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43 Virginia Ave
D+ Composite 49.2
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.6/30.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.6/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

43 Virginia Ave · Colonie, NY 12205
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 794 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1923 3,049 sqft lot Est $216k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is a Fannie Mae Homepath property. Located in a prime Town of Colonie location between Albany St and Central Ave/ Rt 5. All new heating system and hot water heater. Newly framed interior and updated windows. Newer electrical panel box. Shell Condition

Key facts

  • Updated windows
  • Handicap accessible
  • Hot water heater

Tags

HANDICAP ACCESSIBLENEWER HEATING SYSTEMHOT WATER HEATERNEW SKYLIGHTSNEWLY FRAMED INTERIORUPDATED WINDOWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $217k (3.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $217k (3.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.8% in Colonie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#37 in NY, #572 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, cost of living D.
  • South Colonie Central School District (suburban): math 63% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #215 of 590 in NY (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Colonie Central High School (math 96% / reading 72%, grade A, #404 of 1,100 statewide, top 37%, 1,538 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools average 39% FRL vs 19% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 84% at this address vs 60% district-wide (+24 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the South Colonie Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $225k implies a 221% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $216,700 (3.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.45%
Cash-on-cash
4.13%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$215,968
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
41 Waterman Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 864 (+9%) 23mo $235,000 $272 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.8%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-22,645
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
-0.4%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,942
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12205

Active inventory
105
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,167 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$221 /mo · $2,656/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$455
Net cashflow
$217

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,892
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $344 -5% $281 +0% $217 +5% $153 +10% $90
Rent -10% $46 -5% $131 +0% $217 +5% $303 +10% $388
Rate -1.0pp $330 -0.5pp $274 base $217 +0.5pp $159 +1.0pp $99

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-04-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-16
    listed $225,000 Active
  3. 2017-07-24
    soldstatus $70,000
  4. 2015-12-18
    soldstatus $37,000 Closed (Final Sale) 256-char remark
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    This is a Fannie Mae Homepath property. Located in a prime Town of Colonie location between Albany St and Central Ave/ Rt 5. All new heating system and hot water heater. Newly framed interior and updated windows. Newer electrical panel box. Shell Condition

  5. 2015-12-12
    price $38,000 256-char remark
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    This is a Fannie Mae Homepath property. Located in a prime Town of Colonie location between Albany St and Central Ave/ Rt 5. All new heating system and hot water heater. Newly framed interior and updated windows. Newer electrical panel box. Shell Condition

  6. 2015-12-11
    status Pend (Under Cntr) 256-char remark
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    This is a Fannie Mae Homepath property. Located in a prime Town of Colonie location between Albany St and Central Ave/ Rt 5. All new heating system and hot water heater. Newly framed interior and updated windows. Newer electrical panel box. Shell Condition

  7. 2015-12-07
    historical 256-char remark
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    This is a Fannie Mae Homepath property. Located in a prime Town of Colonie location between Albany St and Central Ave/ Rt 5. All new heating system and hot water heater. Newly framed interior and updated windows. Newer electrical panel box. Shell Condition

  8. 2015-08-17
    historical 256-char remark
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    This is a Fannie Mae Homepath property. Located in a prime Town of Colonie location between Albany St and Central Ave/ Rt 5. All new heating system and hot water heater. Newly framed interior and updated windows. Newer electrical panel box. Shell Condition

  9. 2015-07-17
    listed $42,000 256-char remark
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    This is a Fannie Mae Homepath property. Located in a prime Town of Colonie location between Albany St and Central Ave/ Rt 5. All new heating system and hot water heater. Newly framed interior and updated windows. Newer electrical panel box. Shell Condition

  10. 1998-05-15
    soldstatus $23,000 41-char remark
    Show marketing remark (41 chars)

    EXTRA LOT 1500 60 X 100 -- Fair Condition

  11. 1998-03-13
    historical 41-char remark
    Show marketing remark (41 chars)

    EXTRA LOT 1500 60 X 100 -- Fair Condition

  12. 1997-12-16
    listed $45,000 41-char remark
    Show marketing remark (41 chars)

    EXTRA LOT 1500 60 X 100 -- Fair Condition

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,656 · $221/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,229 · $269/mo
Expected delta
+$574/yr (+$48/mo · 21.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,004
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$2,656
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,080
− Management
−$2,080
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$1,086
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$261
After-tax cash flow
$2,864/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Colonie Central School District
NCES district ID
3627210
Math proficiency
63% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$69,499
Composite
52.97/100
National rank
#1527
State rank
#215 of 590 in NY

Livability — Colonie

Score
85/100
State rank
#37
US rank
#572

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living D Crime C- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Albany County · 196,626 people
City population
25,912
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
Population (ZIP)
25,838
Household income
$91,020
Rent vs Own
28.6% rent · 71.4% own
Severe rent burden
530.0

Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
320,794 people
By 2030
327,401 · +2.1%
By 2040
338,218 · +5.4%
By 2050
348,467 · +8.6%
By 2075
381,693 · +19.0%
By 2100
393,809 · +22.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Asian 8% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Albany

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -182.10%
Current HPI
302.9752
Rent YoY
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+400.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $225,000 Global MLS
  • 2017-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2015-12-18 Sold (MLS) $37,000 Global MLS
  • 2015-12-12 Price Changed $38,000 Global MLS
  • 2015-12-11 Pending Global MLS
  • 2015-12-07 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2015-08-17 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2015-07-17 Listed $42,000 Global MLS
  • 1998-05-15 Sold (MLS) $23,000 Global MLS
  • 1998-03-13 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 1997-12-16 Listed $45,000 Global MLS

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,656 · -5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…