Duplex
4914-4916 Just St NE · Washington, DC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $631 – $1,173
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Investor opportunity in Deanwood! Imagine the possibilities with this 2-unit duplex featuring two 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom units. Ideal for generating rental income or house hacking by living in one unit and renting the other. Conveniently located less than a mile from Metro and bus lines, this property offers easy access to Capitol Hill and Downtown DC; an attractive feature for future tenants. Property is being sold AS-IS.
Key facts
- Metro accessible
- 2 unit duplex
- Good condition
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two total units; Two units currently leased; Two units currently vacant; Income derived from apartment rentals; Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Brick construction; Fee simple ownership; Estimated year built
- Construction: Brick/mortar foundation
- Exterior features: Semi-detached building; Above-grade structures; No tidal water on the lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two one-bedroom units
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning (electric); Natural gas heating; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Good condition; Estimated finished living area of 1,420
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 1-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $289k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $356 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $178/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $289k).
- Recommended offer: $263k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.5% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#1 in DC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- District Of Columbia Public Schools (urban): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #8 of 32 in DC (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 281 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,737 units permitted in District of Columbia in 2024 (1,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,979/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 5115% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- District of Columbia County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.28%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $458,660
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4329-4331 Hunt Pl NE | 0.50mi | 3/— (-1) | 1,326 (-7%) | 9mo | $345,050 | $260 | 53 |
| 300 49th St NE | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 1,330 (-6%) | 3mo | $430,000 | $323 | 51 |
| 4811 Quarles St NE | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 | 1,548 (+9%) | 4mo | $405,000 | $262 | 51 |
| 4131 Hunt Pl NE | 0.64mi | 4/— | 1,258 (-11%) | 6mo | $430,000 | $342 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-14,647
- Equity at exit
- $43,091
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $57,948
- Equity at exit
- $24,987
Cash invested: $80,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State District of Columbia
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Washington
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
ZIP-level market 20019
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 281
- Price-to-rent
- 16.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,979 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,516
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$361 /mo · $4,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$120
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$626
- Net cashflow
- $356
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $556 | -5% $456 | +0% $356 | +5% $256 | +10% $156 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $121 | -5% $239 | +0% $356 | +5% $474 | +10% $592 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $502 | -0.5pp $430 | base $356 | +0.5pp $281 | +1.0pp $205 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 1 | 1 | $2,978 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,489 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,489 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,979 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,250
- Closing costs
- $8,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4950 Just St NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1437 | $4,000 | $2.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 832 49th St NE Unit 1 Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,350 | $2.14 | 8d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 832 49th St NE Unit 1 Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,425 | $2.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 832 49th St NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,425 | $2.20 | 18d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 814 51st St NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1210 | $2,200 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 4627 Gault Pl NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1195 | $3,800 | $3.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 574 49th Pl NE Unit Upper Washington, DC | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1744 | $6,500 | $3.73 | 21d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 4629 Meade St NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $2,300 | $2.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 5213 Just St NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $2,400 | $2.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 556 49th Pl NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 3.0 | 894 | $3,475 | $3.89 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 4930 Eads Pl NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1054 | $2,400 | $2.28 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1316 Eastern Ave NE Washington, DC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1548 | $3,200 | $2.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 5338 Jay St NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $2,795 | $2.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 4802 Leroy Gorham Dr Capitol Heights, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1482 | $3,500 | $2.36 | 4d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 5501 Jay St NE Washington, DC | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1848 | $3,300 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4523 Dix St NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1292 | $3,000 | $2.32 | 8d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4241 Foote St NE Apt 301 Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $2,925 | $3.22 | 5d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4230 Edson Pl NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $2,800 | $2.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 809 Eastern Ave Fairmount Heights, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1246 | $2,400 | $1.93 | 6d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 520 56th St NE Washington, DC | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $5,500 | $3.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 805 Eastern Ave Fairmount Heights, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $2,400 | $2.56 | 6d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 337 54th St NE Unit A Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1184 | $2,850 | $2.41 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4409 Polk St NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,500 | $2.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4724 Blaine St NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $3,085 | $2.68 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4800 Addison Rd Capitol Heights, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 998 | $2,981 | $2.99 | 0d | 41 | 0.75mi |
