Carolina Plan · Kansas City, MO 64157

$473,000

5 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,756 sqft · SingleFamily · 293 Days on market

Good condition ↓ 4% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Cash flow +6.5/30.0
• Rent growth +4.9/5.0
• Schools +4.9/10.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• 1% rule +1.6/10.0
• DSCR +0.8/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Our Carolina home plan is a two-story design that begins with a grand covered porch leading to an impressive entry foyer. The main level includes a spacious kitchen with a large island that overlooks both the expansive dining and great rooms. A home office on this floor provides a dedicated area for work or study. Upstairs, the primary bedroom features a primary bath with a that conveniently connects to the upstairs laundry room. The second floor also includes three additional bedrooms, two full bathrooms-one attached to a bedroom and one for shared use-ensuring ample space for family and guests Looking for additional space? Consider finishing the lower level to include a rec room, an extra bedroom, and an extra bathroom, enhancing the versatility and functionality of your home.

Key facts

• Covered porch
• Primary bath
• Entry foyer

Tags

• COVERED PORCH
• ENTRY FOYER
• SPACIOUS KITCHEN
• LARGE ISLAND
• HOME OFFICE
• PRIMARY BATH

🏗️ New construction. The $473,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $489,208.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $473k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-818 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $371k (21.6% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $324k (31.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $324k (31.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
• Liberty 53 (suburban): math 41% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #24 of 324 in MO (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Warren Hills Elem. (math 48% / reading 60%, grade C, #215 of 1,115 statewide, top 20%, 603 students, 20% FRL); South Valley Middle (math 33% / reading 53%, grade D-, #134 of 391 statewide, top 35%, 791 students, 18% FRL); Liberty North High School (math 25% / reading 75%, grade D+, #116 of 521 statewide, top 22%, 2,326 students, 18% FRL) — zoned schools at 19% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.5%/yr); 340 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 341 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Clay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 293 days — a 12% lower offer ($416k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $324,367 (31.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 293 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.66% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.29%
• Cash-on-cash: -7.17%
• DSCR: 0.68
• GRM: 12.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $489,208
• List price: $473,000
• Delta: -3.31%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
9417 NE 111th Pl	0.08mi	5/3.5	2,756 (0%)	2mo	$560,355	$203	93
9004 NE 111th Pl	0.31mi	5/3.5	2,803 (+2%)	4mo	$555,000	$198	77
11115 N Glenwood Ave	0.00mi	4/3.5 (-1)	2,475 (-10%)	1mo	$516,246	$209	75
9208 NE 110th Ter	0.17mi	4/3.0 (-1)	2,615 (-5%)	3mo	$519,000	$198	72
9412 NE 111th Pl	0.06mi	4/3.5 (-1)	2,475 (-10%)	2mo	$501,184	$202	71
11016 N Glenwood Ave	0.10mi	4/3.5 (-1)	2,475 (-10%)	3mo	$477,233	$193	69
9304 NE 109th Ter	0.27mi	5/3.0	2,872 (+4%)	9mo	$479,000	$167	68
9003 NE 111th Pl	0.30mi	4/3.0 (-1)	2,652 (-4%)	4mo	$525,000	$198	68
11112 N Glenwood Ave	0.04mi	4/3.5 (-1)	2,362 (-14%)	7mo	$472,000	$200	62
11001 N Laurel Ave	0.27mi	5/3.0	3,102 (+13%)	6mo	$430,000	$139	58
10719 N Manning Ct	0.59mi	5/3.5	2,925 (+6%)	6mo	$455,000	$156	56
9115 NE 108th St	0.55mi	4/3.0 (-1)	3,000 (+9%)	6mo	$455,000	$152	45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -23.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.17×
• Total profit: $-114,200
• Equity at exit: $72,943

10-year hold

• IRR: -8.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.36×
• Total profit: $-88,335
• Equity at exit: $42,298

Cash invested: $136,978 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Seller's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 11 active · 39 under contract
• Months of supply: 2.9 mo (35%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $427,000 ($172/sqft)
• Median days on market: 50 d
• This list price: 82% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: +3.4% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 64157

• Home prices YoY: -18.1%
• Rents YoY: 9.5%
• Active inventory: 340
• Price-to-rent: 12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,244 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,565
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$612 /mo · $7,338/yr
• Insurance: −$204
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$681
• Net cashflow: $-818

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,280

Max offer price $370,798

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-480	-5% $-649	+0% $-818	+5% $-987	+10% $-1,156
Rent	-10% $-1,075	-5% $-946	+0% $-818	+5% $-690	+10% $-562
Rate	-1.0pp $-572	-0.5pp $-694	base $-818	+0.5pp $-945	+1.0pp $-1,074

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $122,302
• Closing costs: $14,676
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
11314 N Lewis Ave Kansas City, MO	4.0	3.0	2394	$2,345	$0.98	74d	1	0.71mi
8411 NE 116th St Kansas City, MO	4.0	2.0	2000	$2,505	$1.25	0d	1	1.07mi

