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4209 Lesley Ave
B- Composite 68.05
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

4209 Lesley Ave · Indianapolis city (balance), IN 46226
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,025 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1953 0.34 ac lot Est $139k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Step right up, folks, and feast your eyes on 4209 Lesley AVE, a charming single-family residence in INDIANAPOLIS, IN. PERFECT for investors or anyone wanting to add to their portfilio! Large Back Yard , There's plenty of space for everyone to spread out and dream big.

Key facts

  • Large back yard
  • 0.34 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

LARGE BACK YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage (528 sq ft)
  • Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer connected; No solid waste service listed
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Attached property; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl with brick exterior; Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Approximately 0.35 acre lot (about 1/4–1/2 acre); Property faces east

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator included
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank throughout main living areas and bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Attic access; Living room with luxury vinyl plank flooring; Dining room with luxury vinyl plank flooring; Kitchen with luxury vinyl plank flooring; Laundry room with luxury vinyl plank flooring; Additional main-level room with luxury vinyl plank flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 151 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.8% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $19k; list at $99k implies a 432% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $99,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
9.20%
Cash-on-cash
10.37%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$139,400
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5605 Glencoe St 0.22mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,056 (+3%) 10mo $158,500 $150 71
3904 N Graham Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,080 (+5%) 1mo $107,000 $99 68
5601 Glencoe St 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+12%) 9mo $173,000 $150 60
4002 N Catherwood Ave 0.57mi 4/1.0 (+1) 984 (-4%) 2mo $125,000 $127 58
4101 N Arlington Ave 0.45mi 3/1.0 944 (-8%) 6mo $145,000 $154 58
3938 N Grand Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 993 (-3%) 9mo $135,000 $136 55
4464 N Campbell Ave 0.46mi 3/1.5 1,176 (+15%) 5mo $160,000 $136 50
4509 Priscilla Ave 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,176 (+15%) 3mo $125,000 $106 50
4071 Sawyer St 0.59mi 3/1.0 964 (-6%) 14mo $36,000 $37 49
4463 N Bolton Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,176 (+15%) 6mo $148,500 $126 48
3715 N Irvington Ave 0.70mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,104 (+8%) 5mo $120,000 $109 43
4514 Priscilla Ave 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,176 (+15%) 11mo $180,000 $153 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.76% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.9%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$4,384
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
17.0%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$46,376
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46226

Rents YoY
6.8%
Active inventory
151
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,298 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$225 /mo · $2,702/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$272
Net cashflow
$239

