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104 Windsong Dr
C Composite 55.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.2/30.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.8/15.0

$239,900

104 Windsong Dr · Altavista, VA 24571
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,340 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1956 0.72 ac lot Est $213k · 13% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 104 Windsong Drive! This charming 3-BR home is move-in ready and filled with thoughtful updates throughout. Beautiful hardwood floors have been freshly refinished, creating an inviting atmosphere. Completely renovated kitchen features stainless appliances, new countertops, sink and flooring. Enjoy your morning coffee or unwind in the cozy sunroom, which opens directly onto the deck-perfect for grilling, outdoor dining, or relaxing with friends. Additional updates include a fully rewired electrical system with grounded outlets and an updated main-level bathroom. The full basement offers abundant storage space and endless possibilities for a workshop, hobby area, or future expansio

Key facts

  • Stainless appliances
  • Renovated kitchen
  • Sunroom

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSRENOVATED KITCHENSTAINLESS APPLIANCESSUNROOMUPDATED MAIN-LEVEL BATHROOMFULL BASEMENT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; R-1 zoning; One story
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Garden; Deck; Storm door(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator; Microwave
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace in the living room; Full walk-out basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $345 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.9% in Altavista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#367 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, amenities F.
  • Campbell County Public School District (rural): math 55% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #55 of 131 in VA (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Altavista Elementary (math 59% / reading 64%, grade B, #516 of 1,108 statewide, top 47%, 500 students, 75% FRL); Altavista High (math 40% / reading 72%, grade C, #275 of 319 statewide, top 87%, 669 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 37% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 315 units permitted in Campbell County in 2024 (51 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
  • Campbell County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $239,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.02%
Cash-on-cash
6.17%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$213,060
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2851 Wileman Rd 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,364 (+2%) 21mo $216,500 $159 52
127 Oak Ridge Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+4%) 20mo $175,000 $125 43
78 Hogan Hill Ln 0.57mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,170 (-13%) 9mo $245,000 $209 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.88% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$49,350
Equity at exit
$106,193
10-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
3.19×
Total profit
$146,923
Equity at exit
$162,364

Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24571

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
61
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,536 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,258
Tax est. 1.5%
$300 /mo · $3,598/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$532
Net cashflow
$345

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,099
Max offer price $239,900
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $511 -5% $428 +0% $345 +5% $262 +10% $179
Rent -10% $145 -5% $245 +0% $345 +5% $445 +10% $546
Rate -1.0pp $466 -0.5pp $406 base $345 +0.5pp $283 +1.0pp $220

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,975
Closing costs
$7,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $239,900 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $239,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $239,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-16
    listed $239,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,427
− Mortgage interest
−$13,438
− Property taxes
−$3,598
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,434
− Management
−$2,434
− Depreciation
−$6,979
Taxable income
$344
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$83
After-tax cash flow
$4,060/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Campbell County Public School District
NCES district ID
5100600
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
68% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$45,915
Composite
51.88/100
National rank
#1656
State rank
#55 of 131 in VA

Livability — Altavista

Score
64/100
State rank
#367
US rank
#14611

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing B- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,073

Population outlook (Campbell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
56,306 people
By 2030
56,366 · +0.1%
By 2040
55,406 · -1.6%
By 2050
53,011 · -5.9%
By 2075
45,932 · -18.4%
By 2100
36,029 · -36.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Two or more races 9% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1% Pacific Islander 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Campbell

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.6) · D 25.3% · R 73.9%
2008→2024 swing
-12.3pp toward R · 2008: -36.2pp · 2024: -48.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.6 2020: R+44.1 2016: R+47.2 2012: R+39.4 2008: R+36.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.88%
Current HPI
164.3696
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $239,900 LMLS

Property tax history

+42.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $457 · +958.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…