902 Del Paso Blvd #61 · Sacramento, CA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 27 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 33 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$78,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * Come CHECK THIS OUT * * AMAZING HOME in a 55+ community, 2007 Fleetwood Manufactured home @ space 61 with what might possibly be the lowest space rent in Sacramento! Well insulated 2 bedroom 1 bath with full size washer and dryer area inside. Central heat, Dual pane windows, high efficiency ac & very well maintained with a nice 2 car carport. Clubhouse is amazing with many activities and a 24/7/365 heated pool! Public Transit (Light Rail)is just a couple minutes walk away. Downtown Sacramento 5 min away. Costco, Arden Mall are a quick 10 minute drive away. Lots of nice restaurants within walking distance. HEY FOLKS. . This IS A HARD TO FIND CATCH!
Key facts
- Practical shed
- Large clubhouse
- Kitchen peninsula
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $78k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $709 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $78k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 3.0% in Sacramento — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#218 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, cost of living F.
- Twin Rivers Unified (suburban): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #970 of 1,400 in CA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.63%
- DSCR
- 2.90
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.52% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $30,165
- Equity at exit
- $11,630
- IRR
- 39.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.43×
- Total profit
- $74,984
- Equity at exit
- $6,744
Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95815
- Home prices YoY
- -32.2%
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,664 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$409
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$98 /mo · $1,170/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $709
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $763 | -5% $736 | +0% $709 | +5% $682 | +10% $655 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $578 | -5% $644 | +0% $709 | +5% $775 | +10% $841 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $749 | -0.5pp $729 | base $709 | +0.5pp $689 | +1.0pp $669 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,500
- Closing costs
- $2,340
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 39 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135 Baxter Ave Unit 135 4 Sacramento, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,150 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1119 Lochbrae Rd Apt 2 Sacramento, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,400 | $1.93 | 23d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 186 Globe Ave Unit 186 Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,895 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1501 Expo Pkwy Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 790 | $2,799 | $3.54 | 2d | 6 | 0.61mi |
| 102 Redwood Ave Unit A Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 8d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2299 Grove Ave Unit 06 Sacramento, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $1,170 | $2.03 | 2d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2299 Grove Ave Sacramento, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $895 | $1.56 | 2d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 570 Media Pl Sacramento, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 929 | $2,811 | $3.02 | 2d | 23 | 0.69mi |
| 2379 Gibson St Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,850 | $1.85 | 11d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 631 Garden Hwy Unit 3202 Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $1,795 | $1.84 | 15d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 355 El Camino Ave Sacramento, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,150 | $1.77 | 20d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 631 Garden Hwy Unit 6103 Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $1,795 | $1.84 | 2d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2321 Cambridge St Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 743 | $1,450 | $1.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2394 Oakmont St Unit 2394 Sacramento, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 2d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 729 Dixieanne Ave Sacramento, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $1,295 | $2.25 | 2d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 683 El Camino Ave Unit 8 Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,395 | $2.07 | 2d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 789 Dixieanne Ave Unit D Sacramento, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,000 | $1.43 | 2d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2319 Empress St Unit 3 Sacramento, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,550 | $2.07 | 2d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 695 Plaza Ave Sacramento, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $1,700 | $2.72 | 2d | 13 | 1.16mi |
| 2408 Empress St Apt 9 Sacramento, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 543 | $1,195 | $2.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2408 Empress St Unit 10 Sacramento, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 543 | $1,250 | $2.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 219 24th St Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $2,275 | $2.51 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2801 Grove Ave Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 669 | $1,500 | $2.24 | 2d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2720 Forrest St Unit 2 Sacramento, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,425 | $2.71 | 2d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2030 C St #1 Sacramento, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $2,100 | $3.65 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2577 Beaumont St Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 930 | $1,900 | $2.04 | 2d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 775 N 6th St Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1037 | $2,862 | $2.76 | 2d | 34 | 1.35mi |
| 2605 D St Sacramento, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $1,450 | $2.59 | 5d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2605 D St Unit 1 Sacramento, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $1,450 | $2.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2625 D St Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $2,195 | $2.06 | 19d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 300 Curran Ave Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,695 | $2.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3124 B St Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,100 | $2.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 590 Las Palmas Ave Unit 7 Sacramento, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,075 | $1.65 | 2d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 600 Las Palmas Ave Unit 7 Sacramento, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,345 | $2.45 | 15d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2827 D St Sacramento, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,650 | $2.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 315 14th St Unit 313 Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,900 | $2.11 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2812 D St Sacramento, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,495 | $2.14 | 3d | 3 | 1.45mi |
| 331 Alhambra Blvd Unit 8 Sacramento, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,650 | $2.54 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2419 F St Unit 2421 04 Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,795 | $1.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $78,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $78,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $78,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $78,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $78,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $78,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $78,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $78,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $78,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $78,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $78,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $78,000 Active 43 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥102°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 27 unhealthy d/yr today · 33 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,973
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,369
- − Property taxes
- −$1,170
- − Insurance
- −$1,188
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,598
- − Management
- −$1,598
- − Depreciation
- −$2,269
- Taxable income
- $7,781
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,868
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,645/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2007 Fleetwood manufactured home in a 55+ community is well-maintained with a good condition score. It offers a great value with low space rent and easy access to amenities.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood — Improves aesthetics and increases value
- Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and attracts more buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood — Improves aesthetics and increases value ↑
- Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and attracts more buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Twin Rivers Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0601332
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,481
- Composite
- 30.67/100
- National rank
- #11437
- State rank
- #970 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Sacramento
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #6957
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sacramento, CA
- County
- Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
- City population
- 761,410
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,658
- Household income
- $60,097
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1877.0
Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,660,763 people
- By 2030
- 1,732,990 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,855,755 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,941,335 · +16.9%
- By 2075
- 2,046,162 · +23.2%
- By 2100
- 1,961,444 · +18.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 42% White 28% Two or more races 14% Black 12% Asian 11% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Asian/Pacific 6% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -213.04%
- Current HPI
- 449.1398
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.52%
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…