Break-even live

Break-even rent $994
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5602 Glencoe St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,749 $1.75 17d 1 0.21mi
5865 E 46th St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,500 $1.07 43d 1 0.47mi
3836 Priscilla Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.5 1040 $1,275 $1.23 2d 1 0.52mi
4404 Park Forest Ct Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 928 $1,180 $1.27 21d 2 0.57mi
4430 Park Forest Ct Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 928 $1,180 $1.27 43d 1 0.57mi
3912 N Webster Ave Indianapolis, IN 4.0 1.0 1274 $1,350 $1.06 21d 1 0.57mi
4555 N Arlington Ave Indianapolis, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 880 $1,379 $1.57 3d 30 0.58mi
4438 Park Forest Ct Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 928 $1,180 $1.27 43d 1 0.58mi
4411 Park Forest Ct Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 928 $1,180 $1.27 43d 1 0.59mi
4437 Park Forest Ct Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 928 $1,180 $1.27 43d 1 0.60mi
4445 Park Forest Ct Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 928 $1,180 $1.27 3d 1 0.61mi
4504 Park Forest Ct Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 928 $1,180 $1.27 3d 1 0.61mi
4521 Park Forest Ct Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $1,180 $1.69 4d 1 0.63mi
3718 N Audubon Rd Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 875 $1,300 $1.49 23d 1 0.67mi
4537 Park Forest Ct Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 928 $1,180 $1.27 43d 1 0.67mi
4545 Park Forest Ct Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 928 $1,180 $1.27 43d 1 0.67mi
4405 Park Forest Ct Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 928 $1,180 $1.27 23d 1 0.70mi
3815 N Grand Ave Unit 3815 Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 965 $1,250 $1.30 4d 1 0.72mi
3636 N Whittier Pl Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 912 $995 $1.09 7d 1 0.79mi
4511 N Kenmore Rd Indianapolis, IN 4.0 2.0 1200 $2,095 $1.75 4d 1 0.85mi
6005 Dickson Rd Unit 4 Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 873 $725 $0.83 43d 1 0.90mi
6015 Dickson Rd #1 Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 825 $950 $1.15 43d 1 0.91mi
6049 Dickson Rd Apt 4 Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 43d 1 0.94mi
3639 N Emerson Ave Indianapolis, IN 4.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 21d 1 0.95mi
6048 Dickson Rd #3 Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 725 $900 $1.24 43d 1 0.97mi
6563 E 46th St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.5 1185 $1,250 $1.05 4d 1 0.97mi
3516 N Hawthorne Ln Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 925 $1,225 $1.32 4d 1 0.98mi
6108 Dickson Rd Unit 3 Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 43d 1 0.99mi
6118 Dickson Rd Apt 3 Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 43d 1 1.00mi
6051 Laurel Hall Dr Apt 4 Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 43d 1 1.01mi
4839 N Kenmore Rd Indianapolis, IN 3.0 2.0 1215 $1,533 $1.26 21d 1 1.01mi
6028 Laurel Hall Dr #3 Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 875 $950 $1.09 43d 1 1.02mi
6111 Laurel Hall Dr #1 Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 725 $950 $1.31 23d 1 1.03mi
6111 Laurel Hall Dr #3 Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 725 $950 $1.31 43d 1 1.03mi
4307 N Edmondson Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 900 $1,299 $1.44 2d 1 1.12mi
3734 Manor Ct Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1414 $1,399 $0.99 7d 1 1.22mi
3319 N Hawthorne Ln Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,100 $1.01 23d 1 1.25mi
3301 Mardenna Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 925 $1,200 $1.30 43d 1 1.29mi
3316 N Emerson Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 912 $1,100 $1.21 23d 1 1.33mi
3900 N Shadeland Ave Indianapolis, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0 1070 $1,075 $1.00 3d 6 1.37mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $99,000 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    remarks 268-char remark
  5. 2026-06-13
    listed $99,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,702 · $225/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,702 · $225/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,570
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$2,702
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,246
− Management
−$1,246
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$1,456
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$350
After-tax cash flow
$2,524/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indianapolis Public Schools
NCES district ID
1804770
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$32,034
Composite
13.69/100
National rank
#9499
State rank
#286 of 301 in IN

Livability — Indianapolis city (balance)

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Indianapolis city (balance), IN
County
Marion County · 998,460 people
City population
881,119
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
Population (ZIP)
47,099
Household income
$50,325
Rent vs Own
53.8% rent · 46.2% own
Severe rent burden
2742.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,572 people
By 2030
1,065,727 · +3.9%
By 2040
1,141,577 · +11.3%
By 2050
1,208,920 · +17.9%
By 2075
1,367,288 · +33.3%
By 2100
1,438,201 · +40.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 53% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Strong D (+27.7) · D 63.0% · R 35.3% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-0.7pp no change · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 27.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+27.7 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+28.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -218.85%
Current HPI
239.43
Rent YoY
▲ 6.76%
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+453.1% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $99,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-30 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-27 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-26 Relisted MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-17 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-14 Price Changed $134,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-08 Listed $145,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-05 Listed $120,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-08-28 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-07-26 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-07-26 Listed $59,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-07-20 Listed $67,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-06-10 Sold (MLS) $18,600 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-03-12 Listed $17,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+15.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,702 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…