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250 Bushwack Rd
B+ Composite 78.77
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$68,000

250 Bushwack Rd · Belmont, PA 15904
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,060 sqft · SingleFamily · 57 Days on market
7,405 sqft lot $64/sqft · 35% below area Est $104k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bed/1 bath house. Large, covered porch s great for enjoying those hot summer nights. Large 4 car detached garage can accommodate approx. 4 mid-sized cars. Storage shed included. Recent updates include new electrical service, roof, and carpet.

Key facts

  • 2 story garage
  • Unfinished basement
  • Nice front porch

Tags

LOW TAXES2 STORY GARAGEUNFINISHED BASEMENTNICE FRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Off-street parking; Gravel parking area
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories
  • Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Full basement (unfinished)
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Partial fencing; Rectangular lot; Publicly maintained road frontage on a city street; Workshop on property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Linoleum flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (propane); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; High-speed internet available; Window coverings; Full unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#725 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Richland SD (suburban): math 57% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #54 of 539 in PA (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $65,960 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
12.63%
Cash-on-cash
22.62%
DSCR
2.01
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$104,168
List price
$68,000
Delta
-34.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
114 Kathy Dr 0.07mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,104 (+4%) 4mo $83,000 $75 81
116 Sann St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,216 (+15%) 1mo $136,000 $112 44
447 Highland Park Rd 0.75mi 3/1.0 937 (-12%) 23mo $110,000 $117 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$8,325
Equity at exit
$10,139
10-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
2.69×
Total profit
$32,232
Equity at exit
$5,879

Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15904

Active inventory
50
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,003 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$357
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $581/yr
Insurance
$28
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$211
Net cashflow
$303

Break-even live

Break-even rent $619
Max offer price $68,000
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,000
Closing costs
$2,040
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1201 Heeney Ave Johnstown, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0 750 $1,050 $1.40 4d 1 1.02mi
553 Vickroy Ave #555 Johnstown, PA 3.0 1.0 1300 $985 $0.76 43d 1 1.15mi
550 Ferndale Ave Johnstown, PA 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,100 $0.85 43d 1 1.16mi
522 Vickroy Ave Johnstown, PA 3.0 1.0 1125 $850 $0.76 43d 1 1.20mi
619 Grove Ave Johnstown, PA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,050 $0.95 43d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $68,000 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $68,000 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 622-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $68,000 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $68,000 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $68,000 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $68,000 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $68,000 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $68,000 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $68,000 Active 46 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $68,000 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $68,000 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $68,000 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $68,000 Active 40 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $68,000 Active 39 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $68,000 Active 38 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $68,000 Active 37 DOM
  18. 2026-04-23
    listed $68,000 Active 388-char remark
  19. 2024-08-23
    soldstatus $59,600 Closed 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    This 3 bed/1 bath house. Large, covered porch s great for enjoying those hot summer nights. Large 4 car detached garage can accommodate approx. 4 mid-sized cars. Storage shed included. Recent updates include new electrical service, roof, and carpet.

  20. 2024-08-23
    soldstatus $59,600 Closed
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    This 3 bed/1 bath house. Large, covered porch s great for enjoying those hot summer nights. Large 4 car detached garage can accommodate approx. 4 mid-sized cars. Storage shed included. Recent updates include new electrical service, roof, and carpet.

  21. 2024-08-19
    status Pending 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    3 bed/1 bath house. Large, covered porch s great for enjoying those hot summer nights. Large 4 car detached garage can accommodate approx. 4 mid-sized cars. Storage shed included. Recent updates include new electrical service, roof, and carpet.

  22. 2024-07-17
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    3 bed/1 bath house. Large, covered porch s great for enjoying those hot summer nights. Large 4 car detached garage can accommodate approx. 4 mid-sized cars. Storage shed included. Recent updates include new electrical service, roof, and carpet.

  23. 2024-07-17
    historical Contingent 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    3 bed/1 bath house. Large, covered porch s great for enjoying those hot summer nights. Large 4 car detached garage can accommodate approx. 4 mid-sized cars. Storage shed included. Recent updates include new electrical service, roof, and carpet.

  24. 2024-05-28
    listed $59,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    This 3 bed/1 bath house. Large, covered porch s great for enjoying those hot summer nights. Large 4 car detached garage can accommodate approx. 4 mid-sized cars. Storage shed included. Recent updates include new electrical service, roof, and carpet.

  25. 2024-05-27
    listed $59,900 Active 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    3 bed/1 bath house. Large, covered porch s great for enjoying those hot summer nights. Large 4 car detached garage can accommodate approx. 4 mid-sized cars. Storage shed included. Recent updates include new electrical service, roof, and carpet.

  26. 2022-05-12
    listed $59,900 Active
  27. 2001-10-31
    soldstatus $45,000
  28. 2001-10-31
    soldstatus $45,000
  29. 2001-02-07
    listed $48,500
  30. 1996-07-01
    soldstatus $32,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$581 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$827 · $69/mo
Expected delta
+$247/yr (+$21/mo · 42.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,033
− Mortgage interest
−$3,809
− Property taxes
−$581
− Insurance
−$1,006
− Repairs & maintenance
−$963
− Management
−$963
− Depreciation
−$1,978
Taxable income
$2,733
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$656
After-tax cash flow
$2,984/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richland SD
NCES district ID
4220250
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$49,705
Composite
54.72/100
National rank
#1322
State rank
#54 of 539 in PA

Livability — Belmont

Score
71/100
State rank
#725
US rank
#7198

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Belmont, PA
Population (ZIP)
16,283

Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,754 people
By 2030
115,827 · -5.6%
By 2040
101,309 · -17.5%
By 2050
88,379 · -28.0%
By 2075
65,237 · -46.9%
By 2100
46,909 · -61.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cambria

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -96.96%
Current HPI
151.6715
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+109.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $68,000 CSMLS
  • 2024-08-23 Sold (MLS) $59,600 CSMLS
  • 2024-08-23 Sold (MLS) $59,600 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-08-19 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2024-07-17 Pending CSMLS
  • 2024-07-17 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2024-05-28 Listed $59,900 CSMLS
  • 2024-05-27 Listed $59,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2022-05-12 Listed $59,900 CSMLS
  • 2001-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2001-10-31 Sold (MLS) $45,000 CSMLS
  • 2001-02-07 Listed $48,500 CSMLS
  • 1996-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $581 · +14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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