115 Nelda Dr · Leesville, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Freshly Remodeled and Move-in Ready. Beautifully updated 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home. Every detail has been considered, from the fresh paint and new carpet to the updated electrical and new fixtures that adorn every room. The spacious living room sets a stylish tone with its attractive wainscoting and new ceiling fan. The kitchen is equipped with brand-new appliances ready for your culinary adventures. Both bathrooms have been transformed. The main bath offers a new ceramic tub surround, toilet, cabinet, and sink with a unique LED aerator faucet, while the half bath mirrors this attention to detail with its new toilet, cabinet, and sink featuring the same modern faucet. Plus a convenient carport, covered back patio, and fenced yard. This home combines comfort and style. Call today.
Key facts
- Wainscoting
- Updated electrical
- Fresh paint
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (3.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#30 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Vernon Parish (rural): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #18 of 98 in LA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Rosepine Elementary School (math 25% / reading 50%, grade F, #247 of 646 statewide, top 39%, 830 students, 55% FRL); Vernon Middle School (math 30% / reading 41%, grade F, #91 of 218 statewide, top 42%, 477 students, 60% FRL); Leesville High School (math 32% / reading 54%, grade F, #66 of 265 statewide, top 25%, 884 students, 47% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.6%/yr); 210 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 26 units permitted in Vernon Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Vernon County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 356 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $155k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 356 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.10%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $129,368
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- 19.81%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1007 W Union St | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,353 (-1%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $103 | 67 |
| 512 Whittington St | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,208 (-12%) | 9mo | $60,000 | $50 | 64 |
| 805 Dennis Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,231 (-10%) | 4mo | $91,000 | $74 | 62 |
| 907 Dennis Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,449 (+6%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $48 | 60 |
| 1006 Anderson Dr | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,247 (-9%) | 8mo | $33,500 | $27 | 56 |
| 507 Whittington St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,235 (-10%) | 20mo | $95,000 | $77 | 56 |
| 303 N Prairie St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,556 (+14%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $106 | 49 |
| 804 Marvin Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,244 (-9%) | 21mo | $106,374 | $86 | 48 |
| 1001 Pinckney Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,274 (-7%) | 21mo | $115,000 | $90 | 43 |
| 1201 John Paul Jones Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,221 (-11%) | 6mo | $143,000 | $117 | 42 |
| 125 Carver Dr | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,285 (-6%) | 22mo | $150,000 | $117 | 39 |
| 913 Dennis Ave | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 1,557 (+14%) | 22mo | $157,500 | $101 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-8,785
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $39,332
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71446
- Home prices YoY
- -32.1%
- Rents YoY
- 9.6%
- Active inventory
- 210
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,503 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $634/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $132
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $219 | -5% $175 | +0% $132 | +5% $88 | +10% $44 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $13 | -5% $72 | +0% $132 | +5% $191 | +10% $250 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $210 | -0.5pp $171 | base $132 | +0.5pp $91 | +1.0pp $51 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1219 Port Arthur Ter Leesville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,400 | $0.78 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1403 Aaron St Leesville, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 926 | $1,050 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 10 Katherine Loop Leesville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,100 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 207 Belview Rd Leesville, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $155,000 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $155,000 Active 353 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 352 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 351 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 350 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 349 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $155,000 Active 347 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $155,000 Active 346 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 343 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 342 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 341 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 340 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $155,000 Active 337 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 336 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 335 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 334 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $155,000 789-char remark
Show marketing remark (789 chars)
Freshly Remodeled and Move-in Ready. Beautifully updated 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home. Every detail has been considered, from the fresh paint and new carpet to the updated electrical and new fixtures that adorn every room. The spacious living room sets a stylish tone with its attractive wainscoting and new ceiling fan. The kitchen is equipped with brand-new appliances ready for your culinary adventures. Both bathrooms have been transformed. The main bath offers a new ceramic tub surround, toilet, cabinet, and sink with a unique LED aerator faucet, while the half bath mirrors this attention to detail with its new toilet, cabinet, and sink featuring the same modern faucet. Plus a convenient carport, covered back patio, and fenced yard. This home combines comfort and style. Call today.
-
2026-04-08price $160,000 789-char remark
Show marketing remark (789 chars)
Freshly Remodeled and Move-in Ready. Beautifully updated 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home. Every detail has been considered, from the fresh paint and new carpet to the updated electrical and new fixtures that adorn every room. The spacious living room sets a stylish tone with its attractive wainscoting and new ceiling fan. The kitchen is equipped with brand-new appliances ready for your culinary adventures. Both bathrooms have been transformed. The main bath offers a new ceramic tub surround, toilet, cabinet, and sink with a unique LED aerator faucet, while the half bath mirrors this attention to detail with its new toilet, cabinet, and sink featuring the same modern faucet. Plus a convenient carport, covered back patio, and fenced yard. This home combines comfort and style. Call today.
