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212 13th St
B+ Composite 76.57
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$138,000

212 13th St · Norfolk, NE 68701
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,380 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 75 Days on market
Built 1915 Est $244k · 44% under ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath bungalow offers a smart opportunity for both investors and first-time homeowners alike. Featuring a full unfinished basement with excellent potential for added living space or storage, this solid home is, ready to grow with your needs. Major mechanical updates include a newer A/C, furnace, and hot water heater—providing peace of mind and efficiency. Outside, you’ll find a rare 1-car detached drive-through garage with an attached carport and alley access, perfect for extra vehicles, hobbies, or convenience. Whether you’re looking for a solid investment or a comfortable place to start, this property delivers value, flexibility, and lo

Key facts

  • Alley access
  • Attached carport
  • Garage

Tags

FULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTATTACHED CARPORTALLEY ACCESS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $138k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $532 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $138k).
  • Recommended offer: $130k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.2% in Norfolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#54 in NE, #2,611 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Norfolk Public Schools (town): math 44% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #84 of 111 in NE (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Norfolk Middle School (math 47% / reading 45%, grade D+, #60 of 128 statewide, top 48%, 600 students, 56% FRL); Norfolk Senior High School (math 44% / reading 38%, grade F, #180 of 261 statewide, top 69%, 1,346 students, 46% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 230 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 270 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (196 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $954 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $129,719 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.92%
Cash-on-cash
16.51%
DSCR
1.73
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$244,260
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1313 Park Ave 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,209 (-12%) 6mo $192,000 $159 68
1008 Verges Ave 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,417 (+3%) 1mo $180,000 $127 67
406 Skyview Cir 0.49mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,398 (+1%) 8mo $355,000 $254 63
1809 Taylor Ave 0.47mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,446 (+5%) 5mo $295,000 $204 61
211 13th St 0.31mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (+11%) 3mo $185,000 $120 59
608 9th St 0.48mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,521 (+10%) 1mo $132,500 $87 55
308 13th Pl 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,582 (+15%) 5mo $280,000 $177 53
213 9th St 0.48mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,528 (+11%) 6mo $208,500 $136 49
2002 Sunset Ave 0.48mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,232 (-11%) 7mo $234,000 $190 49
728 11th St 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,461 (+6%) 12mo $185,000 $127 47
825 8th St 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,530 (+11%) 12mo $290,000 $190 38
1407 Elm 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,188 (-14%) 12mo $214,900 $181 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$12,047
Equity at exit
$20,576
10-year hold
IRR
17.4%
Equity multiple
2.46×
Total profit
$56,355
Equity at exit
$11,932

Cash invested: $38,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68701

Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
230
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,795 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$724
Tax from tax record
$105 /mo · $1,265/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$377
Net cashflow
$532

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,122
Max offer price $138,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $610 -5% $571 +0% $532 +5% $493 +10% $454
Rent -10% $390 -5% $461 +0% $532 +5% $603 +10% $673
Rate -1.0pp $601 -0.5pp $567 base $532 +0.5pp $496 +1.0pp $460

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,500
Closing costs
$4,140
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1208 Koenigstein Ave Norfolk, NE 3.0 1.5 1140 $2,200 $1.93 44d 1 0.26mi
1401 Lakewood Dr Norfolk, NE 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 937 $1,345 $1.43 24d 2 1.31mi
901 Syracuse Ave Norfolk, NE 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,095 $1.09 44d 1 1.35mi
1303 Galeta Ave Norfolk, NE 2.0 1.0 900 $1,270 $1.41 19d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-15
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-06
    price $138,000
  3. 2026-03-28
    price $149,900
  4. 2026-03-03
    price $155,000
  5. 2026-01-30
    listed $165,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,265 · $105/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,387 · $199/mo
Expected delta
+$1,123/yr (+$94/mo · 88.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,543
− Mortgage interest
−$7,730
− Property taxes
−$1,265
− Insurance
−$690
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,723
− Management
−$1,723
− Depreciation
−$4,015
Taxable income
$4,397
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,055
After-tax cash flow
$5,325/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Norfolk Public Schools
NCES district ID
3174430
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$46,579
Composite
38.31/100
National rank
#4227
State rank
#84 of 111 in NE

Livability — Norfolk

Score
78/100
State rank
#54
US rank
#2611

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Norfolk, NE
County
Madison County · 31,417 people
City population
31,417
Metro
Norfolk, NE
Population (ZIP)
31,417
Household income
$62,633
Rent vs Own
35.5% rent · 64.5% own
Severe rent burden
861.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
35,536 people
By 2030
35,518 · -0.1%
By 2040
35,170 · -1.0%
By 2050
34,606 · -2.6%
By 2075
34,522 · -2.9%
By 2100
34,307 · -3.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Native American 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.0) · D 21.4% · R 77.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-16.8pp toward R · 2008: -39.2pp · 2024: -56.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.0 2020: R+53.5 2016: R+56.3 2012: R+48.1 2008: R+39.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -172.61%
Current HPI
260.5574
Rent YoY
▲ 3.31%
Metro
Norfolk, NE
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Pending NNEMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $138,000 NNEMLS
  • 2026-03-28 Price Changed $149,900 NNEMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $155,000 NNEMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $165,000 NNEMLS

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,265 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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