206 Dogwood Ct · Shady Spring, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.4/10.0
$2,050
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Unit has a renovated kitchen with granite counter-tops, stainless steel appliances, custom cabinets & hardwood flooring which runs into the dining, living & entryway. Spacious living room with vaulted ceiling, deck access & lots of natural lighting. Large family room could also be a 4th bedroom. The master has a private deck, double closets & updated bath. Additional bedrooms have private baths.
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Custom cabinets
- Galley kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Glade Springs; Directions available
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with pool; HOA covers snow removal, trash, and security
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2 covered spaces; 2-car attached garage; Open parking; Asphalt driveway/parking
- Security: Association security
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Underground utilities
- Home design: Residential property; Residential lease
- Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Deck (covered); Level, landscaped lot; Shed(s); Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Pantry; Entrance foyer; High ceilings; Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Crawl space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $2k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $976 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $2k).
- Recommended offer: $2k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 577.4% vs local median 1.8% in Shady Spring — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#214 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Raleigh County Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #14 of 55 in WV (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Shady Spring Elementary (math 36% / reading 43%, grade F, #108 of 377 statewide, top 33%, 414 students, 0% FRL); Shady Spring Middle School (math 30% / reading 46%, grade F, #25 of 109 statewide, top 23%, 578 students, 0% FRL); Shady Spring High (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #11 of 110 statewide, top 11%, 828 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Raleigh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $14 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $62 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Raleigh County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $574 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($2k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $2k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 61.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 577.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2039.73%
- DSCR
- 91.76
- GRM
- 0.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 108.71×
- Total profit
- $61,828
- Equity at exit
- $306
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 234.33×
- Total profit
- $133,932
- Equity at exit
- $177
Cash invested: $574 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25832
- Home prices YoY
- -4.0%
- Active inventory
- 150
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,253 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$11
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$3 /mo · $31/yr
- Insurance
- −$1
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $976
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $512
- Closing costs
- $62
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending
-
2026-04-27$2,050 Active
-
2017-12-14soldstatus $1,700 422-char remark
Show marketing remark (422 chars)
Unit has a renovated kitchen with granite counter-tops, stainless steel appliances, custom cabinets & hardwood flooring which runs into the dining, living & entryway. Spacious living room with vaulted ceiling, deck access & lots of natural lighting. Large family room could also be a 4th bedroom. The master has a private deck, double closets & updated bath. Additional bedrooms have private baths.
-
2017-11-10$1,700 422-char remark
Show marketing remark (422 chars)
Unit has a renovated kitchen with granite counter-tops, stainless steel appliances, custom cabinets & hardwood flooring which runs into the dining, living & entryway. Spacious living room with vaulted ceiling, deck access & lots of natural lighting. Large family room could also be a 4th bedroom. The master has a private deck, double closets & updated bath. Additional bedrooms have private baths.
-
1990-10-04soldstatus $102,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,036
- − Mortgage interest
- −$115
- − Property taxes
- −$31
- − Insurance
- −$10
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,203
- − Management
- −$1,203
- − Depreciation
- −$60
- Taxable income
- $12,414
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,979
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,729/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Raleigh County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5401230
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,828
- Composite
- 29.74/100
- National rank
- #6445
- State rank
- #14 of 55 in WV
Livability — Shady Spring
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #214
- US rank
- #18668
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,843
Population outlook (Raleigh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 73,505 people
- By 2030
- 70,954 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 66,038 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 61,919 · -15.8%
- By 2075
- 51,954 · -29.3%
- By 2100
- 39,724 · -46.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Raleigh
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.0% · R 76.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.5pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -54.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.3 2020: R+50.4 2016: R+52.8 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+25.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.10%
- Current HPI
- 218.4344
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-98.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — BBOR
- 2026-04-27 Listed $2,050 BBOR
- 2017-12-14 Sold (MLS) $1,700 BBOR
- 2017-11-10 Listed $1,700 BBOR
- 1990-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,954 · +10.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…