3945 Bradford St #55 · La Verne, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 17 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- ARV discount +3.6/15.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,800
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WELCOME HOME! Located in the desirable Casitas Mobile Home Estates (55+), this inviting 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a comfortable layout with generously sized living spaces in a peaceful, well-maintained community. Step inside to a very spacious living room that serves as the heart of the home, enhanced by a bright open floor plan that flows easily into the kitchen and dining areas—ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The interior has been newly painted, creating a fresh and welcoming feel throughout. Your large primary bedroom provides a relaxing retreat and features a spacious en-suite bathroom, while the second bedroom and bathroom offer flexibility for guests, hobbies, or a home office. Outdoor space includes a private patio area and a storage shed for added convenience. Residents of Casitas Mobile Home Estates enjoy a strong sense of community along with mountain views, a pool, clubhouse, and billiard room, all conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and local amenities. While the primary homeowner must be 55+, residents 18+ are welcome—making it a great setup for a parent with college-aged children.
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Storage shed
- Billiard room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.6% vs local median 3.0% in La Verne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#110 in CA, #3,858 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, commute A; Watch: cost of living F, health & safety F.
- Bonita Unified (suburban): math 59% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #151 of 1,400 in CA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($104k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.20%
- DSCR
- 3.28
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $128,694
- List price
- $139,800
- Delta
- 8.63%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3945 Bradford #111 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+1%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $108 | 97 |
| 3945 Bradford #39 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,488 (+4%) | 5mo | $162,000 | $109 | 89 |
| 3800 Bradford #26 | 0.10mi | 2/3.0 | 1,440 (+1%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $191 | 88 |
| 3800 Bradford St #311 | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+1%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $194 | 87 |
| 3800 Bradford St #265 | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+1%) | 3mo | $275,000 | $191 | 86 |
| 3800 Bradford St #182 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,560 (+9%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $167 | 79 |
| 4095 Fruit St #324 | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+1%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $94 | 72 |
| 4095 Fruit St #852 | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 | 1,400 (-2%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $111 | 69 |
| 4095 Fruit St #603 | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 1,512 (+6%) | 5mo | $300,000 | $198 | 66 |
| 4095 Fruit St #114 | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-6%) | 0mo | $145,000 | $108 | 64 |
| 3800 Bradford #233 | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,576 (+10%) | 2mo | $399,000 | $253 | 64 |
| 4095 Fruit St #870 | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-13%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $148 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.09×
- Total profit
- $81,625
- Equity at exit
- $20,845
- IRR
- 53.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.10×
- Total profit
- $199,576
- Equity at exit
- $12,087
Cash invested: $39,144 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 91750
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,157 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$733
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $387/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$663
- Net cashflow
- $1,670
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,950
- Closing costs
- $4,194
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 450 W Foothill Blvd Pomona, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 773 | $2,565 | $3.32 | 1d | 8 | 0.19mi |
| 3816 Verdana Cir La Verne, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1243 | $3,300 | $2.65 | 19d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2577 Sycamore Dr La Verne, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,895 | $2.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 3836 Verdana Cir La Verne, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1243 | $3,500 | $2.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2644 Sycamore Dr La Verne, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1825 | $4,100 | $2.25 | 1d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3748 Verdana Cir La Verne, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1493 | $4,500 | $3.01 | 15d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 150 Drake St Pomona, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $2,514 | $2.72 | 1d | 2 | 0.57mi |
| 235 W Grove St Pomona, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $2,576 | $3.22 | 1d | 10 | 0.62mi |
| 2063 Evergreen St La Verne, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $3,200 | $2.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2064 Evergreen St La Verne, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $2,400 | $2.50 | 17d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2002 Canopy Ln La Verne, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1759 | $3,450 | $1.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3054 Gladstone St #4 Pomona, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 933 | $2,500 | $2.68 | 7d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2935 Gayridge St Pomona, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1507 | $3,595 | $2.39 | 2d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1825 Foothill Blvd La Verne, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 878 | $2,861 | $3.26 | 1d | 15 | 0.83mi |
| 2958 Gramercy St Pomona, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $3,350 | $2.46 | 6d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3636 Sumner Ave #210 Pomona, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $2,400 | $1.86 | 6d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3807 Abbey Way La Verne, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1159 | $3,150 | $2.72 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1623 Heather Dr La Verne, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1121 | $3,250 | $2.90 | 19d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2728 Crozier Ct Pomona, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1497 | $3,295 | $2.20 | 1d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2771 N Garey Ave Pomona, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1065 | $2,930 | $2.75 | 1d | 8 | 1.21mi |
