🏷️ Likely Rental
720 N Carico St · Carbondale, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Potential investment property. Home has Kitchen, living room, 2 bedrooms and one bath room. Full basement with laundry room in basement. Refrigerator and Range. Tenant occupied. Must have 24 hour notice for showings.
Key facts
- 7,413 sq ft lot
- Built 1945
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($670 rent vs $25k).
- Cap rate 20.3% vs local median 4.9% in Carbondale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#375 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, crime F, employment F.
- Carbondale Chsd 165 (urban): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #279 of 620 in IL (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Carbondale Comm H S (math 26% / reading 35%, grade F, #175 of 693 statewide, top 26%, 997 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.6% of price; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.97%
- DSCR
- 3.22
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $52,352
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 720 N Carico St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 818 (0%) | 4mo | $30,000 | $37 | 92 |
| 502 W Chestnut St | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 804 (-2%) | 6mo | $93,000 | $116 | 82 |
| 603 N Carico St St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 838 (+2%) | 4mo | $10,000 | $12 | 81 |
| 724 N Carico St | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+10%) | 3mo | $38,500 | $43 | 75 |
| 507 N Davis St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 780 (-5%) | 7mo | $50,000 | $64 | 71 |
| 507 N Davis St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 780 (-5%) | 7mo | $50,000 | $64 | 71 |
| 520 N Davis St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 768 (-6%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $111 | 71 |
| 520 N Davis St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 768 (-6%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $111 | 71 |
| 605 N Carico St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 700 (-14%) | 0mo | $32,000 | $46 | 64 |
| 805 N James St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 698 (-15%) | 8mo | $27,500 | $39 | 50 |
| 1007 W Willow St | 0.39mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 925 (+13%) | 7mo | $98,580 | $107 | 47 |
| 1007 W Willow St | 0.39mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 925 (+13%) | 7mo | $98,580 | $107 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.23×
- Total profit
- $15,600
- Equity at exit
- $3,728
- IRR
- 55.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.01×
- Total profit
- $42,071
- Equity at exit
- $2,162
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62901
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 202
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $670 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,158/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$141
- Net cashflow
- $292
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600 W Mill St Carbondale, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 615 | $750 | $1.22 | 43d | 2 | 0.99mi |
| 250 S Lewis Ln Carbondale, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 622 | $550 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-05-24status Pending
-
2026-05-24status Pending
-
2026-05-23status Pending
-
2026-03-05soldstatus $30,000 Closed
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2026-03-05soldstatus $30,000 Closed
-
2026-03-05soldstatus $30,000 Closed
-
2026-03-05soldstatus $30,000 Closed
-
2026-01-08status Pending
-
2026-01-05historical
-
2025-11-06status Pending
-
2025-11-05historical
-
2025-11-05historical
-
2025-01-15price
-
2023-07-28$25,000
-
2023-07-28Active
-
2022-08-12historical
-
2022-08-11historical
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2020-08-11Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,158 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,158 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $8,044
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$1,158
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$644
- − Management
- −$644
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $3,346
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$803
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,695/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carbondale Chsd 165
- NCES district ID
- 1708370
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $22,075
- Composite
- 23.92/100
- National rank
- #7787
- State rank
- #279 of 620 in IL
Livability — Carbondale
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #375
- US rank
- #7806
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Carbondale, IL
- County
- Jackson County · 22,946 people
- City population
- 22,946
- Metro
- Carbondale-Marion, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,946
- Household income
- $35,089
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2038.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,093 people
- By 2030
- 59,628 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 59,495 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 58,811 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 57,683 · -2.4%
- By 2100
- 55,337 · -6.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 26% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 47.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.8pp · 2024: 3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+3.5 2020: D+1.3 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+10.3 2008: D+21.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.62%
- Current HPI
- 88.7209
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- Metro
- Carbondale-Marion, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+20.0% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-24 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-24 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-23 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-05 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-05 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-05 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-05 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-08 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-05 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-06 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-05 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-05 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-15 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-28 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-28 Listed $25,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-12 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-11 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-08-11 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-3.9%/yrLatest (2024): $1,158 · -40.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…