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635 White Flower Way
D Composite 44.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.1/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$279,900

635 White Flower Way · Spring Hill, FL 34604
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,684 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 113 Days on market
Built 2006 5,820 sqft lot Est $312k · 10% under $97/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful home located across from from Passive Pack-Will ready for move in by June!Nice view of park

Key facts

  • Clubhouse
  • Community pool
  • Resort-style pool

Tags

VIEW WITH NO REAR NEIGHBORGENEROUS SIZE PATIOCOMMUNITY POOLPLAYGROUNDCLUBHOUSERESORT-STYLE POOL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property zoned RES; Lot approximately 0.13 acres (about 0 to less than 1/4 acre)
  • Financial info: No lease restrictions indicated
  • HOA & community: HOA managed by Wise Property Management; Monthly HOA fee of $97 (required); Association approval required; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Faces northeast; Homestead exempt
  • Construction: Concrete construction; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built on one level
  • Exterior features: Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Ceiling fans; Crown molding
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-37 ($-449/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $273k (2.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $221k (21.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $221k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.4% in Spring Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#738 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Moton Elementary School (math 46% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,383 of 2,144 statewide, top 65%, 679 students, 79% FRL); Nature Coast Technical High (math 52% / reading 51%, grade D+, #167 of 667 statewide, top 25%, 1,298 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $188k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $221,216 (21.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.57%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$311,540
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15566 Sword Lily Pl 0.35mi 4/2.0 1,604 (-5%) 1mo $279,000 $174 75
783 Petal Mist Ln 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,702 (+1%) 1mo $274,000 $161 71
398 Sea Holly Dr 0.28mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,814 (+8%) 2mo $380,000 $209 68
15331 Stone House Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,700 (+1%) 3mo $297,000 $175 63
15723 Stone House Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,701 (+1%) 0mo $315,000 $185 60
758 Alpine Thistle Dr 0.31mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,443 (-14%) 0mo $275,000 $191 56
371 Voltaire Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,503 (-11%) 1mo $259,990 $173 56
143 Voltaire Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,503 (-11%) 2mo $275,000 $183 54
175 Voltaire Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,503 (-11%) 2mo $250,000 $166 53
690 Old Windsor Way 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,562 (-7%) 3mo $315,000 $202 51
988 Scarlet Plume Ln 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,443 (-14%) 3mo $295,000 $204 37
15690 Stone House Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,443 (-14%) 3mo $298,000 $207 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.7%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-50,848
Equity at exit
$41,734
10-year hold
IRR
-14.0%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-59,759
Equity at exit
$24,201

Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34604

Home prices YoY
-23.4%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
196
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,212 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,468
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,243/yr
Insurance
$117
HOA
$97
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$465
Net cashflow
$-37

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,259
Max offer price $273,294
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,975
Closing costs
$8,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
495 Painted Leaf Dr Brooksville, FL 3.0 2.0 1814 $1,950 $1.07 24d 1 0.24mi
495 Painted Leaf Dr Brooksville, FL 3.0 2.0 1814 $1,950 $1.07 20d 1 0.24mi
14523 Wake Robin Dr Brooksville, FL 4.0 2.0 1604 $2,125 $1.32 23d 1 0.42mi
15592 Enclave WAY Masaryktown, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1041 $1,945 $1.87 1d 21 0.60mi
15405 Stone House Dr Brooksville, FL 3.0 2.0 1443 $2,095 $1.45 4d 1 0.68mi
15734 Stone House Dr Brooksville, FL 3.0 2.0 1462 $2,198 $1.50 3d 1 0.71mi
18816 Cimbora Dr Spring Hill, FL 3.0 3.5 2112 $2,800 $1.33 24d 1 0.86mi
75 Fairmont Dr Spring Hill, FL 3.0 2.0 2150 $2,160 $1.00 21d 1 0.99mi
446 Argyll Dr Spring Hill, FL 4.0 2.0 1809 $2,100 $1.16 24d 1 1.01mi
14043 Cooper Rd Spring Hill, FL 3.0 2.0 1586 $2,010 $1.27 20d 1 1.01mi
367 Argyll Dr Spring Hill, FL 3.0 2.0 1432 $1,900 $1.33 24d 1 1.05mi
177 Fairmont Dr Spring Hill, FL 3.0 2.0 2072 $1,979 $0.96 21d 1 1.05mi
675 Argyll Dr Spring Hill, FL 4.0 3.0 1881 $2,400 $1.28 2d 1 1.10mi
14017 Tudor St Spring Hill, FL 4.0 2.0 1726 $2,155 $1.25 3d 1 1.16mi
14059 Sullivan St Spring Hill, FL 3.0 2.0 1349 $1,795 $1.33 24d 1 1.21mi
14040 Allston Ave Spring Hill, FL 3.0 2.0 1523 $2,000 $1.31 24d 1 1.30mi
13409 Short Ct Spring Hill, FL 3.0 2.0 2114 $2,100 $0.99 24d 1 1.32mi
1549 Diane St Spring Hill, FL 3.0 2.0 1572 $2,320 $1.48 24d 1 1.43mi
1695 Rookery Rd Spring Hill, FL 3.0 2.0 1572 $2,350 $1.49 24d 1 1.44mi
1755 Rookery Rd Spring Hill, FL 3.0 2.0 1572 $2,320 $1.48 24d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$97 · $1,164/yr

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $279,900 Active 113 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $279,900 Active 112 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $279,900 Active 111 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $279,900 Active 110 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $279,900 Active 108 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $279,900 Active 107 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $279,900 Active 104 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $279,900 Active 103 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $279,900 Active 102 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $279,900 Active 99 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $279,900 Active 98 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $279,900 Active 97 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $279,900 Active 96 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $279,900 Active 95 DOM
  15. 2026-05-19
    price $279,900
  16. 2026-04-11
    price $289,900
  17. 2026-02-25
    listed $299,900 Active
  18. 2006-10-14
    soldstatus $188,030 101-char remark
    Show marketing remark (101 chars)

    Beautiful home located across from from Passive Pack-Will ready for move in by June!Nice view of park

  19. 2006-04-25
    listed $179,900 101-char remark
    Show marketing remark (101 chars)

    Beautiful home located across from from Passive Pack-Will ready for move in by June!Nice view of park

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,243 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,323 · $194/mo
Expected delta
+$1,081/yr (+$90/mo · 87.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,546
− Mortgage interest
−$15,679
− Property taxes
−$1,243
− Insurance
−$1,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,124
− Management
−$2,124
− HOA
−$1,164
− Depreciation
−$8,143
Taxable loss
−$5,329
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,279
After-tax cash flow
$830/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hernando
NCES district ID
1200810
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,985
Composite
42.03/100
National rank
#3329
State rank
#38 of 73 in FL

Livability — Spring Hill

Score
63/100
State rank
#738
US rank
#15937

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Spring Hill, FL
County
Hernando County · 169,677 people
City population
83,915
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
13,642
Household income
$84,833
Rent vs Own
8.5% rent · 91.5% own
Severe rent burden
142.0

Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
189,218 people
By 2030
194,367 · +2.7%
By 2040
203,398 · +7.5%
By 2050
209,589 · +10.8%
By 2075
218,452 · +15.4%
By 2100
205,923 · +8.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Black 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hernando

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
2008→2024 swing
-33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -84.38%
Current HPI
276.4751
Rent YoY
▲ 1.61%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+55.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $279,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $289,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $299,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-10-14 Sold (MLS) $188,030 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-04-25 Listed $179,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,243 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…