🏷️ Likely Rental
1350 Clay St · Bowling Green, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Great opportunity to own a duplex. One side is currently being rented at $675/month, while the other is vacant and was previously rented at $775/month. Property does need some work to the floors, but with updates this could be a strong cash-flowing investment. Perfect for investors looking to build or grow their rental portfolio. Showing available with an acceptable offer. Home is being sold AS-IS.
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- Built 1895
- Listed 153 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: Access via Adams Street to W. 14th Ave, then right on Clay Street; duplex is on the left.
- Financial info: Financial details not provided
- HOA & community: HOA/community details not provided
Exterior
- Parking: Parking details not provided
- Security: Security details not provided
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Residential income property; Duplex (multi-family)
- Construction: Construction details not provided
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Lot approximately 0.19 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen details not provided
- Bedrooms: Bedroom details not provided
- Flooring: Flooring details not provided
- Bathrooms: Bathroom details not provided
- Heating & cooling: Heating and cooling details not provided
- Interior features: No interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Laundry and utility details not provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $832 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $416/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 3.2% in Bowling Green — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#255 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Bowling Green Independent (urban): math 37% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #44 of 165 in KY (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Parker-Bennett-Curry School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #525 of 676 statewide, top 82%, 346 students, 100% FRL); Bowling Green Junior High (math 37% / reading 46%, grade F, #51 of 217 statewide, top 24%, 963 students, 65% FRL); Bowling Green High School (math 39% / reading 39%, grade F, #51 of 254 statewide, top 21%, 1,294 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 53% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 591 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,286 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (1,410 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Warren County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $89k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.45%
- DSCR
- 2.44
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $148,716
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1311 Stubbins St | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,189 (-14%) | 21mo | $72,000 | $61 | 48 |
| 1160 Stubbins St | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,574 (+14%) | 15mo | $170,000 | $108 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $30,160
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 30.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.44×
- Total profit
- $74,967
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42101
- Home prices YoY
- -20.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 591
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,870 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$23 /mo · $278/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$393
- Net cashflow
- $832
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $1,870 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $935 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $935 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,870 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1059 Fair St Unit 1 Bowling Green, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $800 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1044 Fair St Bowling Green, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 983 | $925 | $0.94 | 13d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1525 Park St Bowling Green, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1453 Park St Unit A Bowling Green, KY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $1,125 | $0.90 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1700 Johnson Dr Bowling Green, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,250 | $1.34 | 13d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 516 Regents Ave Bowling Green, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $1,500 | $1.01 | 13d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1530 Kenton St Bowling Green, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,300 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1225 N Lee Dr Bowling Green, KY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,345 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1607 U.S. 31 West Byp Unit 1720-A03 Bowling Green, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 929 | $1,025 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 804 West Town Ct Bowling Green, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 13d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1307 Magnolia St Bowling Green, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1117 Greenwood Aly Bowling Green, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 13d | 2 | 1.03mi |
| 1233 Henry Dr Bowling Green, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1107 | $1,250 | $1.13 | 13d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1207 Smallhouse Rd Bowling Green, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1202 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1424 Neal St Bowling Green, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $995 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 864 Fairview Ave Unit D03 Bowling Green, KY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,525 | $1.02 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1706 Kirby Dr Bowling Green, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1227 | $1,350 | $1.10 | 13d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $109,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $109,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $109,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $119,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-01-16$119,900 Active
-
2025-08-28$129,900 Active
-
2020-09-14soldstatus $89,000
-
2020-09-11soldstatus $89,000
-
2020-04-17$89,900
-
2018-05-18$55,900
-
2014-01-23soldstatus $46,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $278 · $23/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $945 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- +$667/yr (+$56/mo · 240.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,440
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$278
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,795
- − Management
- −$1,795
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $8,669
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,081
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,904/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bowling Green Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2100570
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,181
- Composite
- 31.86/100
- National rank
- #5870
- State rank
- #44 of 165 in KY
Livability — Bowling Green
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #255
- US rank
- #12782
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bowling Green, KY
- County
- Warren County · 129,408 people
- City population
- 129,408
- Metro
- Bowling Green, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,421
- Household income
- $48,217
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3855.0
Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 144,620 people
- By 2030
- 155,977 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 179,381 · +24.0%
- By 2050
- 203,713 · +40.9%
- By 2075
- 267,291 · +84.8%
- By 2100
- 314,019 · +117.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% American 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Warren
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.3) · D 37.0% · R 61.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.4pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -24.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.3 2020: R+16.8 2016: R+24.2 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.34%
- Current HPI
- 277.6554
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.28%
- Metro
- Bowling Green, KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+160.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-16 Listed $119,900 RASKMLS
- 2025-08-28 Listed $129,900 RASKMLS
- 2020-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
- 2020-09-11 Sold (MLS) $89,000 RASKMLS
- 2020-04-17 Listed $89,900 RASKMLS
- 2018-05-18 Listed $55,900 RASKMLS
- 2014-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $278 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…