14955 Riverside Dr · South Holland, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$56,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 BEDROOM FRAME CAPE COD WITH A FORMAL DINING ROOM, HARDWOOD FLOORS, AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.
Key facts
- 7,575 sq ft lot
- Built 1927
- Listed 409 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property in South Holland (Thornton Township)
- Financial info: Special service area: No
- HOA & community: No master association fees required
Exterior
- Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978 (property age ~91–100 years)
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Not rebuilt or rehabbed
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 145; Lot less than 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 16 x 17)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (master on main level; two bedrooms on second level — approx. 12 x 13 and 10 x 12)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Basement has bathroom plumbing (basement bathrooms: yes)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Unfinished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room in the house
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $56k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $463 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 8.4% in South Holland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#167 in IL, #3,071 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, schools D+.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $387 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 409 days — a 12% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $44k (44%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $56k implies a 387% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 409 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.42%
- DSCR
- 2.58
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $78,874
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14717 E Riverside Dr | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 728 (+4%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $48 | 70 |
| 14921 Oakdale Ave | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 768 (+10%) | 3mo | $55,000 | $72 | 60 |
| 14924 Oakdale Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 768 (+10%) | 17mo | $143,000 | $186 | 58 |
| 296 E 149th St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 772 (+11%) | 4mo | $93,000 | $120 | 52 |
| 14726 Madison Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 760 (+9%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $46 | 50 |
| 319 E 148th St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 724 (+4%) | 15mo | $115,000 | $159 | 50 |
| 828 E 155th St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 675 (-3%) | 22mo | $47,250 | $70 | 42 |
| 15360 9th Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 787 (+13%) | 18mo | $89,000 | $113 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $20,488
- Equity at exit
- $8,350
- IRR
- 38.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.58×
- Total profit
- $56,130
- Equity at exit
- $4,842
Cash invested: $15,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60473
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,205 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$294
- Tax from tax record
- −$172 /mo · $2,065/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $463
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,000
- Closing costs
- $1,680
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14119 S Tracy Ave Riverdale, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,205 | $1.73 | 3d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 42 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $56,000 Active 409 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $56,000 Active 408 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $56,000 Active 407 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $56,000 Active 406 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $56,000 Active 404 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $56,000 Active 403 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $56,000 Active 400 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $56,000 Active 399 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $56,000 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $56,000 Active 395 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $61,000 Active 394 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $61,000 Active 393 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $61,000 Active 392 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $61,000 Active 391 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $61,000
-
2026-04-30price $64,000
-
2026-04-09price $67,000
-
2026-03-25price $72,000
-
2026-02-26price $73,000
-
2026-01-05price $74,000
-
2025-11-04price $79,000
-
2025-09-29price $85,000
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2025-09-05price $90,000
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2025-08-06price $92,000
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2025-07-08price $93,000
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2025-06-18price $94,000
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2025-06-02price $95,000
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2025-05-05$100,000 Active
-
2020-06-15historical
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2019-09-27New
-
2012-11-30soldstatus $11,500 Closed Sale 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
3 BEDROOM FRAME CAPE COD WITH A FORMAL DINING ROOM, HARDWOOD FLOORS, AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.
-
2012-11-02status Pending 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
3 BEDROOM FRAME CAPE COD WITH A FORMAL DINING ROOM, HARDWOOD FLOORS, AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.
-
2012-10-24price $15,900 Price Change 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
3 BEDROOM FRAME CAPE COD WITH A FORMAL DINING ROOM, HARDWOOD FLOORS, AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.
-
2012-10-23status Reactivated 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
3 BEDROOM FRAME CAPE COD WITH A FORMAL DINING ROOM, HARDWOOD FLOORS, AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.
-
2012-08-28status Pending 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
3 BEDROOM FRAME CAPE COD WITH A FORMAL DINING ROOM, HARDWOOD FLOORS, AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.
-
2012-08-02price $19,900 Price Change 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
3 BEDROOM FRAME CAPE COD WITH A FORMAL DINING ROOM, HARDWOOD FLOORS, AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.
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2012-06-15price $25,900 Price Change 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
3 BEDROOM FRAME CAPE COD WITH A FORMAL DINING ROOM, HARDWOOD FLOORS, AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.
-
2012-05-16$30,000 New 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
3 BEDROOM FRAME CAPE COD WITH A FORMAL DINING ROOM, HARDWOOD FLOORS, AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.
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2007-08-06historical
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2007-04-10
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2006-08-10soldstatus $123,000
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1997-04-28soldstatus $68,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,065 · $172/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,065 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,460
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,137
- − Property taxes
- −$2,065
- − Insurance
- −$280
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,157
- − Management
- −$1,157
- − Depreciation
- −$1,629
- Taxable income
- $5,036
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,209
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,346/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — South Holland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #3071
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Holland, IL
- City population
- 21,407
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,407
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 75% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.36%
- Current HPI
- 201.2479
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-10.3% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $61,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $64,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $67,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $72,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $73,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $74,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $79,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-29 Price Changed $85,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-05 Price Changed $90,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-06 Price Changed $92,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-08 Price Changed $93,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-18 Price Changed $94,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-02 Price Changed $95,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-05 Listed $100,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-06-15 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-27 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-11-30 Sold (MLS) $11,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-11-02 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-10-24 Price Changed $15,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-10-23 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-08-28 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-08-02 Price Changed $19,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-06-15 Price Changed $25,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-05-16 Listed $30,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-08-06 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-10 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $123,000 Public Records
- 1997-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2023): $2,065 · +502.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…