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-09-23
   days on market $473,000 Active 293 DOM
2. 2026-09-22
   days on market $473,000 Active 292 DOM
3. 2026-09-21
   days on market $473,000 Active 291 DOM
4. 2026-09-20
   days on market $473,000 Active 290 DOM
5. 2026-09-19
   days on market $473,000 Active 289 DOM
6. 2026-09-18
   days on market $473,000 Active 288 DOM
7. 2026-09-17
   days on market $473,000 Active 287 DOM
8. 2026-09-16
   days on market $473,000 Active 286 DOM
9. 2026-09-15
   days on market $473,000 Active 285 DOM
10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $473,000 Active 284 DOM
11. 2026-09-13
    days on market $473,000 Active 283 DOM
12. 2026-09-12
    days on market $473,000 Active 282 DOM
13. 2026-09-11
    days on market $473,000 Active 281 DOM
14. 2026-09-05
    days on market $473,000 Active 275 DOM
15. 2026-09-04
    days on market $473,000 Active 274 DOM
16. 2026-09-03
    days on market $473,000 Active 273 DOM
17. 2026-08-31
    days on market $473,000 Active 270 DOM
18. 2026-08-29
    days on market $473,000 Active 268 DOM
19. 2026-08-28
    days on market $473,000 Active 267 DOM
20. 2026-08-27
    days on market $473,000 Active 266 DOM
21. 2026-08-26
    days on market $473,000 Active 265 DOM
22. 2026-08-25
    days on market $473,000 Active 264 DOM
23. 2026-08-24
    days on market $473,000 Active 263 DOM
24. 2026-08-23
    days on market $473,000 Active 262 DOM
25. 2026-08-22
    days on market $473,000 Active 261 DOM
26. 2026-08-21
    days on market $473,000 Active 260 DOM
27. 2026-08-20
    days on market $473,000 Active 259 DOM
28. 2026-08-19
    days on market $473,000 Active 258 DOM
29. 2026-08-18
    days on market $473,000 Active 257 DOM
30. 2026-08-17
    days on market $473,000 Active 256 DOM
31. 2026-08-16
    days on market $473,000 Active 255 DOM
32. 2026-08-15
    days on market $473,000 Active 254 DOM
33. 2026-08-14
    days on market $473,000 Active 253 DOM
34. 2026-08-13
    days on market $473,000 Active 252 DOM
35. 2026-08-12
    days on market $473,000 Active 251 DOM
36. 2026-08-11
    days on market $473,000 Active 250 DOM
37. 2026-08-10
    days on market $473,000 Active 249 DOM
38. 2026-08-09
    days on market $473,000 Active 248 DOM
39. 2026-08-08
    days on market $473,000 Active 247 DOM
40. 2026-08-07
    days on market $473,000 Active 246 DOM
41. 2026-08-06
    days on market $473,000 Active 245 DOM
42. 2026-08-05
    days on market $473,000 Active 244 DOM
43. 2026-08-04
    days on market $473,000 Active 243 DOM
44. 2026-08-03
    days on market $473,000 Active 242 DOM
45. 2026-07-31
    days on market $473,000 Active 239 DOM
46. 2026-07-30
    days on market $473,000 Active 238 DOM
47. 2026-07-30
    days on market $473,000 Active 237 DOM
48. 2026-07-28
    days on market $473,000 Active 236 DOM
49. 2026-07-26
    days on market $473,000 Active 234 DOM
50. 2026-07-24
    days on market $473,000 Active 232 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $38,924
• − Mortgage interest: −$27,403
• − Property taxes: −$7,338
• − Insurance: −$2,446
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,114
• − Management: −$3,114
• − Depreciation: −$14,232
• Taxable loss: −$18,723
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$4,493
• After-tax cash flow: $-5,326/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This two-story home is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It is move-in ready with minimal updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
• Resale Kitchen backsplash — Modern backsplash adds visual interest and value ↑
• Resale Bathroom vanity — Modern vanity enhances bathroom aesthetics and value ↑

F Composite school gradezoned avg 49/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Warren Hills Elem. C MO #215/1,115 Nat'l #10,700/41,679 Middle South Valley Middle D- MO #134/391 Nat'l #5,160/14,009 High Liberty North High School D+ MO #116/521 Nat'l #5,448/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Liberty 53
• NCES district ID: 2918540
• Math proficiency: 41% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 59% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $78,226
• Composite: 45.41/100
• National rank: #2624
• State rank: #24 of 324 in MO

B Composite livability gradescore 78/100

Livability — Kansas City

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #28
• US rank: #2671

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Kansas City, MO
• County: Clay County · 266,022 people
• City population: 439,467
• Metro: Kansas City, MO-KS
• Population (ZIP): 23,030
• Household income: $149,526
• Rent vs Own: 9.1% rent · 90.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 17% of renters

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Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 266,022 people
• By 2030: 280,057 · +5.3%
• By 2040: 306,153 · +15.1%
• By 2050: 328,630 · +23.5%
• By 2075: 375,182 · +41.0%
• By 2100: 392,861 · +47.7%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (82%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 82% Asian 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 1%

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Political lean MEDSL · Clay

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+5.6) · D 46.4% · R 52.0% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -4.9pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -5.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+5.6 2020: R+4.1 2016: R+11.1 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+0.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -43.38%
• Current HPI: 195.9921
• Rent YoY: ▲ 9.50%
• Metro: Kansas City, MO-KS
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

-3.6% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-01-02 Price Changed $473,000 Zillow
• 2025-12-04 Listed $490,800 Zillow