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18 A Spruce Dr
B- Composite 67.87
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$104,000

18 A Spruce Dr · Sicklerville, NJ 08081
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,404 sqft · Manufactured · 115 Days on market
Built 1988 Fair condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 18 A Spruce Dr. , a well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2 full bath mobile home located in the desirable Norway Trailer Park. This home offers a comfortable and functional layout, featuring a spacious master bedroom complete with a walk-in closet and a private full bathroom. Two additional bedrooms and a guest bathroom provide ample space for family or visitors. The home is equipped with electric and gas utilities, along with propane gas cooking. A dedicated laundry room with washer and dryer adds convenience to everyday living. Situated on a large lot with a monthly fee of $689—which includes water, sewer, and taxes—this property offers both value and affordability. Outside, you’ll find a large double-wide driveway, two storage sheds, and a generous porch perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Conveniently located just 10 minutes from major shopping and everyday essentials, including ShopRite, Wawa, Walmart, and more. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a spacious home in a great location!

Key facts

  • 3 parking spots
  • Built 1988
  • Listed 114 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $104k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $104k).
  • Recommended offer: $95k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.6% vs local median 4.7% in Sicklerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Winslow Township School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #387 of 472 in NJ (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $719 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($95k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $94,640 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.39%
Cap rate
20.63%
Cash-on-cash
51.21%
DSCR
3.28
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.5%
Equity multiple
3.18×
Total profit
$63,359
Equity at exit
$15,507
10-year hold
IRR
55.2%
Equity multiple
6.55×
Total profit
$161,492
Equity at exit
$8,992

Cash invested: $29,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08081

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
334
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,483 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$545
Tax est. 1.5%
$130 /mo · $1,560/yr
Insurance
$43
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$521
Net cashflow
$1,243

Break-even live

Break-even rent $910
Max offer price $104,000
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,315 -5% $1,279 +0% $1,243 +5% $1,207 +10% $1,171
Rent -10% $1,047 -5% $1,145 +0% $1,243 +5% $1,341 +10% $1,439
Rate -1.0pp $1,295 -0.5pp $1,269 base $1,243 +0.5pp $1,216 +1.0pp $1,188

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,000
Closing costs
$3,120
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
110 High Meadows Dr Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 1.5 1408 $2,400 $1.70 45d 1 0.50mi
41 Hampton Gate Dr Sicklerville, NJ 2.0 1.5 1272 $2,100 $1.65 19d 1 0.54mi
55 Hampton Gate Dr Sicklerville, NJ 2.0 1.5 1272 $2,000 $1.57 45d 1 0.58mi
16 High Meadows Dr Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 1.5 1353 $2,600 $1.92 45d 1 0.58mi
3 Lawrence Ct Sicklerville, NJ 2.0 1.0 968 $1,850 $1.91 0d 1 0.74mi
11 Camino Ct Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 2.5 1836 $2,885 $1.57 45d 1 0.89mi
25 Memphis Ct Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 1.5 1450 $2,000 $1.38 19d 1 0.94mi
27 Villanova Ct Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 1.5 1280 $2,300 $1.80 3d 1 0.95mi
28 Melwood Ct Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 1.5 1370 $2,500 $1.82 16d 1 0.97mi
4 Milstone Ct Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 1.5 1462 $2,400 $1.64 2d 1 1.01mi
483 Old Erial Rd Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 1.5 1226 $2,575 $2.10 8d 1 1.02mi
106 Sickler Ct Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 2.5 1580 $2,900 $1.84 19d 1 1.06mi
8 Vernon Ct Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,900 $1.46 4d 1 1.07mi
68 Arbor Meadow Dr Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 2.5 1666 $3,000 $1.80 4d 1 1.07mi
120 Sickler Ct Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 2.5 1580 $3,200 $2.03 45d 1 1.08mi
28 Magnolia Ct Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 1.5 1450 $2,000 $1.38 45d 1 1.15mi
46 Magnolia Ct Sicklerville, NJ 2.0 1.5 1370 $2,200 $1.61 4d 1 1.22mi
9 Marcia Ct Unit 9 Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 1.5 1462 $2,000 $1.37 0d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $104,000 Active 115 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $104,000 Active 112 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $104,000 Active 111 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $104,000 Active 110 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $104,000 Active 109 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $104,000 Active 107 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $104,000 Active 103 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $104,000 Active 102 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $104,000 Active 101 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $104,000 Active 98 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $104,000 Active 97 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $104,000 Active 96 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $104,000 Active 95 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $104,000 Active 94 DOM
  15. 2026-02-26
    listed $104,000 Active 1029-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1029 chars)

