250 Bushwack Rd · Belmont, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$68,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bed/1 bath house. Large, covered porch s great for enjoying those hot summer nights. Large 4 car detached garage can accommodate approx. 4 mid-sized cars. Storage shed included. Recent updates include new electrical service, roof, and carpet.
Key facts
- 2 story garage
- Unfinished basement
- Nice front porch
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Off-street parking; Gravel parking area
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories
- Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Full basement (unfinished)
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Partial fencing; Rectangular lot; Publicly maintained road frontage on a city street; Workshop on property
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Linoleum flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (propane); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; High-speed internet available; Window coverings; Full unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#725 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Richland SD (suburban): math 57% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #54 of 539 in PA (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.62%
- DSCR
- 2.01
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $104,168
- List price
- $68,000
- Delta
- -34.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 Kathy Dr | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,104 (+4%) | 4mo | $83,000 | $75 | 81 |
| 116 Sann St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,216 (+15%) | 1mo | $136,000 | $112 | 44 |
| 447 Highland Park Rd | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 937 (-12%) | 23mo | $110,000 | $117 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $8,325
- Equity at exit
- $10,139
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $32,232
- Equity at exit
- $5,879
Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15904
- Active inventory
- 50
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,003 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$357
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $581/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$211
- Net cashflow
- $303
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,000
- Closing costs
- $2,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1201 Heeney Ave Johnstown, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,050 | $1.40 | 4d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 553 Vickroy Ave #555 Johnstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $985 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 550 Ferndale Ave Johnstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 522 Vickroy Ave Johnstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $850 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 619 Grove Ave Johnstown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 30 events
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2026-06-19days on market $68,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $68,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-17remarks 622-char remark
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2026-06-17days on market $68,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $68,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $68,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $68,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $68,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $68,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $68,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $68,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $68,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $68,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $68,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $68,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $68,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $68,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-04-23$68,000 Active 388-char remark
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2024-08-23soldstatus $59,600 Closed 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (249 chars)
This 3 bed/1 bath house. Large, covered porch s great for enjoying those hot summer nights. Large 4 car detached garage can accommodate approx. 4 mid-sized cars. Storage shed included. Recent updates include new electrical service, roof, and carpet.
-
2024-08-23soldstatus $59,600 Closed
Show marketing remark (249 chars)
This 3 bed/1 bath house. Large, covered porch s great for enjoying those hot summer nights. Large 4 car detached garage can accommodate approx. 4 mid-sized cars. Storage shed included. Recent updates include new electrical service, roof, and carpet.
-
2024-08-19status Pending 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
3 bed/1 bath house. Large, covered porch s great for enjoying those hot summer nights. Large 4 car detached garage can accommodate approx. 4 mid-sized cars. Storage shed included. Recent updates include new electrical service, roof, and carpet.
-
2024-07-17status Pending
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
3 bed/1 bath house. Large, covered porch s great for enjoying those hot summer nights. Large 4 car detached garage can accommodate approx. 4 mid-sized cars. Storage shed included. Recent updates include new electrical service, roof, and carpet.
-
2024-07-17historical Contingent 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
3 bed/1 bath house. Large, covered porch s great for enjoying those hot summer nights. Large 4 car detached garage can accommodate approx. 4 mid-sized cars. Storage shed included. Recent updates include new electrical service, roof, and carpet.
-
2024-05-28$59,900 Active
Show marketing remark (249 chars)
This 3 bed/1 bath house. Large, covered porch s great for enjoying those hot summer nights. Large 4 car detached garage can accommodate approx. 4 mid-sized cars. Storage shed included. Recent updates include new electrical service, roof, and carpet.
-
2024-05-27$59,900 Active 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
3 bed/1 bath house. Large, covered porch s great for enjoying those hot summer nights. Large 4 car detached garage can accommodate approx. 4 mid-sized cars. Storage shed included. Recent updates include new electrical service, roof, and carpet.
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2022-05-12$59,900 Active
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2001-10-31soldstatus $45,000
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2001-10-31soldstatus $45,000
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2001-02-07$48,500
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1996-07-01soldstatus $32,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $581 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $827 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- +$247/yr (+$21/mo · 42.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,033
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,809
- − Property taxes
- −$581
- − Insurance
- −$1,006
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$963
- − Management
- −$963
- − Depreciation
- −$1,978
- Taxable income
- $2,733
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$656
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,984/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richland SD
- NCES district ID
- 4220250
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,705
- Composite
- 54.72/100
- National rank
- #1322
- State rank
- #54 of 539 in PA
Livability — Belmont
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #725
- US rank
- #7198
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belmont, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,283
Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,754 people
- By 2030
- 115,827 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 101,309 · -17.5%
- By 2050
- 88,379 · -28.0%
- By 2075
- 65,237 · -46.9%
- By 2100
- 46,909 · -61.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cambria
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.96%
- Current HPI
- 151.6715
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+109.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Listed $68,000 CSMLS
- 2024-08-23 Sold (MLS) $59,600 CSMLS
- 2024-08-23 Sold (MLS) $59,600 West Penn MLS
- 2024-08-19 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2024-07-17 Pending — CSMLS
- 2024-07-17 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2024-05-28 Listed $59,900 CSMLS
- 2024-05-27 Listed $59,900 West Penn MLS
- 2022-05-12 Listed $59,900 CSMLS
- 2001-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2001-10-31 Sold (MLS) $45,000 CSMLS
- 2001-02-07 Listed $48,500 CSMLS
- 1996-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2026): $581 · +14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…