27344 Minnesota Dr · Harlingen, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.4
$49,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A welcoming home renovated and maintained 2 bedroom and 2 bathroom single wide mobile home. A spacious and open kitchen with renovated wood flooring, and with plenty of cabinetry. Living room with carpeted area. Exquisite color scheme throughout the home, and with a captivating cedar wood detailed ceiling in the second bedroom, and bathroom. Attached extended carport, and a vacant storage unit on property ready to be used! 55+ Community Park.
Key facts
- Vacant storage unit
- 5,001 sq ft lot
- Parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $49k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $398 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($937 rent vs $49k).
- Recommended offer: $43k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.0% vs local median 3.9% in Harlingen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#217 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, commute F, employment F.
- La Feria ISD (suburban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #630 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sam Houston El (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 440 students, 87% FRL); W B Green J H (math 24% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,077 of 1,662 statewide, top 66%, 454 students, 85% FRL); La Feria H S (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 909 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 50% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 653 active listings in the ZIP; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 200 days — a 12% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 200 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.77%
- DSCR
- 2.55
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $67,100
- List price
- $49,000
- Delta
- -26.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 900 Tangerine Dr | 1.39mi | 2/2.0 | 920 (-6%) | 15mo | $110,000 | $120 | 42 |
| 14610 Oak St | 1.46mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,052 (+7%) | 5mo | $56,999 | $54 | 41 |
| 25919 Maple Dr | 1.40mi | 2/1.5 | 896 (-9%) | 12mo | $75,000 | $84 | 39 |
| 14938 Business 83 | 0.74mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 976 (-0%) | 32mo | $62,000 | $64 | 36 |
| 26826 S Tamm Ln #57 | 1.01mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (-20%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $77 | 34 |
| 909 Hamlin St | 1.37mi | 2/1.5 | 912 (-7%) | 30mo | $60,000 | $66 | 31 |
| 26826 S Tamm Ln #34 | 1.01mi | 2/1.0 | 834 (-15%) | 31mo | $75,000 | $90 | 16 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $14,653
- Equity at exit
- $7,306
- IRR
- 32.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.54×
- Total profit
- $34,821
- Equity at exit
- $4,237
Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 4 active · 2 under contract
- Median asking
- $109,700 ($104/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 135 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -33.9% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78552
- Home prices YoY
- -13.8%
- Rents YoY
- -1.9%
- Active inventory
- 653
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $937 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$257
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$61 /mo · $735/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$4
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$197
- Net cashflow
- $398
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $431 | -5% $415 | +0% $398 | +5% $381 | +10% $364 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $324 | -5% $361 | +0% $398 | +5% $435 | +10% $472 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $422 | -0.5pp $410 | base $398 | +0.5pp $385 | +1.0pp $372 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,250
- Closing costs
- $1,470
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $49,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $49,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $49,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $49,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $49,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $49,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $49,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $49,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $49,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $49,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $49,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $49,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $49,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $49,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $49,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $49,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $49,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $49,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $49,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $49,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $49,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $49,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $49,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $49,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $49,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $49,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $49,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $49,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $49,000 Active 165 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $49,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $49,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $49,000 Active 162 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $49,000 Active 161 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $49,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $49,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $49,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $49,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $49,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $49,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $49,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $49,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $49,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,000 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $49,000 Active 138 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,244
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,745
- − Property taxes
- −$735
- − Insurance
- −$245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$899
- − Management
- −$899
- − HOA
- −$48
- − Depreciation
- −$1,425
- Taxable income
- $4,246
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,019
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,752/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
A well-maintained and renovated 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom single-wide mobile home with good curb appeal and potential for further value enhancement.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Resale Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Improves aesthetic and value ↑
- Both Install smart home features — Enhances comfort and marketability ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- La Feria ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4826040
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,306
- Composite
- 25.41/100
- National rank
- #7460
- State rank
- #630 of 826 in TX
Livability — Harlingen
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #217
- US rank
- #5347
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Cameron County · 441,603 people
- City population
- 95,667
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,332
- Household income
- $69,811
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4% of renters
Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 441,603 people
- By 2030
- 448,113 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 456,385 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 456,294 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 423,851 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 342,787 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 80% Two or more races 31% White 16% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 75%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 49% English-only · Spanish 49% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cameron
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.61%
- Current HPI
- 197.1906
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.87%
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-10.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Relisted — MCALLENMLS
- 2026-04-02 Pending — MCALLENMLS
- 2026-01-14 Listed $49,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-01-17 Listed $55,000 MCALLENMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…