CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1350 Clay St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 76.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

1350 Clay St · Bowling Green, KY 42101
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,377 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 154 Days on market
Built 1895 8,276 sqft lot Est $149k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Great opportunity to own a duplex. One side is currently being rented at $675/month, while the other is vacant and was previously rented at $775/month. Property does need some work to the floors, but with updates this could be a strong cash-flowing investment. Perfect for investors looking to build or grow their rental portfolio. Showing available with an acceptable offer. Home is being sold AS-IS.

Key facts

  • 8,276 sq ft lot
  • Built 1895
  • Listed 153 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: Access via Adams Street to W. 14th Ave, then right on Clay Street; duplex is on the left.
  • Financial info: Financial details not provided
  • HOA & community: HOA/community details not provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking details not provided
  • Security: Security details not provided
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Residential income property; Duplex (multi-family)
  • Construction: Construction details not provided
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Lot approximately 0.19 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen details not provided
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom details not provided
  • Flooring: Flooring details not provided
  • Bathrooms: Bathroom details not provided
  • Heating & cooling: Heating and cooling details not provided
  • Interior features: No interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry and utility details not provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $109,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$148,716) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $832 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $416/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 3.2% in Bowling Green — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#255 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bowling Green Independent (urban): math 37% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #44 of 165 in KY (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Parker-Bennett-Curry School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #525 of 676 statewide, top 82%, 346 students, 100% FRL); Bowling Green Junior High (math 37% / reading 46%, grade F, #51 of 217 statewide, top 24%, 963 students, 65% FRL); Bowling Green High School (math 39% / reading 39%, grade F, #51 of 254 statewide, top 21%, 1,294 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 53% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 591 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,286 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (1,410 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Warren County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $89k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.70%
Cap rate
15.38%
Cash-on-cash
32.45%
DSCR
2.44
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$148,716
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1311 Stubbins St 0.13mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,189 (-14%) 21mo $72,000 $61 48
1160 Stubbins St 0.31mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,574 (+14%) 15mo $170,000 $108 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.6%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$30,160
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
30.8%
Equity multiple
3.44×
Total profit
$74,967
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42101

Home prices YoY
-20.9%
Rents YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
591
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,870 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$23 /mo · $278/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$393
Net cashflow
$832

Break-even live

Break-even rent $817
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 51%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,870

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1059 Fair St Unit 1 Bowling Green, KY 3.0 1.0 1002 $800 $0.80 21d 1 0.49mi
1044 Fair St Bowling Green, KY 2.0 1.5 983 $925 $0.94 13d 1 0.50mi
1525 Park St Bowling Green, KY 4.0 2.0 1500 $2,000 $1.33 21d 1 0.58mi
1453 Park St Unit A Bowling Green, KY 2.0 2.5 1250 $1,125 $0.90 21d 1 0.61mi
1700 Johnson Dr Bowling Green, KY 3.0 1.0 936 $1,250 $1.34 13d 1 0.68mi
516 Regents Ave Bowling Green, KY 2.0 2.0 1481 $1,500 $1.01 13d 1 0.73mi
1530 Kenton St Bowling Green, KY 3.0 1.0 975 $1,300 $1.33 13d 1 0.83mi
1225 N Lee Dr Bowling Green, KY 3.0 2.5 1200 $1,345 $1.12 44d 1 0.86mi
1607 U.S. 31 West Byp Unit 1720-A03 Bowling Green, KY 2.0 2.0 929 $1,025 $1.10 21d 1 0.86mi
804 West Town Ct Bowling Green, KY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 13d 1 0.93mi
1307 Magnolia St Bowling Green, KY 4.0 2.0 1400 $1,600 $1.14 21d 1 1.02mi
1117 Greenwood Aly Bowling Green, KY 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 13d 2 1.03mi
1233 Henry Dr Bowling Green, KY 3.0 1.0 1107 $1,250 $1.13 13d 1 1.19mi
1207 Smallhouse Rd Bowling Green, KY 2.0 1.5 1202 $1,100 $0.92 21d 1 1.23mi
1424 Neal St Bowling Green, KY 2.0 1.0 954 $995 $1.04 21d 1 1.23mi
864 Fairview Ave Unit D03 Bowling Green, KY 2.0 2.5 1500 $1,525 $1.02 21d 1 1.26mi
1706 Kirby Dr Bowling Green, KY 3.0 1.0 1227 $1,350 $1.10 13d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $109,900 Active 154 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,900 Active 153 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,900 Active 152 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,900 Active 151 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,900 Active 150 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $109,900 Active 148 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $109,900 Active 147 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $119,900 Active 145 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 144 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 143 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 142 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 137 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 136 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 135 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,900 Active 134 DOM
  16. 2026-01-16
    listed $119,900 Active
  17. 2025-08-28
    listed $129,900 Active
  18. 2020-09-14
    soldstatus $89,000
  19. 2020-09-11
    soldstatus $89,000
  20. 2020-04-17
    listed $89,900
  21. 2018-05-18
    listed $55,900
  22. 2014-01-23
    soldstatus $46,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$278 · $23/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$945 · $79/mo
Expected delta
+$667/yr (+$56/mo · 240.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,440
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$278
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,795
− Management
−$1,795
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$8,669
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,081
After-tax cash flow
$7,904/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bowling Green Independent
NCES district ID
2100570
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$31,181
Composite
31.86/100
National rank
#5870
State rank
#44 of 165 in KY

Livability — Bowling Green

Score
65/100
State rank
#255
US rank
#12782

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bowling Green, KY
County
Warren County · 129,408 people
City population
129,408
Metro
Bowling Green, KY
Population (ZIP)
65,421
Household income
$48,217
Rent vs Own
55.3% rent · 44.7% own
Severe rent burden
3855.0

Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
144,620 people
By 2030
155,977 · +7.9%
By 2040
179,381 · +24.0%
By 2050
203,713 · +40.9%
By 2075
267,291 · +84.8%
By 2100
314,019 · +117.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% American 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Warren

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.3) · D 37.0% · R 61.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-5.4pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -24.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.3 2020: R+16.8 2016: R+24.2 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+18.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.34%
Current HPI
277.6554
Rent YoY
▲ 0.28%
Metro
Bowling Green, KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+160.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $119,900 RASKMLS
  • 2025-08-28 Listed $129,900 RASKMLS
  • 2020-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
  • 2020-09-11 Sold (MLS) $89,000 RASKMLS
  • 2020-04-17 Listed $89,900 RASKMLS
  • 2018-05-18 Listed $55,900 RASKMLS
  • 2014-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $278 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…