16418 Woodside Gln · Lakewood Ranch, FL 34219

$325,000

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,036 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market

Built 2020 8,734 sqft lot Est $468k · 31% under $125/mo HOA · 4% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.1/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +6.4/10.0
• 1% rule +5.3/10.0
• Schools +4.4/10.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.3/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Builder offering $10,000 toward closing costs with use of preferred lender & title. This one-story, all concrete block constructed home has an open concept floor plan, featuring a spacious kitchen overlooking large living and dining areas that flow out to a covered lanai, a perfect place to relax or dine al fresco. At the front of the home, you will find two bedrooms that share a full bath, a laundry room off the garage, a fourth bedroom that is an optional den, and a powder bath. This home comes with installed stainless steel dishwasher, range, and microwave. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CBC039052.

Key facts

• Modern floor plan
• 8,734 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots

Tags

• MODERN FLOOR PLAN
• STRONG VALUE POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Association contact: Access Management; Total living area 2,036 sq ft (public records)
• Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
• HOA & community: Monthly HOA $125 (includes management); Community mailbox; Deed restrictions; Dog park; Playground; No Truck/RV/Motorcycle parking; Pets allowed

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 2-car garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Underground utilities; Irrigation system
• Home design: Single family residence; One story; Southeast facing; Residential property in a planned development (PD-R)
• Construction: Stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on 0.2-acre lot
• Exterior features: Hurricane shutters; Sidewalk; Sliding doors; Sprinkler (metered)

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Electric water heater
• Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
• Flooring: Other
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Open floorplan; Solid surface counters; Tray ceilings; Walk-in closets
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $325k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $405 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $325k).
• Recommended offer: $315k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.3% in Lakewood Ranch — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Annie Lucy Williams Elementary School (math 80% / reading 73%, grade A, #185 of 2,144 statewide, top 9%, 798 students, 31% FRL); Parrish Community High School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade D+, #160 of 667 statewide, top 25%, 2,017 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 32% FRL vs 51% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 64% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Manatee average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 2170 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($114k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $315,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.03% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.79%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.35%
• DSCR: 1.24
• GRM: 8.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $468,280
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2811 Greenleaf Ter	0.14mi	4/2.0	1,846 (-9%)	13mo	$425,000	$230	65
2611 Greenleaf Ter	0.26mi	4/2.0	1,846 (-9%)	8mo	$350,000	$190	63
15914 29th St E	0.68mi	3/3.0 (-1)	2,288 (+12%)	16mo	$620,000	$271	27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -11.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.60×
• Total profit: $-36,636
• Equity at exit: $48,459

10-year hold

• IRR: -7.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.60×
• Total profit: $-36,485
• Equity at exit: $28,100

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34219

• Home prices YoY: -23.7%
• Rents YoY: -0.9%
• Active inventory: 2170
• Price-to-rent: 8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,359 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,704
• Tax from tax record: −$283 /mo · $3,400/yr
• Insurance: −$135
• HOA: −$125
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$705
• Net cashflow: $405

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,846

Max offer price $325,000

Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $589	-5% $497	+0% $405	+5% $313	+10% $221
Rent	-10% $140	-5% $273	+0% $405	+5% $538	+10% $671
Rate	-1.0pp $569	-0.5pp $488	base $405	+0.5pp $321	+1.0pp $236

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $81,250
• Closing costs: $9,750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
16457 Woodside Gln Parrish, FL	4.0	3.0	2748	$3,800	$1.38	24d	1	0.15mi
2726 Greenleaf Ter Parrish, FL	3.0	2.0	1651	$2,200	$1.33	24d	1	0.24mi
16823 Destrehen Ct Parrish, FL	3.0	2.0	1744	$2,490	$1.43	4d	1	1.10mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $125 · $1,500/yr

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-05-01
   status Pending
2. 2026-05-01
   price $325,000
3. 2026-03-31
   price $350,000
4. 2026-03-14
   listed $375,000 Active
5. 2020-08-21
   soldstatus $294,290 Sold 890-char remark

   Show marketing remark (890 chars)

   Builder offering $10,000 toward closing costs with use of preferred lender & title. This one-story, all concrete block constructed home has an open concept floor plan, featuring a spacious kitchen overlooking large living and dining areas that flow out to a covered lanai, a perfect place to relax or dine al fresco. At the front of the home, you will find two bedrooms that share a full bath, a laundry room off the garage, a fourth bedroom that is an optional den, and a powder bath. This home comes with installed stainless steel dishwasher, range, and microwave. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CBC039052.

