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24019 Tayloe House Ln
D Composite 40.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.1/15.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

24019 Tayloe House Ln · Houston, TX 77493
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,151 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 85 Days on market
Built 1980 6,298 sqft lot $195/sqft · 27% above area Est $223k · at est. $40/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

TENANT OCCUPIED. All brick one story home with 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths and 2 car garage in Williamsburg Hamlet. NEW Kitchen and carpet in home. Large den area with high ceilings and wood burning fireplace! Located in the highly sought after Katy ISD and within walking distance to King Elementary and neighborhood pool. Updated and clean. Just a hop, skip and a jump to Grand Parkway and I-10, close to Westpark Toll, all convenient routes to the Energy Corridor as well. Minutes from LaCenterra and Katy Mills Mall, lots of dining and shopping along I-10 as well. Great investment, first time home or even for someone who wants to downsize.

Key facts

  • Large den area
  • New kitchen
  • Updated and clean

Tags

BRICK HOMENEW KITCHENLARGE DEN AREAWOOD BURNING FIREPLACENEIGHBORHOOD POOLUPDATED AND CLEAN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-76 ($-909/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (5.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (10.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (10.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Katy ISD (suburban): math 61% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #29 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 2696 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $225k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $202,032 (10.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
5.89%
Cash-on-cash
-1.44%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$222,952
List price
$225,000
Delta
0.92%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
24034 Griffin House Ln 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,285 (+12%) 1mo $250,000 $195 78
24026 Griffin House Ln 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,237 (+8%) 12mo $236,000 $191 76
24130 Griffin House Ln 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,285 (+12%) 0mo $229,999 $179 73
1838 Powderhorn Ln 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,141 (-1%) 3mo $159,000 $139 72
23930 Griffin House Ln 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,240 (+8%) 9mo $171,990 $139 71
24110 Silversmith Ln 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,285 (+12%) 7mo $210,000 $163 68
23919 Griffin House Lane Ln 0.14mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,210 (+5%) 11mo $159,000 $131 67
23918 Silversmith Ln 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,242 (+8%) 12mo $235,000 $189 66
23819 Silversmith Ln 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,242 (+8%) 11mo $170,000 $137 64
23835 Griffin House Ln 0.20mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,210 (+5%) 13mo $209,500 $173 62
23843 Tayloe House Ln 0.18mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,240 (+8%) 10mo $209,000 $169 61
2107 Charlton House Ln 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,302 (+13%) 9mo $235,000 $180 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.3%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-47,103
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
-27.5%
Equity multiple
-0.11×
Total profit
$-69,694
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77493

Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
2696
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,020 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$358 /mo · $4,298/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$40
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$424
Net cashflow
$-76

