🏷️ Likely Rental
723 Kensington Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
723 Kensington Ave in the 14215 presents a rare opportunity for both investors & owner-occupants to secure a property with immediate income, long-term upside, & exceptional value. This solid 3/3 double offers the perfect combination of stability & future growth, featuring a long-term lower tenant of more than 20 years who pays $550 per month plus utilities. While providing reliable income from day one, the current rent is well below today's market rates for a three-bedroom apartment, creating a clear value-add opportunity for investors seeking increased cash flow & stronger returns over time. For owner-occupants, this property offers an ideal house-hacking opportunity
Key facts
- Separate utilities
- Walk up attic
- Large front porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Two separate gas meters and two separate electric meters; Two total units (both in community)
- Financial info: One unit currently rented month-to-month for $550; Owner pays water and trash collection; Rent includes water and trash collection; Operating expenses include trash (see remarks for details)
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel and paved parking with two or more spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: 3-story multi-family residence; Residential two-unit zoning; Resale condition
- Construction: Composite siding; Asphalt roof; Stone foundation; Copper and PEX plumbing; Existing (built previously)
- Exterior features: Balcony; Rectangular lot near public transit; Main thoroughfare frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen in one unit; Standard kitchen features (details not provided)
- Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile; Varies by area
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Full basement; Varied flooring including carpet, laminate and tile
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $175k).
- Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 237 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,904/mo this rent would consume 78% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 2873% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $175k implies a 1067% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.81%
- DSCR
- 2.37
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $277,447
- List price
- $174,999
- Delta
- -33.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 172 Rodney Ave | 0.55mi | 6/2.5 | 2,430 (+0%) | 7mo | $222,499 | $92 | 66 |
| 2002 Fillmore Ave | 0.74mi | 6/2.0 | 2,390 (-2%) | 4mo | $206,500 | $86 | 59 |
| 440 Cornwall Ave | 0.45mi | 6/2.0 | 2,200 (-9%) | 6mo | $131,000 | $60 | 58 |
| 96 Sussex St | 0.36mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,152 (-11%) | 4mo | $255,000 | $118 | 56 |
| 258 Leroy Ave | 0.50mi | 6/2.0 | 2,200 (-9%) | 6mo | $220,000 | $100 | 56 |
| 2006 Fillmore Ave | 0.74mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,390 (-2%) | 3mo | $84,800 | $35 | 56 |
| 359 Cambridge Ave | 0.59mi | 6/2.0 | 2,656 (+10%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $24 | 55 |
| 168 Rodney Ave | 0.56mi | 6/2.0 | 2,199 (-9%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $80 | 52 |
| 2032 Fillmore Ave | 0.72mi | 6/2.0 | 2,226 (-8%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $67 | 45 |
| 815 E Delavan Ave | 0.73mi | 6/2.0 | 2,096 (-14%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $76 | 40 |
| 19 Dunlop Ave | 0.73mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,160 (-11%) | 6mo | $160,000 | $74 | 38 |
| 18 Phyllis Ave | 0.71mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,134 (-12%) | 8mo | $138,000 | $65 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $45,057
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 29.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $116,105
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14215
- Home prices YoY
- -30.0%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 237
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,904 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $545/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$610
- Net cashflow
- $1,258
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,357 | -5% $1,308 | +0% $1,258 | +5% $1,209 | +10% $1,159 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,029 | -5% $1,143 | +0% $1,258 | +5% $1,373 | +10% $1,488 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,346 | -0.5pp $1,303 | base $1,258 | +0.5pp $1,213 | +1.0pp $1,167 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $2,904 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,452 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,452 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,904 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 145 Minnesota Ave Buffalo, NY | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2551 | $4,900 | $1.92 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 175 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,500 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 85 Highgate Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2193 | $3,750 | $1.71 | 15d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 24 Custer St Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $3,000 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 133 Merrimac St Buffalo, NY | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2327 | $4,450 | $1.91 | 15d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $174,999 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $185,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $185,000 1277-char remark
-
2026-04-14$200,000 Active 1277-char remark
-
2012-04-24soldstatus $15,000
-
2004-10-27soldstatus $52,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $545 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,751 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,206/yr (+$101/mo · 221.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,848
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$545
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,788
- − Management
- −$2,788
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $12,959
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,110
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,987/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,524
- Household income
- $44,955
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2873.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 67% White 15% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -126.29%
- Current HPI
- 295.2966
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.67%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+233.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $174,999 WNYREIS
- 2026-06-12 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $185,000 WNYREIS
- 2026-04-14 Listed $200,000 WNYREIS
- 2012-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 2004-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $545 · +102.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…