 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4545 Park Forest Ct Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,180 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4405 Park Forest Ct Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,180 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3815 N Grand Ave Unit 3815 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 965 | $1,250 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3636 N Whittier Pl Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $995 | $1.09 | 7d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4511 N Kenmore Rd Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,095 | $1.75 | 4d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 6005 Dickson Rd Unit 4 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $725 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 6015 Dickson Rd #1 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $950 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 6049 Dickson Rd Apt 4 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3639 N Emerson Ave Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 6048 Dickson Rd #3 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $900 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 6563 E 46th St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1185 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 4d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3516 N Hawthorne Ln Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,225 | $1.32 | 4d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 6108 Dickson Rd Unit 3 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 6118 Dickson Rd Apt 3 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6051 Laurel Hall Dr Apt 4 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4839 N Kenmore Rd Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,533 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 6028 Laurel Hall Dr #3 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $950 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 6111 Laurel Hall Dr #1 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $950 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 6111 Laurel Hall Dr #3 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $950 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4307 N Edmondson Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,299 | $1.44 | 2d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3734 Manor Ct Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1414 | $1,399 | $0.99 | 7d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3319 N Hawthorne Ln Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3301 Mardenna Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,200 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3316 N Emerson Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,100 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3900 N Shadeland Ave Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,075 | $1.00 | 3d | 6 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-16status $99,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 268-char remark
-
2026-06-13$99,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,702 · $225/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,702 · $225/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,570
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$2,702
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,246
- − Management
- −$1,246
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $1,456
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$350
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,524/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indianapolis Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1804770
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,034
- Composite
- 13.69/100
- National rank
- #9499
- State rank
- #286 of 301 in IN
Livability — Indianapolis city (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indianapolis city (balance), IN
- County
- Marion County · 998,460 people
- City population
- 881,119
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,099
- Household income
- $50,325
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2742.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,572 people
- By 2030
- 1,065,727 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 1,141,577 · +11.3%
- By 2050
- 1,208,920 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 1,367,288 · +33.3%
- By 2100
- 1,438,201 · +40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 53% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.7) · D 63.0% · R 35.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 27.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.7 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+28.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -218.85%
- Current HPI
- 239.43
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.76%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+453.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $99,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-30 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-27 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-26 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-17 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-14 Price Changed $134,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-08 Listed $145,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-05 Listed $120,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-08-28 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-07-26 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-07-26 Listed $59,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-07-20 Listed $67,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-06-10 Sold (MLS) $18,600 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-03-12 Listed $17,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+15.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,702 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…