6. 2020-06-08
   status Pending 890-char remark

   Show marketing remark (890 chars)

   Builder offering $10,000 toward closing costs with use of preferred lender & title. This one-story, all concrete block constructed home has an open concept floor plan, featuring a spacious kitchen overlooking large living and dining areas that flow out to a covered lanai, a perfect place to relax or dine al fresco. At the front of the home, you will find two bedrooms that share a full bath, a laundry room off the garage, a fourth bedroom that is an optional den, and a powder bath. This home comes with installed stainless steel dishwasher, range, and microwave. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CBC039052.

7. 2020-06-05
   price $284,990 890-char remark

   Show marketing remark (890 chars)

   Builder offering $10,000 toward closing costs with use of preferred lender & title. This one-story, all concrete block constructed home has an open concept floor plan, featuring a spacious kitchen overlooking large living and dining areas that flow out to a covered lanai, a perfect place to relax or dine al fresco. At the front of the home, you will find two bedrooms that share a full bath, a laundry room off the garage, a fourth bedroom that is an optional den, and a powder bath. This home comes with installed stainless steel dishwasher, range, and microwave. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CBC039052.

8. 2020-05-29
   price $287,990 890-char remark

   Show marketing remark (890 chars)

   Builder offering $10,000 toward closing costs with use of preferred lender & title. This one-story, all concrete block constructed home has an open concept floor plan, featuring a spacious kitchen overlooking large living and dining areas that flow out to a covered lanai, a perfect place to relax or dine al fresco. At the front of the home, you will find two bedrooms that share a full bath, a laundry room off the garage, a fourth bedroom that is an optional den, and a powder bath. This home comes with installed stainless steel dishwasher, range, and microwave. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CBC039052.

9. 2020-05-22
   price $289,990 890-char remark

   Show marketing remark (890 chars)

   Builder offering $10,000 toward closing costs with use of preferred lender & title. This one-story, all concrete block constructed home has an open concept floor plan, featuring a spacious kitchen overlooking large living and dining areas that flow out to a covered lanai, a perfect place to relax or dine al fresco. At the front of the home, you will find two bedrooms that share a full bath, a laundry room off the garage, a fourth bedroom that is an optional den, and a powder bath. This home comes with installed stainless steel dishwasher, range, and microwave. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CBC039052.

10. 2020-05-15
    price $292,990 890-char remark

    Show marketing remark (890 chars)

    Builder offering $10,000 toward closing costs with use of preferred lender & title. This one-story, all concrete block constructed home has an open concept floor plan, featuring a spacious kitchen overlooking large living and dining areas that flow out to a covered lanai, a perfect place to relax or dine al fresco. At the front of the home, you will find two bedrooms that share a full bath, a laundry room off the garage, a fourth bedroom that is an optional den, and a powder bath. This home comes with installed stainless steel dishwasher, range, and microwave. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CBC039052.

11. 2020-05-01
    price $294,990 890-char remark

    Show marketing remark (890 chars)

    Builder offering $10,000 toward closing costs with use of preferred lender & title. This one-story, all concrete block constructed home has an open concept floor plan, featuring a spacious kitchen overlooking large living and dining areas that flow out to a covered lanai, a perfect place to relax or dine al fresco. At the front of the home, you will find two bedrooms that share a full bath, a laundry room off the garage, a fourth bedroom that is an optional den, and a powder bath. This home comes with installed stainless steel dishwasher, range, and microwave. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CBC039052.

