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B Composite 74.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$56,000

14955 Riverside Dr · South Holland, IL 60473
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 698 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 409 Days on market
Built 1927 7,575 sqft lot Est $79k · 29% under ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 BEDROOM FRAME CAPE COD WITH A FORMAL DINING ROOM, HARDWOOD FLOORS, AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.

Key facts

  • 7,575 sq ft lot
  • Built 1927
  • Listed 409 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property in South Holland (Thornton Township)
  • Financial info: Special service area: No
  • HOA & community: No master association fees required

Exterior

  • Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978 (property age ~91–100 years)
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Not rebuilt or rehabbed
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 145; Lot less than 0.25 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 16 x 17)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (master on main level; two bedrooms on second level — approx. 12 x 13 and 10 x 12)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Basement has bathroom plumbing (basement bathrooms: yes)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Unfinished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room in the house

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $56k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $463 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
  • Recommended offer: $49k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 8.4% in South Holland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#167 in IL, #3,071 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, schools D+.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $387 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 409 days — a 12% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $44k (44%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $56k implies a 387% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $49,280 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 409 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.15%
Cap rate
16.21%
Cash-on-cash
35.42%
DSCR
2.58
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$78,874
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14717 E Riverside Dr 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 728 (+4%) 3mo $35,000 $48 70
14921 Oakdale Ave 0.26mi 2/2.0 (-1) 768 (+10%) 3mo $55,000 $72 60
14924 Oakdale Ave 0.23mi 3/1.0 768 (+10%) 17mo $143,000 $186 58
296 E 149th St 0.57mi 3/1.0 772 (+11%) 4mo $93,000 $120 52
14726 Madison Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 760 (+9%) 1mo $35,000 $46 50
319 E 148th St 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 724 (+4%) 15mo $115,000 $159 50
828 E 155th St 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 675 (-3%) 22mo $47,250 $70 42
15360 9th Ave 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 787 (+13%) 18mo $89,000 $113 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.1%
Equity multiple
2.31×
Total profit
$20,488
Equity at exit
$8,350
10-year hold
IRR
38.3%
Equity multiple
4.58×
Total profit
$56,130
Equity at exit
$4,842

Cash invested: $15,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60473

Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,205 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$294
Tax from tax record
$172 /mo · $2,065/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$463

Break-even live

Break-even rent $619
Max offer price $56,000
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,000
Closing costs
$1,680
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14119 S Tracy Ave Riverdale, IL 2.0 1.0 696 $1,205 $1.73 3d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 42 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $56,000 Active 409 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $56,000 Active 408 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $56,000 Active 407 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $56,000 Active 406 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $56,000 Active 404 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $56,000 Active 403 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $56,000 Active 400 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $56,000 Active 399 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $56,000 Active 398 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $56,000 Active 395 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $61,000 Active 394 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $61,000 Active 393 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $61,000 Active 392 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $61,000 Active 391 DOM
  15. 2026-05-20
    price $61,000
  16. 2026-04-30
    price $64,000
  17. 2026-04-09
    price $67,000
  18. 2026-03-25
    price $72,000
  19. 2026-02-26
    price $73,000
  20. 2026-01-05
    price $74,000
  21. 2025-11-04
    price $79,000
  22. 2025-09-29
    price $85,000
  23. 2025-09-05
    price $90,000
  24. 2025-08-06
    price $92,000
  25. 2025-07-08
    price $93,000
  26. 2025-06-18
    price $94,000
  27. 2025-06-02
    price $95,000
  28. 2025-05-05
    listed $100,000 Active
  29. 2020-06-15
    historical
  30. 2019-09-27
    listed New
  31. 2012-11-30
    soldstatus $11,500 Closed Sale 296-char remark
    Show marketing remark (296 chars)

    3 BEDROOM FRAME CAPE COD WITH A FORMAL DINING ROOM, HARDWOOD FLOORS, AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.

  32. 2012-11-02
    status Pending 296-char remark
    Show marketing remark (296 chars)

    3 BEDROOM FRAME CAPE COD WITH A FORMAL DINING ROOM, HARDWOOD FLOORS, AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.

  33. 2012-10-24
    price $15,900 Price Change 296-char remark
    Show marketing remark (296 chars)

    3 BEDROOM FRAME CAPE COD WITH A FORMAL DINING ROOM, HARDWOOD FLOORS, AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.

  34. 2012-10-23
    status Reactivated 296-char remark
    Show marketing remark (296 chars)

    3 BEDROOM FRAME CAPE COD WITH A FORMAL DINING ROOM, HARDWOOD FLOORS, AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.

  35. 2012-08-28
    status Pending 296-char remark
    Show marketing remark (296 chars)

    3 BEDROOM FRAME CAPE COD WITH A FORMAL DINING ROOM, HARDWOOD FLOORS, AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.

  36. 2012-08-02
    price $19,900 Price Change 296-char remark
    Show marketing remark (296 chars)

    3 BEDROOM FRAME CAPE COD WITH A FORMAL DINING ROOM, HARDWOOD FLOORS, AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.

  37. 2012-06-15
    price $25,900 Price Change 296-char remark
    Show marketing remark (296 chars)

    3 BEDROOM FRAME CAPE COD WITH A FORMAL DINING ROOM, HARDWOOD FLOORS, AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.

  38. 2012-05-16
    listed $30,000 New 296-char remark
    Show marketing remark (296 chars)

    3 BEDROOM FRAME CAPE COD WITH A FORMAL DINING ROOM, HARDWOOD FLOORS, AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.

  39. 2007-08-06
    historical
  40. 2007-04-10
    listed
  41. 2006-08-10
    soldstatus $123,000
  42. 1997-04-28
    soldstatus $68,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,065 · $172/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,065 · $172/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,460
− Mortgage interest
−$3,137
− Property taxes
−$2,065
− Insurance
−$280
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,157
− Management
−$1,157
− Depreciation
−$1,629
Taxable income
$5,036
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,209
After-tax cash flow
$4,346/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — South Holland

Score
77/100
State rank
#167
US rank
#3071

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Holland, IL
City population
21,407
Population (ZIP)
21,407

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 75% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -114.36%
Current HPI
201.2479
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.3% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $61,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $64,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $67,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $72,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $73,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $74,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-04 Price Changed $79,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-29 Price Changed $85,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-05 Price Changed $90,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-06 Price Changed $92,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-08 Price Changed $93,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-18 Price Changed $94,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-02 Price Changed $95,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-05 Listed $100,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-06-15 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-09-27 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-11-30 Sold (MLS) $11,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-11-02 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-10-24 Price Changed $15,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-10-23 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-08-28 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-08-02 Price Changed $19,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-06-15 Price Changed $25,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-05-16 Listed $30,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-08-06 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-04-10 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $123,000 Public Records
  • 1997-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2023): $2,065 · +502.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…