9808 Conway Dr · Indianapolis city (balance), IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- ARV discount +11.1/15.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Four bedroom ranch on the east side. Attached garage. Vinyl windows. Central air. Nice sized back yard. Large, eat-in kitchen. Washer-dryer hook-up. 4th bedroom could be a nice office off of garage. Needs cosmetics. Could be a good owner occupant home or a nice addition to a portfolio.
Key facts
- Modernized kitchen
- Interstate access
- Spacious city lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car, approximately 288 sq ft)
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Water connected; Cable available; Electric with circuit breakers; No solid waste service listed
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; East-facing; Entry level on main floor
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Front porch; No fence; City lot with curb, sidewalks, street lights, storm sewer, access to suburb amenities; Less than 1/4 acre lot (approximately 0.17 acre); Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Range hood; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level (sizes include 11 x 9, 9 x 10, and 12 x 11)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub and shower (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Attic access; Eat-in kitchen
- Laundry & utility: Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $319 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Arsenal Technical High School (math 6% / reading 27%, grade F, #353 of 369 statewide, top 96%, 2,366 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools at 74% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 54 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $105k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.94%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $135,648
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4101 Baker Dr | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (+4%) | 4mo | $122,000 | $136 | 85 |
| 9420 Conried Dr | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (+4%) | 6mo | $119,000 | $132 | 76 |
| 3944 Strathmore Dr | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (+7%) | 12mo | $162,900 | $176 | 72 |
| 9707 E 39th St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (+7%) | 7mo | $103,000 | $111 | 71 |
| 3943 N Mitthoefer Rd | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (+8%) | 6mo | $149,900 | $160 | 64 |
| 3926 Downes Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 925 (+7%) | 15mo | $140,000 | $151 | 64 |
| 3920 Strathmore Dr | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (+7%) | 20mo | $125,000 | $135 | 63 |
| 9513 E 39th Pl | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 925 (+7%) | 15mo | $160,000 | $173 | 62 |
| 9526 Burrwood Ct | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (+7%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $200 | 62 |
| 3901 Della Ct | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 925 (+7%) | 15mo | $150,000 | $162 | 62 |
| 9920 Catalina Dr | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (+7%) | 15mo | $145,000 | $157 | 59 |
| 8908 Elmonte Dr | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (+7%) | 16mo | $132,500 | $143 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-576
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $23,052
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46235
- Home prices YoY
- -4.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,520 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$175 /mo · $2,098/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $319
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3962 Strathmore Dr Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,250 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 9438 Conried Dr Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $1,445 | $1.32 | 4d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 10101 Montery Rd Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 627 | $1,439 | $2.30 | 2d | 10 | 0.42mi |
| 9060 E 39th Pl Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 820 | $1,040 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 9226 E 36th Pl Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1073 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 7d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3519 Jerome Ct Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1107 | $1,995 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 8862 Bel Air Ct Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1073 | $1,264 | $1.18 | 18d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3525 Luewan Ct Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1107 | $1,750 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3938 Biscayne Rd Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,895 | $1.90 | 3d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3645 Wingate Ct Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 774 | $1,500 | $1.94 | 24d | 6 | 0.91mi |
| 8724 Montery Rd Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,500 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3809 Biscayne Rd Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 992 | $1,020 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3631 Decamp Dr Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,335 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4315 Aspen Way Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,380 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3665 Coneflower Way Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $1,375 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-17status $124,900 Pending 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 528-char remark
-
2026-06-07$124,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,098 · $175/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,098 · $175/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,236
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$2,098
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,459
- − Management
- −$1,459
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $1,966
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$472
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,353/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indianapolis Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1804770
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,034
- Composite
- 13.69/100
- National rank
- #9499
- State rank
- #286 of 301 in IN
Livability — Indianapolis city (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indianapolis city (balance), IN
- County
- Marion County · 998,460 people
- City population
- 881,119
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,317
- Household income
- $58,951
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1901.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,572 people
- By 2030
- 1,065,727 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 1,141,577 · +11.3%
- By 2050
- 1,208,920 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 1,367,288 · +33.3%
- By 2100
- 1,438,201 · +40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 15% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.7) · D 63.0% · R 35.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 27.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.7 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+28.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.41%
- Current HPI
- 275.1505
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.56%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+78.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $124,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2022-10-28 Sold (MLS) $105,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-06 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-30 Listed $114,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
- 2006-01-26 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-11-12 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-07-26 Listed $68,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-11-12 Listed $40,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-12-05 Sold (MLS) $69,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-11-15 Listed $70,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,098 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…