12. 2020-04-02
    price $289,990 890-char remark

    Show marketing remark (890 chars)

    Builder offering $10,000 toward closing costs with use of preferred lender & title. This one-story, all concrete block constructed home has an open concept floor plan, featuring a spacious kitchen overlooking large living and dining areas that flow out to a covered lanai, a perfect place to relax or dine al fresco. At the front of the home, you will find two bedrooms that share a full bath, a laundry room off the garage, a fourth bedroom that is an optional den, and a powder bath. This home comes with installed stainless steel dishwasher, range, and microwave. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CBC039052.

13. 2020-03-26
    price $292,990 890-char remark

    Show marketing remark (890 chars)

    Builder offering $10,000 toward closing costs with use of preferred lender & title. This one-story, all concrete block constructed home has an open concept floor plan, featuring a spacious kitchen overlooking large living and dining areas that flow out to a covered lanai, a perfect place to relax or dine al fresco. At the front of the home, you will find two bedrooms that share a full bath, a laundry room off the garage, a fourth bedroom that is an optional den, and a powder bath. This home comes with installed stainless steel dishwasher, range, and microwave. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CBC039052.

14. 2020-02-14
    price $299,990 890-char remark

    Show marketing remark (890 chars)

    Builder offering $10,000 toward closing costs with use of preferred lender & title. This one-story, all concrete block constructed home has an open concept floor plan, featuring a spacious kitchen overlooking large living and dining areas that flow out to a covered lanai, a perfect place to relax or dine al fresco. At the front of the home, you will find two bedrooms that share a full bath, a laundry room off the garage, a fourth bedroom that is an optional den, and a powder bath. This home comes with installed stainless steel dishwasher, range, and microwave. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CBC039052.

15. 2020-01-06
    listed $305,555 Active 890-char remark

    Show marketing remark (890 chars)

    Builder offering $10,000 toward closing costs with use of preferred lender & title. This one-story, all concrete block constructed home has an open concept floor plan, featuring a spacious kitchen overlooking large living and dining areas that flow out to a covered lanai, a perfect place to relax or dine al fresco. At the front of the home, you will find two bedrooms that share a full bath, a laundry room off the garage, a fourth bedroom that is an optional den, and a powder bath. This home comes with installed stainless steel dishwasher, range, and microwave. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CBC039052.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $3,400 · $283/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,400 · $283/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $40,306
• − Mortgage interest: −$18,205
• − Property taxes: −$3,400
• − Insurance: −$1,625
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,225
• − Management: −$3,225
• − HOA: −$1,500
• − Depreciation: −$9,455
• Taxable loss: −$327
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$79
• After-tax cash flow: $4,943/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Manatee
• NCES district ID: 1201230
• Math proficiency: 54% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $49,607
• Composite: 44.43/100
• National rank: #2806
• State rank: #26 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lakewood Ranch

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Manatee County · 416,364 people
• City population: 52,177
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• Population (ZIP): 33,296
• Household income: $113,773
• Rent vs Own: 8.1% rent · 91.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 219.0

Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 447,342 people
• By 2030: 488,911 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 567,934 · +27.0%
• By 2050: 637,995 · +42.6%
• By 2075: 781,970 · +74.8%
• By 2100: 848,272 · +89.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (75%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 75% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Hispanic 2% Russian 2%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -84.45%
• Current HPI: 271.7131
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.95%
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+6.4% since first listed

15 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-01 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-01 Price Changed $325,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-31 Price Changed $350,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-14 Listed $375,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-08-21 Sold (MLS) $294,290 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-06-08 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-06-05 Price Changed $284,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-05-29 Price Changed $287,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-05-22 Price Changed $289,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-05-15 Price Changed $292,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-05-01 Price Changed $294,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-04-02 Price Changed $289,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-03-26 Price Changed $292,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-02-14 Price Changed $299,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-01-06 Listed $305,555 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+34.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,400 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.