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4079 Missouri St
D Composite 44.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.3/30.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

4079 Missouri St · Hobart, IN 46342
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,035 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 128 Days on market
Built 1958 6,229 sqft lot Est $122k · 23% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

REO - SOLD AS IS. CASH ONLY OFFERS. THIS HOME HAS A TON OF POTENTIAL! LOCATED IN AN ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD AND CLOSE TO MAJOR HIGHWAYS. CALL FOR YOUR PRIVATE SHOWING TODAY.

Key facts

  • Wooded lot
  • Private driveway
  • Large back yard

Tags

LARGE BACK YARDWOODED LOTPRIVATE DRIVEWAY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Occupant: Vacant

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; On-street parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Single-story home; Built in 1958
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Shingle roof; One level
  • Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed; No pool; No view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3; Bonus room
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: No additional interior features listed; Smoke detectors
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $192 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.2% in Hobart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#196 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • School City Of Hobart (suburban): math 30% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #161 of 301 in IN (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $131,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.83%
Cash-on-cash
5.50%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$122,130
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4171 W 39th Ave 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,084 (+5%) 1mo $95,000 $88 80
3790 Swift St 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,036 (+0%) 6mo $85,000 $82 76
4055 Kentucky St 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-3%) 1mo $50,000 $50 68
4125 Alabama St 0.16mi 3/1.0 925 (-11%) 9mo $96,850 $105 67
3979 Howard St 0.22mi 3/1.0 884 (-15%) 2mo $175,000 $198 64
4069 W 39th Ave 0.27mi 3/1.0 925 (-11%) 9mo $195,000 $211 62
2501 E 36th Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,044 (+1%) 11mo $62,000 $59 59
2600 E 36th Ave 0.70mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,060 (+2%) 3mo $172,500 $163 55
1407 E 36th Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 950 (-8%) 3mo $55,100 $58 52
4042 Ohio St 0.47mi 3/1.0 925 (-11%) 11mo $134,000 $145 51
3753 Montgomery St 0.62mi 3/1.0 920 (-11%) 4mo $159,999 $174 50
4241 Tennessee St 0.54mi 3/1.0 884 (-15%) 9mo $104,000 $118 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-7,953
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$26,542
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46342

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
255
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,505 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$148 /mo · $1,773/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$316
Net cashflow
$192

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,261
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3820 Colbourne St Hobart, IN 3.0 2.0 1209 $1,695 $1.40 43d 1 0.40mi
3852 Sandusky St Hobart, IN 4.0 1.0 1209 $1,800 $1.49 16d 1 0.42mi
4009 Kentucky St Gary, IN 4.0 1.0 1307 $1,595 $1.22 43d 1 0.57mi
4416 Vermont Ct Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,350 $1.16 43d 1 0.74mi
816 E 35th Ct Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 810 $1,075 $1.33 1d 1 1.04mi
4905 Kentucky St Unit 4901 Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 950 $1,525 $1.61 24d 1 1.17mi
4974 Tennessee St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,175 $1.07 19d 1 1.22mi
4456 Connecticut St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1044 $1,300 $1.25 2d 1 1.23mi
801 E 32nd Ave Unit 2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 1d 1 1.30mi
5026 Kentucky St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 6d 1 1.30mi
4430 Broadway Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 1d 1 1.34mi
3395 Pennsylvania St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,495 $1.15 1d 1 1.39mi
5001 Carolina St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 875 $1,350 $1.54 2d 1 1.39mi
3753 Englehart St Lake Station, IN 3.0 1.0 1224 $1,450 $1.18 1d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 128 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 127 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 126 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 125 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,900 Active 123 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,900 Active 122 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 119 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 118 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 117 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,900 Active 114 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 113 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 112 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 111 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 110 DOM
  15. 2026-04-01
    price $149,900
  16. 2026-03-02
    price $159,900
  17. 2026-02-20
    price $164,900
  18. 2026-02-10
    listed $169,900 Active
  19. 2026-01-31
    historical $1,375
  20. 2026-01-14
    listed $1,375
  21. 2025-02-01
    historical
  22. 2024-10-28
    price $140,000
  23. 2024-10-07
    listed $144,990 Active
  24. 2009-04-01
    listed $8,900 174-char remark
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    REO - SOLD AS IS. CASH ONLY OFFERS. THIS HOME HAS A TON OF POTENTIAL! LOCATED IN AN ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD AND CLOSE TO MAJOR HIGHWAYS. CALL FOR YOUR PRIVATE SHOWING TODAY.

  25. 1999-02-04
    listed $36,900
  26. 1999-01-26
    historical
  27. 1998-08-13
    listed $55,250
  28. 1998-07-09
    historical
  29. 1998-01-08
    listed $51,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,773 · $148/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,773 · $148/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,055
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$1,773
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,444
− Management
−$1,444
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$113
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$27
After-tax cash flow
$2,336/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
School City Of Hobart
NCES district ID
1804590
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$55,967
Composite
32.93/100
National rank
#5594
State rank
#161 of 301 in IN

Livability — Hobart

Score
69/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#8834

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hobart, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
32,224
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
32,224
Household income
$75,521
Rent vs Own
25.9% rent · 74.1% own
Severe rent burden
1033.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 10% Black 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -167.01%
Current HPI
260.2635
Rent YoY
▲ 5.63%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+191.1% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $149,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $159,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $164,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $169,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-31 Rental Removed $1,375 TENANTTURNER2
  • 2026-01-14 Listed for Rent $1,375 TENANTTURNER2
  • 2025-02-01 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-28 Price Changed $140,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-07 Listed $144,990 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-04-01 Listed $8,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-02-04 Listed $36,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-01-26 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-08-13 Listed $55,250 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-07-09 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-01-08 Listed $51,500 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,773 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…