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,116
Max offer price $211,619
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
23812 Colonial Pkwy Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1069 $1,605 $1.50 43d 1 0.36mi
24002 Colonial Pkwy Katy, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1072 $2,262 $2.11 1d 32 0.46mi
1724 Partnership Way Katy, TX 3.0 1.0–3.5 1536 $3,340 $2.17 1d 86 0.52mi
2031 Wigmaker Dr Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1430 $1,800 $1.26 5d 1 0.55mi
1616 Partnership Way Katy, TX 3.0 1.0–3.0 1283 $2,995 $2.33 5d 47 0.60mi
24300 Franz Rd Unit 2187 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1174 $1,683 $1.43 2d 1 0.63mi
24300 Franz Rd Unit 2174 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,534 $1.45 16d 1 0.63mi
24300 Franz Rd Unit 24323 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1174 $1,715 $1.46 10d 1 0.63mi
24300 Franz Rd Unit 24357 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,567 $1.48 12d 1 0.63mi
24300 Franz Rd Unit 24337 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,567 $1.48 43d 1 0.63mi
24300 Franz Rd Unit 424 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1174 $1,691 $1.44 5d 1 0.63mi
1330 Park West Green Dr Unit 1367 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1209 $1,847 $1.53 15d 1 0.65mi
1330 Park West Green Dr Unit 1363 Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1451 $2,212 $1.52 15d 1 0.65mi
1502 Partnership Way Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1092 $1,800 $1.65 43d 1 0.69mi
1330 W Park Green Dr Katy, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1058 $2,222 $2.10 43d 16 0.69mi
1330 W Park Green Dr Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1122 $1,802 $1.61 24d 1 0.69mi
1330 W Park Green Dr Katy, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1058 $2,297 $2.17 2d 17 0.69mi
1502 Partnership Way Unit 2187 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1207 $1,731 $1.43 2d 1 0.72mi
1502 Partnership Way Unit 2174 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1207 $1,774 $1.47 11d 1 0.72mi
1502 Partnership Way Unit 424 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1207 $1,739 $1.44 5d 1 0.72mi
1502 Partnership Way Unit 1539 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1092 $1,714 $1.57 43d 1 0.72mi
2020 Grandway Dr Katy, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 954 $2,013 $2.11 1d 46 0.75mi
1207 Grand West Blvd Katy, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 841 $3,800 $4.52 43d 2 0.89mi
23010 Franz Rd Unit 23067 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1072 $1,480 $1.38 43d 1 0.95mi
23010 Franz Rd Unit 23033 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1116 $1,702 $1.53 10d 1 0.95mi
23010 Franz Rd Unit 23047 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1072 $1,455 $1.36 15d 1 0.95mi
23010 Franz Rd Unit 2112 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1116 $1,670 $1.50 2d 1 0.95mi
23010 Franz Rd Unit 2162 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1116 $1,678 $1.50 4d 1 0.95mi
150 Cobia Dr Unit 187 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1114 $1,451 $1.30 10d 1 1.00mi
150 Cobia Dr Unit 2187 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1114 $1,419 $1.27 2d 1 1.00mi
150 Cobia Dr Unit 207 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1114 $1,452 $1.30 43d 1 1.00mi
150 Cobia Dr Unit 424 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 1114 $1,427 $1.28 5d 1 1.00mi
150 Cobia Dr Unit 183 Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1454 $2,005 $1.38 43d 1 1.00mi
150 Cobia Dr Unit 3187 Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1454 $1,962 $1.35 2d 1 1.00mi
150 Cobia Dr Unit 3174 Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1454 $1,994 $1.37 10d 1 1.00mi
24117 Bella Dolce Ln Katy, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 896 $2,010 $2.24 1d 25 1.02mi
22777 Franz Rd Unit 22814 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 990 $1,411 $1.43 10d 1 1.03mi
22777 Franz Rd Unit 22814 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 990 $1,515 $1.53 43d 1 1.03mi
22777 Franz Rd Unit 2112 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 990 $1,379 $1.39 2d 1 1.03mi
22777 Franz Rd Unit 424 Katy, TX 2.0 2.0 990 $1,387 $1.40 5d 1 1.03mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$40 · $480/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    days on market $225,000 Active 85 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $225,000 Active 81 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $225,000 Active 80 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $225,000 Active 79 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $225,000 Active 76 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $225,000 Active 75 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $225,000 Active 74 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $225,000 Active 73 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active 72 DOM
  10. 2026-03-20
    listed $225,000 Active 642-char remark
    Show marketing remark (642 chars)

    TENANT OCCUPIED. All brick one story home with 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths and 2 car garage in Williamsburg Hamlet. NEW Kitchen and carpet in home. Large den area with high ceilings and wood burning fireplace! Located in the highly sought after Katy ISD and within walking distance to King Elementary and neighborhood pool. Updated and clean. Just a hop, skip and a jump to Grand Parkway and I-10, close to Westpark Toll, all convenient routes to the Energy Corridor as well. Minutes from LaCenterra and Katy Mills Mall, lots of dining and shopping along I-10 as well. Great investment, first time home or even for someone who wants to downsize.

  11. 2026-02-18
    historical
  12. 2025-12-27
    price $199,999
  13. 2025-10-07
    price $234,900
  14. 2025-08-26
    listed $224,900 Active
  15. 2018-11-09
    soldstatus
  16. 2018-11-08
    soldstatus Sold
  17. 2018-10-09
    status Pending
  18. 2018-10-03
    status Option Pending
  19. 2018-10-03
    status Active
  20. 2018-10-02
    status Option Pending
  21. 2018-10-01
    historical
  22. 2018-09-27
    listed $145,000 Active
  23. 2009-04-14
    soldstatus
  24. 1995-09-28
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,298 · $358/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,298 · $358/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,244
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$4,298
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,940
− Management
−$1,940
− HOA
−$480
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$4,687
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,125
After-tax cash flow
$216/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Katy ISD
NCES district ID
4825170
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$90,312
Composite
56.59/100
National rank
#1146
State rank
#29 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
71,484
Household income
$118,464
Rent vs Own
20.4% rent · 79.6% own
Severe rent burden
913.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
White 36% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Asian 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -140.65%
Current HPI
233.1683
Rent YoY
▼ -0.80%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+400.0% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $225,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-02-18 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-12-27 Price Changed $199,999 HARMLS
  • 2025-10-07 Price Changed $234,900 HARMLS
  • 2025-08-26 Listed $224,900 HARMLS
  • 2018-11-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-11-08 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2018-10-09 Pending HARMLS
  • 2018-10-03 Pending HARMLS
  • 2018-10-03 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2018-10-02 Pending HARMLS
  • 2018-10-01 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2018-09-27 Listed $145,000 HARMLS
  • 2009-04-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1995-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,298 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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