    Welcome to 18 A Spruce Dr. , a well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2 full bath mobile home located in the desirable Norway Trailer Park. This home offers a comfortable and functional layout, featuring a spacious master bedroom complete with a walk-in closet and a private full bathroom. Two additional bedrooms and a guest bathroom provide ample space for family or visitors. The home is equipped with electric and gas utilities, along with propane gas cooking. A dedicated laundry room with washer and dryer adds convenience to everyday living. Situated on a large lot with a monthly fee of $689—which includes water, sewer, and taxes—this property offers both value and affordability. Outside, you’ll find a large double-wide driveway, two storage sheds, and a generous porch perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Conveniently located just 10 minutes from major shopping and everyday essentials, including ShopRite, Wawa, Walmart, and more. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a spacious home in a great location!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,793
− Mortgage interest
−$5,826
− Property taxes
−$1,560
− Insurance
−$520
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,383
− Management
−$2,383
− Depreciation
−$3,025
Taxable income
$14,095
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,383
After-tax cash flow
$11,529/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This mobile home requires moderate repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. The kitchen and bathrooms are in need of an update, and the exterior needs repair. With some updates, it could be a move-in-ready home.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
  • Moderate kitchen flooring — dated and worn
  • Moderate bathroom fixtures — dated and worn
  • Moderate exterior siding — weathered and cracked
  • Moderate driveway — cracked and uneven

Value-add opportunities

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and flooring — modernizing kitchen would appeal to buyers and renters
  • Both replace bathroom fixtures — modernizing bathrooms would appeal to buyers and renters
  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint would improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both repair and replace exterior siding — repairing and replacing siding would improve curb appeal and structural integrity
  • Both repair and replace driveway — repairing and replacing driveway would improve curb appeal and functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and worn Moderate $3,000–15,000
kitchen flooring · dated and worn Moderate $3,000–15,000
bathroom fixtures · dated and worn Moderate $3,000–15,000
exterior siding · weathered and cracked Moderate $3,000–15,000
driveway · cracked and uneven Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $15,000–75,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and flooring — modernizing kitchen would appeal to buyers and renters
  • Both replace bathroom fixtures — modernizing bathrooms would appeal to buyers and renters
  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint would improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both repair and replace exterior siding — repairing and replacing siding would improve curb appeal and structural integrity
  • Both repair and replace driveway — repairing and replacing driveway would improve curb appeal and functionality

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Winslow Township School District
NCES district ID
3418060
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$70,254
Composite
22.65/100
National rank
#8057
State rank
#387 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Sicklerville

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Sicklerville, NJ
County
Camden County · 407,624 people
City population
50,264
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
50,264
Household income
$105,800
Rent vs Own
15.1% rent · 84.9% own
Severe rent burden
979.0

Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
507,964 people
By 2030
502,182 · -1.1%
By 2040
485,602 · -4.4%
By 2050
465,630 · -8.3%
By 2075
419,986 · -17.3%
By 2100
369,492 · -27.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 34% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Camden

2024 margin
Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -176.48%
Current HPI
303.1017
Rent YoY
▲ 3.41%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $104,000 SJSRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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