3500 35th Ave #60 · Evans, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful 2 bedroom, 1 bed bath manufactured home in Country Estates with modern upgrades. The great outdoor space offers a large deck that is perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Built in 2017 with 784 sq ft, this home is clean, cozy, and move-in ready. Located in a well-kept community close to shopping, dining, and easy access to HWY 34 and Hwy 85. Please call Rachelle Alves at 970-590-7133 for information or to set up a showing.
Key facts
- Large deck
- Modern upgrades
- Outdoor space
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; No designated parking features
- Utilities: Water meter installed; No water rights
- Home design: Manufactured in park; Mobile home
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Storage outbuilding; Land lease; Deciduous trees; Native grass; Level lot; Paved access; Street light; House faces west; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Open floorplan; Window coverings
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.4% vs local median 3.8% in Evans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#104 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, health & safety F.
- Greeleyschool District No. 6 In The County Of Weld And Sta (urban): math 15% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #71 of 86 in CO (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Greeley West High School (math 20% / reading 39%, grade F, #244 of 381 statewide, top 66%, 1,885 students, 64% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 414 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,170 units permitted in Weld County in 2024 (278 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Weld County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 68.33%
- DSCR
- 4.04
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $49,392
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3500 35th Ave #3 | 0.16mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 784 (0%) | 3mo | $49,000 | $63 | 83 |
| 3500 35th Ave #76 | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 854 (+9%) | 23mo | $31,000 | $36 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 64.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.76×
- Total profit
- $50,160
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 67.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.94×
- Total profit
- $108,146
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80634
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 414
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,809 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$25 /mo · $303/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$380
- Net cashflow
- $1,036
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2846 Arbor Dr #2898 Evans, CO | 2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1327 | $1,738 | $1.31 | 13d | 3 | 0.34mi |
| 3301 Abbey Rd Evans, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 913 | $2,112 | $2.31 | 13d | 10 | 0.51mi |
| 3770 Ponderosa Ct #1 Evans, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1047 | $1,650 | $1.58 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2506 32nd St Evans, CO | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $2,025 | $1.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2162 30th St Greeley, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 688 | $1,399 | $2.03 | 13d | 16 | 1.07mi |
| 2507 W 27th St Apt C Greeley, CO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1064 | $1,225 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3800 Centerplace Dr Greeley, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 973 | $2,356 | $2.42 | 13d | 18 | 1.16mi |
| 1751 Rowan Ln Evans, CO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 841 | $1,750 | $2.08 | 13d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4620 Tuscany St Evans, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1016 | $2,350 | $2.31 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3775 W 25th St Greeley, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 855 | $1,570 | $1.84 | 13d | 4 | 1.30mi |
| 2310 W 25th Street Rd Greeley, CO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 13d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1750 Greeley Mall Greeley, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 805 | $1,573 | $1.95 | 13d | 4 | 1.37mi |
| 3770 W 24th St Greeley, CO | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 936 | $1,434 | $1.53 | 23d | 6 | 1.37mi |
| 1722 30th St Greeley, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 709 | $1,355 | $1.91 | 1d | 13 | 1.39mi |
| 1905 28th St Greeley, CO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,330 | $1.48 | 13d | 2 | 1.42mi |
| 2405 38th Ave Greeley, CO | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 884 | $1,945 | $2.20 | 13d | 19 | 1.43mi |
| 4750 29th St Greeley, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1007 | $2,130 | $2.11 | 13d | 20 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $65,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $65,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-04-11price $65,000
-
2026-03-09$70,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $303 · $25/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $358 · $30/mo
- Expected delta
- +$55/yr (+$5/mo · 18.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,714
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$303
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,737
- − Management
- −$1,737
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $12,080
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,899
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,537/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greeleyschool District No. 6 In The County Of Weld And Sta
- NCES district ID
- 0804410
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,417
- Composite
- 19.99/100
- National rank
- #8667
- State rank
- #71 of 86 in CO
Livability — Evans
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #104
- US rank
- #9005
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Weld County · 332,652 people
- City population
- 20,798
- Metro
- Greeley, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,622
- Household income
- $82,742
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2101.0
Population outlook (Weld County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 351,957 people
- By 2030
- 385,304 · +9.5%
- By 2040
- 451,818 · +28.4%
- By 2050
- 514,478 · +46.2%
- By 2075
- 648,733 · +84.3%
- By 2100
- 720,400 · +104.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 13% Asian 1% Black 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Weld
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.0) · D 38.2% · R 59.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -21.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.0 2020: R+18.0 2016: R+22.4 2012: R+13.2 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -358.79%
- Current HPI
- 254.9376
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.34%
- Metro
- Greeley, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-7.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-11 Price Changed $65,000 IRES
- 2026-03-09 Listed $70,000 IRES
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $303 · +262.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…