5874 State Route 339 S · Mayfield, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into a home that blends character & comfort. This move-in ready 3BR/1BA brick beauty on 0.39 acres offers a welcoming layout w/ hardwood floors, new vinyl, and a cozy study. The large kitchen has tons of cabinet space and vintage pink countertops, and the retro pink bathroom features a tub plus a new shower. ___If you prefer a more modern look, these spaces are also perfect candidates for an easy update. ___Unique flexible floorplan. The 3rd bedroom- located conveniently between the carport & kitchen- is currently used as a sleeping space and boasts a large closet. Could also be used as a mudroom or office for those who don't need a traditional 3rd bedroom___Enjoy a spacious deck, a brick outbuilding with new windows, electricity and water—great for a workshop, hobby space, or garden shed—plus a storage shed/garage __ Swim spa is negotiable__ All major appliances stay, including washer and dryer.
Key facts
- Retro pink bathroom
- Large kitchen
- Spacious deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-475/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $133k (5.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (25.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $104k (25.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.3% in Mayfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#292 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Graves County (rural): math 47% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #10 of 165 in KY (top 6%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Wingo Elementary School (math 53% / reading 50%, grade C-, #91 of 676 statewide, top 14%, 428 students, 76% FRL); Graves County Middle School (math 37% / reading 52%, grade D, #36 of 217 statewide, top 18%, 621 students, 53% FRL); Graves County High School (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #57 of 254 statewide, top 22%, 1,096 students, 49% FRL).
- Market conditions: 126 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Graves County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Graves County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $140k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.21%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-25,256
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-25,441
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42066
- Home prices YoY
- -4.2%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,038 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $807/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$218
- Net cashflow
- $-40
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $40 | -5% $0 | +0% $-40 | +5% $-79 | +10% $-119 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-122 | -5% $-81 | +0% $-40 | +5% $1 | +10% $42 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $31 | -0.5pp $-4 | base $-40 | +0.5pp $-76 | +1.0pp $-113 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $140,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $147,500 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $147,500 Active 110 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $147,500 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $147,500 Active 108 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $147,500 Active 107 DOM
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2026-04-19price $147,500 938-char remark
Show marketing remark (938 chars)
Step into a home that blends character & comfort. This move-in ready 3BR/1BA brick beauty on 0.39 acres offers a welcoming layout w/ hardwood floors, new vinyl, and a cozy study. The large kitchen has tons of cabinet space and vintage pink countertops, and the retro pink bathroom features a tub plus a new shower. ___If you prefer a more modern look, these spaces are also perfect candidates for an easy update. ___Unique flexible floorplan. The 3rd bedroom- located conveniently between the carport & kitchen- is currently used as a sleeping space and boasts a large closet. Could also be used as a mudroom or office for those who don't need a traditional 3rd bedroom___Enjoy a spacious deck, a brick outbuilding with new windows, electricity and water—great for a workshop, hobby space, or garden shed—plus a storage shed/garage __ Swim spa is negotiable__ All major appliances stay, including washer and dryer.
-
2026-03-27price $155,000 938-char remark
Show marketing remark (938 chars)
Step into a home that blends character & comfort. This move-in ready 3BR/1BA brick beauty on 0.39 acres offers a welcoming layout w/ hardwood floors, new vinyl, and a cozy study. The large kitchen has tons of cabinet space and vintage pink countertops, and the retro pink bathroom features a tub plus a new shower. ___If you prefer a more modern look, these spaces are also perfect candidates for an easy update. ___Unique flexible floorplan. The 3rd bedroom- located conveniently between the carport & kitchen- is currently used as a sleeping space and boasts a large closet. Could also be used as a mudroom or office for those who don't need a traditional 3rd bedroom___Enjoy a spacious deck, a brick outbuilding with new windows, electricity and water—great for a workshop, hobby space, or garden shed—plus a storage shed/garage __ Swim spa is negotiable__ All major appliances stay, including washer and dryer.
-
2026-03-11price $157,000 938-char remark
Show marketing remark (938 chars)
Step into a home that blends character & comfort. This move-in ready 3BR/1BA brick beauty on 0.39 acres offers a welcoming layout w/ hardwood floors, new vinyl, and a cozy study. The large kitchen has tons of cabinet space and vintage pink countertops, and the retro pink bathroom features a tub plus a new shower. ___If you prefer a more modern look, these spaces are also perfect candidates for an easy update. ___Unique flexible floorplan. The 3rd bedroom- located conveniently between the carport & kitchen- is currently used as a sleeping space and boasts a large closet. Could also be used as a mudroom or office for those who don't need a traditional 3rd bedroom___Enjoy a spacious deck, a brick outbuilding with new windows, electricity and water—great for a workshop, hobby space, or garden shed—plus a storage shed/garage __ Swim spa is negotiable__ All major appliances stay, including washer and dryer.
-
2026-03-07price $165,000 938-char remark
Show marketing remark (938 chars)
Step into a home that blends character & comfort. This move-in ready 3BR/1BA brick beauty on 0.39 acres offers a welcoming layout w/ hardwood floors, new vinyl, and a cozy study. The large kitchen has tons of cabinet space and vintage pink countertops, and the retro pink bathroom features a tub plus a new shower. ___If you prefer a more modern look, these spaces are also perfect candidates for an easy update. ___Unique flexible floorplan. The 3rd bedroom- located conveniently between the carport & kitchen- is currently used as a sleeping space and boasts a large closet. Could also be used as a mudroom or office for those who don't need a traditional 3rd bedroom___Enjoy a spacious deck, a brick outbuilding with new windows, electricity and water—great for a workshop, hobby space, or garden shed—plus a storage shed/garage __ Swim spa is negotiable__ All major appliances stay, including washer and dryer.
