2688 N Pilgrim Ln · Boise City, ID
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- ARV discount +6.1/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully renovated home in the desirable 55+ Granger Sub community. Filled with natural light, this inviting home features 9 foot ceilings in the main living area, creating an open and airy feel that is perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The fully remodeled kitchen is a highlight of the home, offering gorgeous quartz countertops, brand-new cabinetry, and a charming window seat that brings in abundant natural light. An ideal spot to enjoy your morning coffee or a quiet afternoon break. Both bathrooms have been thoughtfully updated with fresh, modern finishes, creating a clean and cohesive feel throughout the home. The comfortable floor plan provides welcomi
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Renovated home
- 9 foot ceilings
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $326 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.6% in Boise City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Joint School District No. 2 (suburban): math 53% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #11 of 92 in ID (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Ustick Elementary School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #272 of 357 statewide, top 80%, 357 students, 60% FRL); Centennial High School (math 53% / reading 76%, grade B-, #10 of 169 statewide, top 7%, 1,931 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 23% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 193 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,129 units permitted in Ada County in 2024 (414 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ada County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.19%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $121,044
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2688 N Pilgrim Ln | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (0%) | 1mo | $124,900 | $135 | 99 |
| 9915 W Abram Ln | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (0%) | 17mo | $109,000 | $118 | 80 |
| 9916 W Dewitt Ln | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (0%) | 20mo | $110,000 | $119 | 73 |
| 10690 Java Ct | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+4%) | 12mo | $175,500 | $183 | 59 |
| 10600 W Abram Ln #71 | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 | 849 (-8%) | 16mo | $111,000 | $131 | 48 |
| 10630 W Macaw Ln | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-9%) | 10mo | $11,000 | $13 | 46 |
| 10866 W Palm Dr | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 840 (-9%) | 3mo | $204,900 | $244 | 44 |
| 3150 N Kimball St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 1,040 (+13%) | 10mo | $265,000 | $255 | 42 |
| 2960 N Linda Vista Ln Trlr 15 Ln | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (-13%) | 24mo | $52,000 | $65 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,012
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $19,641
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Idaho
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 83704
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 193
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,506 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,874/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $326
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10096 W Garverdale Ln Boise, ID | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1113 | $1,600 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 9169 W Cory Ln #202 Boise, ID | 2.0 | 1.5 | 968 | $1,395 | $1.44 | 21d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 10105 W Garverdale Ln Ste 201 Boise, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 915 | $1,350 | $1.48 | 14d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2555 N Workland Ln Unit 202 Boise, ID | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,325 | $1.66 | 14d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 10222 W Ustick Rd Boise, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $1,575 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 9113 W Ustick Rd Unit 102 Boise, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,525 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 9131 W Ustick Rd Unit 104 Boise, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,595 | $1.59 | 12d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 10811 W Ustick Rd Boise, ID | 2.0 | 1.0 | 794 | $1,345 | $1.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 10887 W Ustick Rd Boise, ID | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 874 | $1,345 | $1.54 | 3d | 3 | 0.78mi |
| 9130 W Irving St Boise, ID | 2.0 | 1.5 | 952 | $1,575 | $1.65 | 3d | 5 | 0.88mi |
| 3909 N Patricia Ln Unit 1547101P Boise, ID | 2.0 | 1.0 | 818 | $4,200 | $5.13 | 3d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3911 N Patricia Ln Unit 1547109P Boise, ID | 2.0 | 1.0 | 818 | $4,431 | $5.42 | 3d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 10077 W Rifleman Ln Unit 103 Boise, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 860 | $1,395 | $1.62 | 12d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 930 N Maple Grove Rd Boise, ID | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,920 | $2.02 | 3d | 14 | 1.08mi |
| 11383 W Fairview Ave Boise, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1123 | $1,575 | $1.40 | 3d | 4 | 1.09mi |
| 8443 W Rifleman St Unit 8443 Boise, ID | 2.0 | 1.0 | 846 | $1,900 | $2.25 | 3d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 7521 W Tottenham Ln Apt 202 Boise, ID | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1113 | $1,595 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2722 N Retirement Ln Boise, ID | 1.0 | 1.0 | 590 | $1,095 | $1.86 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4418 N Oxbow Pl Boise, ID | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $2,095 | $1.87 | 14d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 7479 W Holbrook Ln Boise, ID | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,095 | $1.68 | 23d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-03-26status Pending
-
2026-03-13$124,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,067
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$1,874
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,445
- − Management
- −$1,445
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $2,048
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$492
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,423/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos
This beautifully renovated home in the desirable 55+ Granger Sub community is move-in ready with modern updates and a good condition score.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Improves aesthetics and durability
- Both New window treatments — Enhances curb appeal and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Improves aesthetics and durability ↑
- Both New window treatments — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Joint School District No. 2
- NCES district ID
- 1602100
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,573
- Composite
- 52.42/100
- National rank
- #1576
- State rank
- #11 of 92 in ID
Livability — Boise City
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Boise City, ID
- County
- Ada County · 522,161 people
- City population
- 152,689
- Metro
- Boise City, ID
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,719
- Household income
- $73,390
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1415.0
Population outlook (Ada County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 535,818 people
- By 2030
- 585,751 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 682,435 · +27.4%
- By 2050
- 775,818 · +44.8%
- By 2075
- 994,458 · +85.6%
- By 2100
- 1,148,884 · +114.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Portuguese 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ada
- 2024 margin
- R (+10.3) · D 43.4% · R 53.8% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.2pp · 2024: -10.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.3 2020: R+3.9 2016: R+9.2 2012: R+11.3 2008: R+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -393.15%
- Current HPI
- 379.0934
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- Metro
- Boise City, ID
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $79B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Pending — IMLS
- 2026-03-13 Listed $124,900 IMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…