| 2707 Erebus Ct Pomona, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1497 | $3,400 | $2.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1051 Amador St Claremont, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $4,200 | $2.86 | 1d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2892 Cedar Ln Pomona, CA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1818 | $3,300 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2013 Walnut St Unit B La Verne, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,800 | $3.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 795 Hazel Way Pomona, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1401 | $3,100 | $2.21 | 10d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 245 E Grevillia St Pomona, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $2,400 | $2.43 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,800 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,800 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,800 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,800 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,800 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,800 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,800 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,800 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,800 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,800 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,800 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,800 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,800 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,800 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-04-01price $139,800 1156-char remark
Show marketing remark (1156 chars)
WELCOME HOME! Located in the desirable Casitas Mobile Home Estates (55+), this inviting 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a comfortable layout with generously sized living spaces in a peaceful, well-maintained community. Step inside to a very spacious living room that serves as the heart of the home, enhanced by a bright open floor plan that flows easily into the kitchen and dining areas—ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The interior has been newly painted, creating a fresh and welcoming feel throughout. Your large primary bedroom provides a relaxing retreat and features a spacious en-suite bathroom, while the second bedroom and bathroom offer flexibility for guests, hobbies, or a home office. Outdoor space includes a private patio area and a storage shed for added convenience. Residents of Casitas Mobile Home Estates enjoy a strong sense of community along with mountain views, a pool, clubhouse, and billiard room, all conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and local amenities. While the primary homeowner must be 55+, residents 18+ are welcome—making it a great setup for a parent with college-aged children.
-
2026-01-08$149,800 Active 1156-char remark
Show marketing remark (1156 chars)
WELCOME HOME! Located in the desirable Casitas Mobile Home Estates (55+), this inviting 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a comfortable layout with generously sized living spaces in a peaceful, well-maintained community. Step inside to a very spacious living room that serves as the heart of the home, enhanced by a bright open floor plan that flows easily into the kitchen and dining areas—ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The interior has been newly painted, creating a fresh and welcoming feel throughout. Your large primary bedroom provides a relaxing retreat and features a spacious en-suite bathroom, while the second bedroom and bathroom offer flexibility for guests, hobbies, or a home office. Outdoor space includes a private patio area and a storage shed for added convenience. Residents of Casitas Mobile Home Estates enjoy a strong sense of community along with mountain views, a pool, clubhouse, and billiard room, all conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and local amenities. While the primary homeowner must be 55+, residents 18+ are welcome—making it a great setup for a parent with college-aged children.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $387 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,062 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$676/yr (+$56/mo · 174.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 17 unhealthy d/yr today · 21 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,879
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,831
- − Property taxes
- −$387
- − Insurance
- −$699
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,030
- − Management
- −$3,030
- − Depreciation
- −$4,067
- Taxable income
- $18,835
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,520
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,521/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in the Casitas Mobile Home Estates (55+) is in good condition with a fresh paint job and well-maintained landscaping. It offers a comfortable layout and is ready for a new owner.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.
- Both Interior updates — Fresh paint and minor updates can make the interior more inviting and appealing to potential buyers or renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Interior updates — Fresh paint and minor updates can make the interior more inviting and appealing to potential buyers or renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bonita Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0605610
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $76,196
- Composite
- 58.71/100
- National rank
- #2001
- State rank
- #151 of 1400 in CA
Livability — La Verne
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #110
- US rank
- #3858
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- La Verne, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 32,692
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,692
- Household income
- $104,195
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 872.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 20% Asian 10% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 12% Chinese 3% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -729.79%
- Current HPI
- 373.7761
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.35%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
-6.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $139,800 CRMLS
- 2026-01-08 Listed $149,800 CRMLS
Property tax history
+8.4%/yrLatest (2025): $387 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…