-
2026-02-27price $172,000 938-char remark
Show marketing remark (938 chars)
Step into a home that blends character & comfort. This move-in ready 3BR/1BA brick beauty on 0.39 acres offers a welcoming layout w/ hardwood floors, new vinyl, and a cozy study. The large kitchen has tons of cabinet space and vintage pink countertops, and the retro pink bathroom features a tub plus a new shower. ___If you prefer a more modern look, these spaces are also perfect candidates for an easy update. ___Unique flexible floorplan. The 3rd bedroom- located conveniently between the carport & kitchen- is currently used as a sleeping space and boasts a large closet. Could also be used as a mudroom or office for those who don't need a traditional 3rd bedroom___Enjoy a spacious deck, a brick outbuilding with new windows, electricity and water—great for a workshop, hobby space, or garden shed—plus a storage shed/garage __ Swim spa is negotiable__ All major appliances stay, including washer and dryer.
-
2026-02-24price $165,000 938-char remark
Show marketing remark (938 chars)
Step into a home that blends character & comfort. This move-in ready 3BR/1BA brick beauty on 0.39 acres offers a welcoming layout w/ hardwood floors, new vinyl, and a cozy study. The large kitchen has tons of cabinet space and vintage pink countertops, and the retro pink bathroom features a tub plus a new shower. ___If you prefer a more modern look, these spaces are also perfect candidates for an easy update. ___Unique flexible floorplan. The 3rd bedroom- located conveniently between the carport & kitchen- is currently used as a sleeping space and boasts a large closet. Could also be used as a mudroom or office for those who don't need a traditional 3rd bedroom___Enjoy a spacious deck, a brick outbuilding with new windows, electricity and water—great for a workshop, hobby space, or garden shed—plus a storage shed/garage __ Swim spa is negotiable__ All major appliances stay, including washer and dryer.
-
2026-02-12$175,000 Active 938-char remark
Show marketing remark (938 chars)
Step into a home that blends character & comfort. This move-in ready 3BR/1BA brick beauty on 0.39 acres offers a welcoming layout w/ hardwood floors, new vinyl, and a cozy study. The large kitchen has tons of cabinet space and vintage pink countertops, and the retro pink bathroom features a tub plus a new shower. ___If you prefer a more modern look, these spaces are also perfect candidates for an easy update. ___Unique flexible floorplan. The 3rd bedroom- located conveniently between the carport & kitchen- is currently used as a sleeping space and boasts a large closet. Could also be used as a mudroom or office for those who don't need a traditional 3rd bedroom___Enjoy a spacious deck, a brick outbuilding with new windows, electricity and water—great for a workshop, hobby space, or garden shed—plus a storage shed/garage __ Swim spa is negotiable__ All major appliances stay, including washer and dryer.
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2024-11-07soldstatus $90,000
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2024-11-05soldstatus $90,000 Closed 281-char remark
Show marketing remark (281 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with beautiful hardwood floors! Features include large kitchen with spacious cabinets, built-in shelving, covered back porch, attached carport, brick outbuilding and detached garage. Property sits on a . 39 acre lot located in the Dublin, KY community.
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2024-11-04status Pending 281-char remark
Show marketing remark (281 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with beautiful hardwood floors! Features include large kitchen with spacious cabinets, built-in shelving, covered back porch, attached carport, brick outbuilding and detached garage. Property sits on a . 39 acre lot located in the Dublin, KY community.
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2024-08-07soldstatus $57,750
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2024-07-22$99,900 Active 281-char remark
Show marketing remark (281 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with beautiful hardwood floors! Features include large kitchen with spacious cabinets, built-in shelving, covered back porch, attached carport, brick outbuilding and detached garage. Property sits on a . 39 acre lot located in the Dublin, KY community.
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1985-05-01soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $807 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,204 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- +$397/yr (+$33/mo · 49.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,458
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$807
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$997
- − Management
- −$997
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$2,956
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$710
- After-tax cash flow
- $235/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Graves County
- NCES district ID
- 2102280
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,560
- Composite
- 41.74/100
- National rank
- #3400
- State rank
- #10 of 165 in KY
Livability — Mayfield
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #292
- US rank
- #14060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 23,635
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,635
Population outlook (Graves County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,916 people
- By 2030
- 36,587 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 35,580 · -3.6%
- By 2050
- 33,906 · -8.2%
- By 2075
- 28,957 · -21.6%
- By 2100
- 21,552 · -41.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Graves
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.6% · R 80.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -61.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.6 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+39.7 2008: R+26.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -11.24%
- Current HPI
- 258.3279
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+360.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $147,500 WKRMLS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $155,000 WKRMLS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $157,000 WKRMLS
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $165,000 WKRMLS
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $172,000 WKRMLS
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $165,000 WKRMLS
- 2026-02-12 Listed $175,000 WKRMLS
- 2024-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2024-11-05 Sold (MLS) $90,000 WKRMLS
- 2024-11-04 Pending — WKRMLS
- 2024-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $57,750 Public Records
- 2024-07-22 Listed $99,900 WKRMLS
- 1985-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+17.3%/yrLatest (2025): $807 · +325.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…