CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
440 E Market St
B Composite 70.81
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$35,000

440 E Market St · Pottsville, PA 17901
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,128 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1920 2,614 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Being sold in "AS IS" condition and shall survive settlement . Subject to Court approval . All agreement of sale agreements to contain this language. No electric service. Despite its current condition the location is conveniently situated just minutes from the local hospital. With the right improvements this property has the potential to be transformed into a valuable residence or income producing asset .

Key facts

  • Valuable residence
  • 2,614 sq ft lot
  • Community pool

Tags

VALUABLE RESIDENCEINCOME PRODUCING ASSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $713 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
  • Cap rate 32.6% vs local median 6.1% in Pottsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#442 in PA, #4,025 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
  • Pottsville Area SD (town): math 29% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #395 of 539 in PA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lengel Ms (math 22% / reading 43%, grade F, #355 of 512 statewide, top 70%, 699 students, 66% FRL); Pottsville Area Hs (math 52% / reading 74%, grade B-, #69 of 437 statewide, top 16%, 898 students, 57% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 177 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $35,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.90%
Cap rate
32.64%
Cash-on-cash
94.08%
DSCR
5.19
GRM
2.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$137,616
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
526 E Market St 0.08mi 3/1.0 1,067 (-5%) 22mo $130,000 $122 68
652 Mauch Chunk St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,140 (+1%) 12mo $199,900 $175 67
512 W Savory St 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+2%) 8mo $80,000 $69 65
617 Schuylkill Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,144 (+1%) 10mo $180,000 $157 61
1014 Port Carbon St 0.57mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,104 (-2%) 11mo $80,000 $72 56
509 Boone St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,171 (+4%) 16mo $132,000 $113 52
241 Peacock St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,242 (+10%) 2mo $97,000 $78 51
246 Pierce St 0.50mi 4/1.0 (+1) 982 (-13%) 5mo $115,000 $117 46
116 Anderson St 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,274 (+13%) 23mo $217,000 $170 46
820 Water St 0.64mi 3/1.0 976 (-14%) 6mo $147,500 $151 42
707 Pierce St 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,210 (+7%) 22mo $155,000 $128 34
226 W Bacon St 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,232 (+9%) 22mo $60,000 $49 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.7% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
91.3%
Equity multiple
5.45×
Total profit
$43,637
Equity at exit
$5,219
10-year hold
IRR
94.9%
Equity multiple
12.57×
Total profit
$113,385
Equity at exit
$3,026

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17901

Home prices YoY
-21.2%
Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
177
Price-to-rent
2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,366 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax from tax record
$113 /mo · $1,355/yr
Insurance
$15
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$287
Net cashflow
$713

Break-even live

Break-even rent $464
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $733 -5% $723 +0% $713 +5% $703 +10% $693
Rent -10% $605 -5% $659 +0% $713 +5% $767 +10% $821
Rate -1.0pp $730 -0.5pp $722 base $713 +0.5pp $704 +1.0pp $695

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
525 E Market St Pottsville, PA 4.0 1.0 1120 $1,250 $1.12 44d 1 0.06mi
517 E Arch St Pottsville, PA 4.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 44d 1 0.07mi
426 Adams St Pottsville, PA 3.0 1.0 1104 $1,350 $1.22 44d 1 0.09mi
536 E Arch St Pottsville, PA 2.0 1.0 1360 $975 $0.72 44d 1 0.13mi
8 N Wolfe St Pottsville, PA 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,795 $1.42 44d 1 0.18mi
321 N 3rd St Pottsville, PA 4.0 1.5 1260 $1,400 $1.11 44d 1 0.42mi
210 Harrison St Pottsville, PA 3.0 1.0 1078 $1,200 $1.11 44d 1 0.43mi
631 W Race St Pottsville, PA 3.0 1.0 1340 $1,200 $0.90 44d 1 0.62mi
909 Mahantongo St Unit 1 Pottsville, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 44d 1 0.73mi
119 S 11th St Pottsville, PA 3.0 1.5 1140 $1,450 $1.27 44d 1 0.81mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-16
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-15
    historical
  3. 2026-04-13
    listed $35,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,355 · $113/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,355 · $113/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,395
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$1,355
− Insurance
−$842
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,312
− Management
−$1,312
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$8,597
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,063
After-tax cash flow
$6,490/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pottsville Area SD
NCES district ID
4219710
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$39,157
Composite
31.32/100
National rank
#6002
State rank
#395 of 539 in PA

Livability — Pottsville

Score
75/100
State rank
#442
US rank
#4025

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pottsville, PA
County
Schuylkill County · 22,371 people
City population
22,371
Metro
Pottsville, PA
Population (ZIP)
22,371
Household income
$62,484
Rent vs Own
29.9% rent · 70.1% own
Severe rent burden
622.0

Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
137,447 people
By 2030
133,121 · -3.1%
By 2040
124,172 · -9.7%
By 2050
115,611 · -15.9%
By 2075
100,796 · -26.7%
By 2100
86,667 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Iranian 5% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.14%
Current HPI
200.6516
Rent YoY
▲ 5.70%
Metro
Pottsville, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-15 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $35,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,355 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…