440 E Market St · Pottsville, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Being sold in "AS IS" condition and shall survive settlement . Subject to Court approval . All agreement of sale agreements to contain this language. No electric service. Despite its current condition the location is conveniently situated just minutes from the local hospital. With the right improvements this property has the potential to be transformed into a valuable residence or income producing asset .
Key facts
- Valuable residence
- 2,614 sq ft lot
- Community pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $713 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Cap rate 32.6% vs local median 6.1% in Pottsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#442 in PA, #4,025 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
- Pottsville Area SD (town): math 29% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #395 of 539 in PA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lengel Ms (math 22% / reading 43%, grade F, #355 of 512 statewide, top 70%, 699 students, 66% FRL); Pottsville Area Hs (math 52% / reading 74%, grade B-, #69 of 437 statewide, top 16%, 898 students, 57% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 177 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 94.08%
- DSCR
- 5.19
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $137,616
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 526 E Market St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,067 (-5%) | 22mo | $130,000 | $122 | 68 |
| 652 Mauch Chunk St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (+1%) | 12mo | $199,900 | $175 | 67 |
| 512 W Savory St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+2%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $69 | 65 |
| 617 Schuylkill Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (+1%) | 10mo | $180,000 | $157 | 61 |
| 1014 Port Carbon St | 0.57mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,104 (-2%) | 11mo | $80,000 | $72 | 56 |
| 509 Boone St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,171 (+4%) | 16mo | $132,000 | $113 | 52 |
| 241 Peacock St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,242 (+10%) | 2mo | $97,000 | $78 | 51 |
| 246 Pierce St | 0.50mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 982 (-13%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $117 | 46 |
| 116 Anderson St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,274 (+13%) | 23mo | $217,000 | $170 | 46 |
| 820 Water St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 976 (-14%) | 6mo | $147,500 | $151 | 42 |
| 707 Pierce St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,210 (+7%) | 22mo | $155,000 | $128 | 34 |
| 226 W Bacon St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,232 (+9%) | 22mo | $60,000 | $49 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 91.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.45×
- Total profit
- $43,637
- Equity at exit
- $5,219
- IRR
- 94.9%
- Equity multiple
- 12.57×
- Total profit
- $113,385
- Equity at exit
- $3,026
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17901
- Home prices YoY
- -21.2%
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 177
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,366 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,355/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $713
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $733 | -5% $723 | +0% $713 | +5% $703 | +10% $693 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $605 | -5% $659 | +0% $713 | +5% $767 | +10% $821 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $730 | -0.5pp $722 | base $713 | +0.5pp $704 | +1.0pp $695 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 525 E Market St Pottsville, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,250 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 517 E Arch St Pottsville, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 426 Adams St Pottsville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,350 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 536 E Arch St Pottsville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1360 | $975 | $0.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 8 N Wolfe St Pottsville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,795 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 321 N 3rd St Pottsville, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,400 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 210 Harrison St Pottsville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1078 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 631 W Race St Pottsville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1340 | $1,200 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 909 Mahantongo St Unit 1 Pottsville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 119 S 11th St Pottsville, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1140 | $1,450 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-16status Pending
-
2026-04-15historical
-
2026-04-13$35,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,355 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,355 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,395
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$1,355
- − Insurance
- −$842
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,312
- − Management
- −$1,312
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $8,597
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,063
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,490/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pottsville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219710
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,157
- Composite
- 31.32/100
- National rank
- #6002
- State rank
- #395 of 539 in PA
Livability — Pottsville
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #442
- US rank
- #4025
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pottsville, PA
- County
- Schuylkill County · 22,371 people
- City population
- 22,371
- Metro
- Pottsville, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,371
- Household income
- $62,484
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 622.0
Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 137,447 people
- By 2030
- 133,121 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 124,172 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 115,611 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 100,796 · -26.7%
- By 2100
- 86,667 · -36.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Iranian 5% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.14%
- Current HPI
- 200.6516
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.70%
- Metro
- Pottsville, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-15 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $35,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,355 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…