9103 Manor St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.2/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$48,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent opportunity to purchase this 2-bedroom 1-bathroom house in Detroit's 48204 Zip code. With a little bit of work, this property will make a great fit for both homeowners and investors alike.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1937
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $48k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $466 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $48k).
- Recommended offer: $45k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.9% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 248 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 72% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($332 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $48k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.62%
- DSCR
- 2.85
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $47,702
- List price
- $48,000
- Delta
- 0.62%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9366 Steel St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+2%) | 10mo | $59,000 | $66 | 69 |
| 9265 Birwood St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 908 (+3%) | 15mo | $57,000 | $63 | 66 |
| 11337 Steel St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 880 (+0%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $40 | 59 |
| 8950 Birwood St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 964 (+10%) | 17mo | $102,000 | $106 | 54 |
| 9359 Steel St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 802 (-9%) | 15mo | $40,000 | $50 | 53 |
| 9614 Schaefer Hwy | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 909 (+4%) | 10mo | $60,000 | $66 | 49 |
| 9149 Cheyenne St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 955 (+9%) | 18mo | $85,000 | $89 | 48 |
| 9020 Ohio St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 849 (-3%) | 18mo | $61,100 | $72 | 46 |
| 9222 Hartwell St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+14%) | 5mo | $70,000 | $70 | 45 |
| 10139 Maplelawn St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (+4%) | 17mo | $15,000 | $16 | 44 |
| 11331 Steel St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 983 (+12%) | 18mo | $42,000 | $43 | 26 |
| 8099 Wyoming St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 995 (+13%) | 16mo | $130,000 | $131 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.16×
- Total profit
- $55,849
- Equity at exit
- $43,242
- IRR
- 50.1%
- Equity multiple
- 11.50×
- Total profit
- $141,148
- Equity at exit
- $93,253
Cash invested: $13,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48204
- Home prices YoY
- 18.5%
- Active inventory
- 248
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,010 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$252
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$60 /mo · $720/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$212
- Net cashflow
- $466
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $499 | -5% $483 | +0% $466 | +5% $450 | +10% $433 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $386 | -5% $426 | +0% $466 | +5% $506 | +10% $546 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $490 | -0.5pp $478 | base $466 | +0.5pp $454 | +1.0pp $441 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,000
- Closing costs
- $1,440
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9415 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $897 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 9419 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $894 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 8283 Pinehurst St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 9558 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 10303 Morley St #1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $950 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 9340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,364 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 10345 Crocuslawn Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 9353 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $999 | $1.25 | 19d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 10002 Manor Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 10002 Manor Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 9022 Northlawn St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 12775 Plymouth Rd Apt 11 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $635 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 12775 Plymouth Rd Unit 16 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1009 | $825 | $0.82 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 12775 Plymouth Rd Apt 23 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $605 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 8544 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 19d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 13717 Keal St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 799 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 11411 Wyoming Ave Unit 102 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $925 | $1.54 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 11411 Wyoming Ave Apt 205 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 12d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 11411 Wyoming Ave Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 13310 Plymouth Rd Unit 05 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $595 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 13310 Plymouth Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $645 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 8353 Alpine St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 9590 Marlowe St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,430 | $1.63 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 14740 W Chicago Unit B Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $845 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 8114 Marlowe St Unit home Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,350 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 8212 Lauder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 7100 Freda St Dearborn, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 45d | 3 | 1.26mi |
| 12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 7405 Garden St Unit 6 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $795 | $1.22 | 19d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 7405 Garden St Unit 8 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $795 | $1.22 | 0d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 9386 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 9546 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 10015 Robson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 19d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 8604 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1033 | $1,300 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 9917 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,375 | $1.72 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $48,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $48,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $48,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $48,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $48,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $48,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $48,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $48,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $48,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $48,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $48,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $48,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $48,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $48,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-04-13$58,000 Active 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
Excellent opportunity to purchase this 2-bedroom 1-bathroom house in Detroit's 48204 Zip code. With a little bit of work, this property will make a great fit for both homeowners and investors alike.
-
2026-04-13$58,000 Active 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
Excellent opportunity to purchase this 2-bedroom 1-bathroom house in Detroit's 48204 Zip code. With a little bit of work, this property will make a great fit for both homeowners and investors alike.
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2024-01-19soldstatus $25,000 Sold
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2024-01-19soldstatus $25,000 Closed
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2024-01-16status Pending
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2024-01-16status Pending
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2024-01-02status Active
-
2024-01-02status Active
-
2024-01-01historical
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2024-01-01historical
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2023-12-13price $50,000
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2023-12-12price $50,000
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2023-11-18status Active
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2023-11-18status Active
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2023-11-05status Pending
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2023-11-05status Pending
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2023-11-03historical Accepting Backup Offers
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2023-11-03historical Accepting Backup Offers
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2023-10-27$55,000 Active
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2023-10-27$55,000 Active
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2023-10-25historical $55,000
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2023-10-25historical $55,000
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1993-10-27soldstatus $14,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,120
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,689
- − Property taxes
- −$720
- − Insurance
- −$240
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$970
- − Management
- −$970
- − Depreciation
- −$1,396
- Taxable income
- $5,136
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,233
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,362/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,696
- Household income
- $34,468
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1418.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 36.51%
- Current HPI
- 234.0465
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+314.3% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $58,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-13 Listed $58,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-01-19 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-01-19 Sold (MLS) $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-01-16 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-01-16 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-01-02 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-01-02 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2024-01-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-01-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-12-13 Price Changed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-12-12 Price Changed $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-11-18 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-18 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2023-11-05 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-05 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-11-03 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-03 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2023-10-27 Listed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-10-27 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-10-25 Coming Soon $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-10-25 Coming Soon $55,000 REALCOMP
- 1993-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,580 · +124.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…