125 Joe Lacy Rd · Sugartown, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$97,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to peaceful country living! This beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home is filled with charming country touches throughout and sits on a spacious 3-acre tract in the desirable East Beauregard School District. The split floor plan offers privacy, while the open living areas are ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Outside, enjoy plenty of room to roam, garden, or simply relax and take in the quiet surroundings. Priced just right for a new owner, this move-in-ready property offers space, comfort, and affordability--don't miss your chance to make it yours!Private Remarks: Mobile hom
Key facts
- Open living areas
- Split floor plan
- 2.61 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $97k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $498 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $97k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 41/100 on livability (#464 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Beauregard Parish (rural): math 30% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #32 of 98 in LA (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 241 active listings in the ZIP; 83 units permitted in Beauregard Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $671 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.02%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $106,240
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 433 Ebbie Perkins Rd | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (0%) | 15mo | $105,900 | $83 | 87 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $16,000
- Equity at exit
- $14,463
- IRR
- 23.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.01×
- Total profit
- $54,702
- Equity at exit
- $8,387
Cash invested: $27,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70634
- Home prices YoY
- -30.6%
- Active inventory
- 241
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,383 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$509
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $540/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $498
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,250
- Closing costs
- $2,910
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-01-30$97,000 Active 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Welcome home to peaceful country living! This beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home is filled with charming country touches throughout and sits on a spacious 3-acre tract in the desirable East Beauregard School District. The split floor plan offers privacy, while the open living areas are ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Outside, enjoy plenty of room to roam, garden, or simply relax and take in the quiet surroundings. Priced just right for a new owner, this move-in-ready property offers space, comfort, and affordability--don't miss your chance to make it yours!Private Remarks: Mobile hom
-
2006-06-07soldstatus 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
This is very close to East Beauregard School. Would make a nice place for your Horse or Cows. It has a nice place to relax in the Summer w/ above ground pool and Deck. Seller will pay $2000. of buyer closing cost with a full price offer.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $540 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $540 · $45/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,595
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,434
- − Property taxes
- −$540
- − Insurance
- −$485
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,328
- − Management
- −$1,328
- − Depreciation
- −$2,822
- Taxable income
- $4,659
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,118
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,863/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This move-in-ready mobile home offers a good condition with updated interiors and a spacious 3-acre lot, perfect for peaceful country living.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both fencing — provides privacy and security
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both fencing — provides privacy and security ↑
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Beauregard Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200180
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -40.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -35.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,033
- Composite
- 30.34/100
- National rank
- #6265
- State rank
- #32 of 98 in LA
Livability — Sugartown
- Score
- 41/100
- State rank
- #464
- US rank
- #27212
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,038
Population outlook (Beauregard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,760 people
- By 2030
- 38,140 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 38,518 · +2.0%
- By 2050
- 38,164 · +1.1%
- By 2075
- 36,437 · -3.5%
- By 2100
- 32,493 · -13.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 14% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Beauregard
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+71.3) · D 13.8% · R 85.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.9pp toward R · 2008: -54.3pp · 2024: -71.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+71.3 2020: R+67.5 2016: R+65.3 2012: R+58.2 2008: R+54.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.61%
- Current HPI
- 130.4445
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-30 Listed $97,000 GFPAR
- 2006-06-07 Sold (MLS) — GFPAR
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $540 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…