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66435 Union Rd
C Composite 59.34
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

66435 Union Rd · Vandalia, MI 49031
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,948 sqft · SingleFamily · 8 Days on market
Built 1971 1.91 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investors or buyers looking for opportunity, this house is waiting for you! Spacious Ranch with a nice floor plan with a peaceful setting offers endless potential. Just under 2 acres, nice 2 stall detached garage & 1 outbuilding Cash only sale.

Key facts

  • 1 small outbuilding
  • 2 acres
  • Peaceful setting

Tags

PEACEFUL SETTING2 ACRES2 STALL DETACHED GARAGE1 SMALL OUTBUILDING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Well water
  • Home design: Ranch-style single-family home; One-story
  • Construction: Built in 1971; Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Wooded lot; Pole barn; Paved road access; Lot approximately 1.91 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Kitchen approximately 11 x 16
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 (10 x 11); Bedroom 3 (10 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Well water

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#634 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Cassopolis Public Schools (rural): math 14% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #453 of 540 in MI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cass County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $110,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.56%
Cash-on-cash
11.68%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$742,188
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
66435 Union Rd 0.00mi 3/1.5 1,948 (0%) 0mo $115,000 $59 100
66057 South Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,770 (-9%) 14mo $675,000 $381 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.1%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,236
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
10.6%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$25,513
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49031

Active inventory
81
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,224 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $529/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$257
Net cashflow
$300

Break-even live

Break-even rent $844
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $362 -5% $331 +0% $300 +5% $269 +10% $238
Rent -10% $203 -5% $252 +0% $300 +5% $348 +10% $397
Rate -1.0pp $355 -0.5pp $328 base $300 +0.5pp $271 +1.0pp $242

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    listed $135,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (251 chars)

    Investors or buyers looking for opportunity, this house is waiting for you! Spacious Ranch with a nice floor plan with a peaceful setting offers endless potential. Just under 2 acres, nice 2 stall detached garage & 1 outbuilding Cash only sale.

  2. 2026-05-20
    listed $135,000 Active 250-char remark
    Show marketing remark (251 chars)

    Investors or buyers looking for opportunity, this house is waiting for you! Spacious Ranch with a nice floor plan with a peaceful setting offers endless potential. Just under 2 acres, nice 2 stall detached garage & 1 outbuilding Cash only sale.

  3. 2026-05-20
    listed $135,000 Active 251-char remark
    Show marketing remark (251 chars)

    Investors or buyers looking for opportunity, this house is waiting for you! Spacious Ranch with a nice floor plan with a peaceful setting offers endless potential. Just under 2 acres, nice 2 stall detached garage & 1 outbuilding Cash only sale.

  4. 2014-09-15
    historical
  5. 2002-12-17
    historical
  6. 2001-12-10
    listed $124,900
  7. 2001-12-10
    listed $124,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$529 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,111 · $93/mo
Expected delta
+$583/yr (+$49/mo · 110.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,683
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$529
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,175
− Management
−$1,175
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$1,893
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$454
After-tax cash flow
$3,144/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cassopolis Public Schools
NCES district ID
2608430
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,696
Composite
18.59/100
National rank
#8906
State rank
#453 of 540 in MI

Livability — Vandalia

Score
58/100
State rank
#634
US rank
#21374

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,320

Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
49,919 people
By 2030
48,320 · -3.2%
By 2040
44,230 · -11.4%
By 2050
39,852 · -20.2%
By 2075
31,440 · -37.0%
By 2100
23,914 · -52.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 11% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cass

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.5% · R 66.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-38.0pp toward R · 2008: 4.1pp · 2024: -33.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.9 2020: R+28.9 2016: R+29.9 2012: R+13.7 2008: D+4.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -277.15%
Current HPI
163.1792
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+8.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $135,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2014-09-15 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2002-12-17 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2001-12-10 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
  • 2001-12-10 Listed $124,900 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

-5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $529 · -57.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…