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509 Jackson Ave
C Composite 59.33
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.9/15.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

509 Jackson Ave · McComb, MS 39648
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,992 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1922 0.45 ac lot Est $153k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice spacious rooms that let you spread out! Take a took at this 3 possibly 4 bedroom, two retro bathroom house located inside McComb city limits.

Key facts

  • Front porch
  • Sunroom
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

FRONT PORCHMANICURED LANDSCAPINGHARDWOOD FLOORSUPDATED KITCHENSUNROOMCORNER LOT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Sidewalks; Street lights

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Carport with storage; 1 carport space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Cable available; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; One level; Move-in ready
  • Construction: Brick and plaster construction; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built (year source: assessor)
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Side porch; Patio; Private yard; Fenced yard (wood); Landscaped; Sloped lot; City lot; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in electric range; Built-in refrigerator
  • Flooring: Wood floors
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Beamed ceilings; Ceiling fan(s); Crown molding; High ceilings; Soaking tub; Dead bolt lock(s); Blinds
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room with inside washer and dryer hookups; Electric dryer hookup; Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 6.5% in McComb — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#50 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mccomb School District (town): math 15% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #106 of 130 in MS (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 93% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 190 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pike County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.53%
Cash-on-cash
7.99%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$153,384
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
402 High St 0.03mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,023 (+2%) 8mo $169,900 $84 85
1212 Park St 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,945 (-2%) 7mo $162,900 $84 67
128 Sinclair St 0.68mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,000 (+0%) 0mo $214,900 $107 60
507 W Georgia Ave 0.34mi 3/2.0 2,264 (+14%) 1mo $55,000 $24 60
1018 Park St 0.31mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,198 (+10%) 3mo $169,500 $77 59
612 W New York Ave 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,708 (-14%) 1mo $54,600 $32 59
623 Louisiana Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,968 (-1%) 13mo $135,000 $69 55
321 W New York Ave 0.47mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,840 (-8%) 7mo $38,000 $21 54
408 New York Ave W 0.42mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,850 (-7%) 12mo $109,500 $59 54
600 Lake 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,880 (-6%) 14mo $279,500 $149 52
227 N James Ave 0.31mi 3/3.0 2,251 (+13%) 11mo $59,000 $26 50
602 Maxine Ave 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,836 (-8%) 13mo $194,900 $106 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-5,856
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
5.5%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$15,521
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39648

Active inventory
190
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,448 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$128 /mo · $1,538/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$252

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,130
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
606 Lakeview Ave McComb, MS 2.0 2.0 2312 $1,500 $0.65 43d 1 0.52mi
238 Westview Cir McComb, MS 3.0 2.0 1574 $1,300 $0.83 43d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $135,000 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-12
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-12
    listed $135,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,538 · $128/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,538 · $128/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,376
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$1,538
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,390
− Management
−$1,390
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$894
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$215
After-tax cash flow
$2,804/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mccomb School District
NCES district ID
2802880
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$29,855
Composite
12.26/100
National rank
#9645
State rank
#106 of 130 in MS

Livability — McComb

Score
69/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#8347

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
McComb, MS
Population (ZIP)
19,767

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,766 people
By 2030
37,874 · -2.3%
By 2040
35,743 · -7.8%
By 2050
33,276 · -14.2%
By 2075
26,799 · -30.9%
By 2100
18,562 · -52.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 32% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 51.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.0pp toward R · 2008: 3.5pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+1.0 2016: R+0.7 2012: D+7.6 2008: D+3.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.61%
Current HPI
92.2495
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+59.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $135,000 MLSU
  • 2026-03-25 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2026-02-23 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-01-13 Contingent MLSU
  • 2026-01-06 Price Changed $159,000 MLSU
  • 2025-11-11 Price Changed $169,000 MLSU
  • 2025-09-25 Listed $177,000 MLSU
  • 2017-03-03 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2016-05-27 Listed $65,000 MLSU
  • 2009-07-24 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2009-04-30 Listed $84,900 MLSU

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2017): $1,538 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…