-
2025-11-09price $164,000 789-char remark
Show marketing remark (789 chars)
Freshly Remodeled and Move-in Ready. Beautifully updated 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home. Every detail has been considered, from the fresh paint and new carpet to the updated electrical and new fixtures that adorn every room. The spacious living room sets a stylish tone with its attractive wainscoting and new ceiling fan. The kitchen is equipped with brand-new appliances ready for your culinary adventures. Both bathrooms have been transformed. The main bath offers a new ceramic tub surround, toilet, cabinet, and sink with a unique LED aerator faucet, while the half bath mirrors this attention to detail with its new toilet, cabinet, and sink featuring the same modern faucet. Plus a convenient carport, covered back patio, and fenced yard. This home combines comfort and style. Call today.
-
2025-07-01$165,000 Active 789-char remark
Show marketing remark (789 chars)
Freshly Remodeled and Move-in Ready. Beautifully updated 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home. Every detail has been considered, from the fresh paint and new carpet to the updated electrical and new fixtures that adorn every room. The spacious living room sets a stylish tone with its attractive wainscoting and new ceiling fan. The kitchen is equipped with brand-new appliances ready for your culinary adventures. Both bathrooms have been transformed. The main bath offers a new ceramic tub surround, toilet, cabinet, and sink with a unique LED aerator faucet, while the half bath mirrors this attention to detail with its new toilet, cabinet, and sink featuring the same modern faucet. Plus a convenient carport, covered back patio, and fenced yard. This home combines comfort and style. Call today.
-
2025-03-10soldstatus $85,000
-
2025-03-05soldstatus Closed 646-char remark
Show marketing remark (646 chars)
Own Your Future!Dreaming of homeownership? Look no further! This charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath house in Leesville offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Prime Location: Enjoy easy access to Fort Johnson, Vernon Lake, and Anacoco Spillway Park for outdoor adventures. Nearby Amenities: Take advantage of the Leesville Sports Complex, Leisure Pool, Library, and Liberty Garden for entertainment and recreation. Outdoor Enthusiast's Paradise: Explore nearby Leesville Art Park or Myrtle Park for tennis, pickleball, basketball, or frisbee golf. Don't miss out on this opportunity to make your dreams a reality. Schedule a viewing today!
-
2024-09-30price $100,000 646-char remark
Show marketing remark (646 chars)
Own Your Future!Dreaming of homeownership? Look no further! This charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath house in Leesville offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Prime Location: Enjoy easy access to Fort Johnson, Vernon Lake, and Anacoco Spillway Park for outdoor adventures. Nearby Amenities: Take advantage of the Leesville Sports Complex, Leisure Pool, Library, and Liberty Garden for entertainment and recreation. Outdoor Enthusiast's Paradise: Explore nearby Leesville Art Park or Myrtle Park for tennis, pickleball, basketball, or frisbee golf. Don't miss out on this opportunity to make your dreams a reality. Schedule a viewing today!
-
2024-05-21$115,000 Active 646-char remark
Show marketing remark (646 chars)
Own Your Future!Dreaming of homeownership? Look no further! This charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath house in Leesville offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Prime Location: Enjoy easy access to Fort Johnson, Vernon Lake, and Anacoco Spillway Park for outdoor adventures. Nearby Amenities: Take advantage of the Leesville Sports Complex, Leisure Pool, Library, and Liberty Garden for entertainment and recreation. Outdoor Enthusiast's Paradise: Explore nearby Leesville Art Park or Myrtle Park for tennis, pickleball, basketball, or frisbee golf. Don't miss out on this opportunity to make your dreams a reality. Schedule a viewing today!
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2023-10-13$125,000 Active
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2023-10-12$125,000
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2023-01-24price $120,000
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2023-01-05$125,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $634 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $852 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- +$218/yr (+$18/mo · 34.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,030
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$634
- − Insurance
- −$2,278
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,442
- − Management
- −$1,442
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$957
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$230
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,808/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vernon Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201830
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -42.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,822
- Composite
- 36.42/100
- National rank
- #4674
- State rank
- #18 of 98 in LA
Livability — Leesville
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #5046
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leesville, LA
- County
- Vernon Parish · 21,275 people
- City population
- 21,275
- Metro
- Fort Polk South, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,275
- Household income
- $55,925
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 659.0
Population outlook (Vernon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,401 people
- By 2030
- 43,015 · -5.3%
- By 2040
- 38,171 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 34,087 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 28,267 · -37.7%
- By 2100
- 25,486 · -43.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vernon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.9) · D 15.6% · R 83.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.5pp toward R · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -67.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.9 2020: R+64.9 2016: R+65.0 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.06%
- Current HPI
- 128.8849
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.60%
- Metro
- Fort Polk South, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+24.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $155,000 GFPAR
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $160,000 GFPAR
- 2025-11-09 Price Changed $164,000 GFPAR
- 2025-07-01 Listed $165,000 GFPAR
- 2025-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2025-03-05 Sold (MLS) — GFPAR
- 2024-09-30 Price Changed $100,000 GFPAR
- 2024-05-21 Listed $115,000 GFPAR
- 2023-10-13 Listed $125,000 GFPAR
- 2023-10-12 Listed $125,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2023-01-24 Price Changed $120,000 GFPAR
- 2023-01-05 Listed $125,000 GFPAR
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $634 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…