| 800 Kenilworth Ave NE Washington, DC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 916 | $2,449 | $2.67 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 225 43rd Rd NE Unit 203 Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $2,200 | $2.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 5347 Ames St NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $3,000 | $2.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5074 Central Ave SE Washington, DC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $5,200 | $3.85 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4686 A St SE Washington, DC | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1181 | $3,500 | $2.96 | 8d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6005 Eads St NE Apt 1 Washington, DC | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1750 | $6,100 | $3.49 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1105 61st Ave Fairmount Heights, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1352 | $2,500 | $1.85 | 19d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 621 Parkside Pl NE Washington, DC | 4.0 | 4.5 | 1818 | $4,000 | $2.20 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 324 61st St NE Apt 5 Washington, DC | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $6,100 | $4.88 | 0d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 324 61st St NE Unit 7 Washington, DC | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $4,300 | $3.44 | 0d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4011 Blaine St NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1632 | $2,500 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 113 56th St SE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1764 | $3,000 | $1.70 | 13d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 818 Balsamtree Pl Capitol Heights, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1102 | $2,275 | $2.06 | 6d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 323 62nd St NE Washington, DC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 908 | $2,435 | $2.68 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 5005 Call Pl SE Unit 10 Washington, DC | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $6,000 | $3.33 | 0d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $289,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $289,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $289,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $289,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $289,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $289,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $289,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $289,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $289,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $289,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $289,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $289,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $289,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $289,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $289,000
-
2026-03-04$300,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,748
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,188
- − Property taxes
- −$4,335
- − Insurance
- −$1,445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,860
- − Management
- −$2,860
- − Depreciation
- −$8,407
- Taxable loss
- −$347
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$83
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,358/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2-unit duplex requires moderate repairs and maintenance, with potential for significant value increase through updates to the kitchen and bathrooms, and landscaping improvements.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Roof inspection — No visible signs of damage, but may need inspection.
- Minor Paint touch-up — Paint appears worn in some areas.
- Minor Window cleaning/replacement — Windows may need cleaning or replacement.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and updating the kitchen and bathrooms — These updates will enhance the home's appearance and appeal to both buyers and renters.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Aesthetic improvements can increase curb appeal and property value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Roof inspection · No visible signs of damage, but may need inspection. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Paint touch-up · Paint appears worn in some areas. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Window cleaning/replacement · Windows may need cleaning or replacement. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting and updating the kitchen and bathrooms — These updates will enhance the home's appearance and appeal to both buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Aesthetic improvements can increase curb appeal and property value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- District Of Columbia Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1100030
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,671
- Composite
- 35.84/100
- National rank
- #9606
- State rank
- #8 of 32 in DC
Livability — Washington
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #5327
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Washington, DC
- County
- District of Columbia · 671,873 people
- City population
- 671,873
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,380
- Household income
- $58,296
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5115.0
Population outlook (District of Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 821,926 people
- By 2030
- 899,517 · +9.4%
- By 2040
- 1,061,162 · +29.1%
- By 2050
- 1,231,493 · +49.8%
- By 2075
- 1,603,312 · +95.1%
- By 2100
- 1,847,141 · +124.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 87% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% White 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Dominican 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · District of Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+86.1) · D 91.2% · R 5.1% · Other 3.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 85.9pp · 2024: 86.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+86.1 2020: D+86.8 2016: D+88.7 2012: D+84.2 2008: D+85.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -416.91%
- Current HPI
- 326.4481
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.06%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in DC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $153B |
|
||
| Life Sciences / Industrials | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
-3.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $289,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-04 Listed $300,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…