18 A Spruce Dr · Sicklerville, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$104,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 18 A Spruce Dr. , a well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2 full bath mobile home located in the desirable Norway Trailer Park. This home offers a comfortable and functional layout, featuring a spacious master bedroom complete with a walk-in closet and a private full bathroom. Two additional bedrooms and a guest bathroom provide ample space for family or visitors. The home is equipped with electric and gas utilities, along with propane gas cooking. A dedicated laundry room with washer and dryer adds convenience to everyday living. Situated on a large lot with a monthly fee of $689—which includes water, sewer, and taxes—this property offers both value and affordability. Outside, you’ll find a large double-wide driveway, two storage sheds, and a generous porch perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Conveniently located just 10 minutes from major shopping and everyday essentials, including ShopRite, Wawa, Walmart, and more. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a spacious home in a great location!
Key facts
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1988
- Listed 114 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $104k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $104k).
- Recommended offer: $95k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.6% vs local median 4.7% in Sicklerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Winslow Township School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #387 of 472 in NJ (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $719 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($95k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.21%
- DSCR
- 3.28
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.18×
- Total profit
- $63,359
- Equity at exit
- $15,507
- IRR
- 55.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.55×
- Total profit
- $161,492
- Equity at exit
- $8,992
Cash invested: $29,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08081
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 334
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,483 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$545
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$130 /mo · $1,560/yr
- Insurance
- −$43
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$521
- Net cashflow
- $1,243
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,315 | -5% $1,279 | +0% $1,243 | +5% $1,207 | +10% $1,171 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,047 | -5% $1,145 | +0% $1,243 | +5% $1,341 | +10% $1,439 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,295 | -0.5pp $1,269 | base $1,243 | +0.5pp $1,216 | +1.0pp $1,188 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,000
- Closing costs
- $3,120
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 High Meadows Dr Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1408 | $2,400 | $1.70 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 41 Hampton Gate Dr Sicklerville, NJ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1272 | $2,100 | $1.65 | 19d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 55 Hampton Gate Dr Sicklerville, NJ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1272 | $2,000 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 16 High Meadows Dr Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1353 | $2,600 | $1.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3 Lawrence Ct Sicklerville, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,850 | $1.91 | 0d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 11 Camino Ct Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1836 | $2,885 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 25 Memphis Ct Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1450 | $2,000 | $1.38 | 19d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 27 Villanova Ct Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1280 | $2,300 | $1.80 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 28 Melwood Ct Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1370 | $2,500 | $1.82 | 16d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4 Milstone Ct Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1462 | $2,400 | $1.64 | 2d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 483 Old Erial Rd Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1226 | $2,575 | $2.10 | 8d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 106 Sickler Ct Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1580 | $2,900 | $1.84 | 19d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 8 Vernon Ct Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,900 | $1.46 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 68 Arbor Meadow Dr Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1666 | $3,000 | $1.80 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 120 Sickler Ct Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1580 | $3,200 | $2.03 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 28 Magnolia Ct Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1450 | $2,000 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 46 Magnolia Ct Sicklerville, NJ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1370 | $2,200 | $1.61 | 4d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 9 Marcia Ct Unit 9 Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1462 | $2,000 | $1.37 | 0d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $104,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $104,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $104,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $104,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $104,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $104,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $104,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $104,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $104,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $104,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $104,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $104,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $104,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $104,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-02-26$104,000 Active 1029-char remark
Show marketing remark (1029 chars)
Welcome to 18 A Spruce Dr. , a well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2 full bath mobile home located in the desirable Norway Trailer Park. This home offers a comfortable and functional layout, featuring a spacious master bedroom complete with a walk-in closet and a private full bathroom. Two additional bedrooms and a guest bathroom provide ample space for family or visitors. The home is equipped with electric and gas utilities, along with propane gas cooking. A dedicated laundry room with washer and dryer adds convenience to everyday living. Situated on a large lot with a monthly fee of $689—which includes water, sewer, and taxes—this property offers both value and affordability. Outside, you’ll find a large double-wide driveway, two storage sheds, and a generous porch perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Conveniently located just 10 minutes from major shopping and everyday essentials, including ShopRite, Wawa, Walmart, and more. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a spacious home in a great location!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,793
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,826
- − Property taxes
- −$1,560
- − Insurance
- −$520
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,383
- − Management
- −$2,383
- − Depreciation
- −$3,025
- Taxable income
- $14,095
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,383
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,529/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home requires moderate repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. The kitchen and bathrooms are in need of an update, and the exterior needs repair. With some updates, it could be a move-in-ready home.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
- Moderate kitchen flooring — dated and worn
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — dated and worn
- Moderate exterior siding — weathered and cracked
- Moderate driveway — cracked and uneven
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen cabinets and flooring — modernizing kitchen would appeal to buyers and renters
- Both replace bathroom fixtures — modernizing bathrooms would appeal to buyers and renters
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint would improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both repair and replace exterior siding — repairing and replacing siding would improve curb appeal and structural integrity
- Both repair and replace driveway — repairing and replacing driveway would improve curb appeal and functionality
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| kitchen flooring · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| exterior siding · weathered and cracked | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| driveway · cracked and uneven | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $15,000–75,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update kitchen cabinets and flooring — modernizing kitchen would appeal to buyers and renters ↑
- Both replace bathroom fixtures — modernizing bathrooms would appeal to buyers and renters ↑
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint would improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both repair and replace exterior siding — repairing and replacing siding would improve curb appeal and structural integrity ↑
- Both repair and replace driveway — repairing and replacing driveway would improve curb appeal and functionality ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Winslow Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3418060
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,254
- Composite
- 22.65/100
- National rank
- #8057
- State rank
- #387 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Sicklerville
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sicklerville, NJ
- County
- Camden County · 407,624 people
- City population
- 50,264
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,264
- Household income
- $105,800
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 979.0
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 34% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -176.48%
- Current HPI
- 303.1017
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-26 Listed $104,000 SJSRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…