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420 14th St W Duplex
D+ Composite 49.48
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$350,000

420 14th St W · Hastings, MN 55033
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,086 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1890 9,844 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Fully remodeled up/down duplex offering strong income potential and low-maintenance ownership. This property features a spacious 2-bedroom unit and a comfortable 1-bedroom unit, both updated with modern finishes, mechanicals, and electrical. Situated on a large corner lot, the property also includes a rare 6-stall garage with the potential to generate up to $900/month in additional rental income. A turnkey opportunity for both investors and owner-occupants alike.

Key facts

  • Remodeled duplex
  • Large corner lot
  • Modern finishes

Tags

REMODELED DUPLEXSTRONG INCOME POTENTIALLOW-MAINTENANCE OWNERSHIPMODERN FINISHESLARGE CORNER LOTRARE 6-STALL GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $169/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $338k (3.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $329k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 2.9% in Hastings — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#176 in MN, #3,817 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Hastings Public School District (town): math 43% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #136 of 301 in MN (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Pinecrest Elementary (math 62% / reading 42%, grade C-, #368 of 857 statewide, top 47%, 450 students, 27% FRL); Hastings Middle School (math 33% / reading 48%, grade F, #144 of 258 statewide, top 56%, 1,210 students, 33% FRL); Hastings High School (math 46% / reading 67%, grade C, #77 of 471 statewide, top 17%, 1,353 students, 24% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 180 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,134 units permitted in Dakota County in 2024 (898 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($104k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dakota County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($329k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $329,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.45%
Cash-on-cash
4.13%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.8%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-35,215
Equity at exit
$52,186
10-year hold
IRR
-0.4%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-2,992
Equity at exit
$30,262

Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55033

Active inventory
180
Price-to-rent
17.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,375 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$347 /mo · $4,168/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$709
Net cashflow
$338

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,948
Max offer price $350,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $536 -5% $437 +0% $338 +5% $239 +10% $140
Rent -10% $71 -5% $204 +0% $338 +5% $471 +10% $604
Rate -1.0pp $514 -0.5pp $427 base $338 +0.5pp $247 +1.0pp $155

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,375

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,500
Closing costs
$10,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1000 Lyn Way Hastings, MN 2.0 1.0 975 $1,220 $1.25 0d 1 0.71mi
600 Westview Dr Hastings, MN 2.0 1.0 825 $1,058 $1.28 0d 1 1.13mi
325 33rd St W Hastings, MN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 920 $1,848 $2.01 0d 23 1.29mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    status $350,000 Pending 65 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $350,000 Contingent - Inspection 65 DOM
  3. 2026-03-27
    listed $350,000 Active 467-char remark
    Show marketing remark (467 chars)

    Fully remodeled up/down duplex offering strong income potential and low-maintenance ownership. This property features a spacious 2-bedroom unit and a comfortable 1-bedroom unit, both updated with modern finishes, mechanicals, and electrical. Situated on a large corner lot, the property also includes a rare 6-stall garage with the potential to generate up to $900/month in additional rental income. A turnkey opportunity for both investors and owner-occupants alike.

  4. 2019-11-29
    status Active
  5. 2019-10-01
    historical
  6. 2019-07-31
    status Pending
  7. 2019-07-17
    listed Contingent - Inspection
  8. 2019-07-08
    status Active
  9. 2019-07-08
    historical
  10. 2019-06-17
    listed $250,000
  11. 2019-06-14
    status Pending
  12. 2019-06-01
    historical Contingent - Inspection
  13. 2019-05-04
    listed $250,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,168 · $347/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,168 · $347/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,500
− Mortgage interest
−$19,605
− Property taxes
−$4,168
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,240
− Management
−$3,240
− Depreciation
−$10,182
Taxable loss
−$1,685
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$404
After-tax cash flow
$4,456/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hastings Public School District
NCES district ID
2713530
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$69,586
Composite
41.73/100
National rank
#3404
State rank
#136 of 301 in MN

Livability — Hastings

Score
75/100
State rank
#176
US rank
#3817

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hastings, MN
County
Dakota County · 417,704 people
City population
29,674
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
29,674
Household income
$103,988
Rent vs Own
19.6% rent · 80.4% own
Severe rent burden
552.0

Population outlook (Dakota County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
450,671 people
By 2030
465,068 · +3.2%
By 2040
486,770 · +8.0%
By 2050
498,743 · +10.7%
By 2075
533,865 · +18.5%
By 2100
550,133 · +22.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 11% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Dakota

2024 margin
D (+12.9) · D 55.4% · R 42.5% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: 12.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.9 2020: D+13.9 2016: D+4.7 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -268.35%
Current HPI
228.8854
Rent YoY
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+40.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $350,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-11-29 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-10-01 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-31 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-17 Listed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-08 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-08 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-06-17 Listed $250,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-06-14 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-06-01 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-05-04 Listed $250,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,168 · +12.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…