912 Dennis · Leesville, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great starter or investor home here in this 3/1 conveniently located in Lee Hills. Home needs some TLC, but could easily be an investment property or a home for the first-time buyer with a small family!
Key facts
- Generating income
- Close to amenities
- Heart of leesville
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $383 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 5.5% in Leesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#30 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Vernon Parish (rural): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #18 of 98 in LA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Rosepine Elementary School (math 25% / reading 50%, grade F, #247 of 646 statewide, top 39%, 830 students, 55% FRL); Vernon Middle School (math 30% / reading 41%, grade F, #91 of 218 statewide, top 42%, 477 students, 60% FRL); Leesville High School (math 32% / reading 54%, grade F, #66 of 265 statewide, top 25%, 884 students, 47% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.6%/yr); 249 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 26 units permitted in Vernon Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Vernon County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask is 27% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $70k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.45%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $123,206
- List price
- $70,000
- Delta
- -43.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1209 Pinecrest St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,020 (-2%) | 5mo | $32,000 | $31 | 72 |
| 800 Marvin Ave | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+5%) | 8mo | $125,000 | $114 | 64 |
| 1110 Spruce St | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,100 (+5%) | 7mo | $45,000 | $41 | 64 |
| 1101 Pinckney Ave | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 895 (-14%) | 22mo | $85,000 | $95 | 50 |
| 105 Nelda St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,135 (+9%) | 11mo | $135,500 | $119 | 49 |
| 2110 Thompson St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,028 (-2%) | 18mo | $140,000 | $136 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $18,632
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 33.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.73×
- Total profit
- $73,046
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 19 active
- Months of supply
- 57.0 mo (2%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $108,900 ($96/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 130 d
- This list price
- 16% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +23.3% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 71446
- Home prices YoY
- -32.1%
- Rents YoY
- 9.6%
- Active inventory
- 249
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,057 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $670/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $383
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $423 | -5% $403 | +0% $383 | +5% $363 | +10% $343 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $299 | -5% $341 | +0% $383 | +5% $425 | +10% $466 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $418 | -0.5pp $401 | base $383 | +0.5pp $365 | +1.0pp $346 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1403 Aaron St Leesville, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 926 | $1,050 | $1.13 | 93d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 306 W Harriet St Apt 6 Leesville, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $650 | $0.77 | 93d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 305 W Maggie St Apt 3 Leesville, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $600 | $0.71 | 93d | 1 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $70,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $70,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $70,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-04-17$70,000 Active 236-char remark
-
2024-05-03historical
-
2024-04-14
-
2022-01-26soldstatus 202-char remark
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
Great starter or investor home here in this 3/1 conveniently located in Lee Hills. Home needs some TLC, but could easily be an investment property or a home for the first-time buyer with a small family!
-
2021-09-15$55,000 202-char remark
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
Great starter or investor home here in this 3/1 conveniently located in Lee Hills. Home needs some TLC, but could easily be an investment property or a home for the first-time buyer with a small family!
-
2012-06-12soldstatus
-
2012-06-12soldstatus $36,500
-
2012-04-26$38,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $670 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $670 · $56/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,685
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$670
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,015
- − Management
- −$1,015
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $3,678
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$883
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,713/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This home presents an opportunity for moderate renovation, with the kitchen and bathrooms needing significant updates. Upgrades in these areas will significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Components & finishes AI
Deferred maintenance Est. $20,000–$60,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — roof appears old and weathered, likely in need of replacement
- Major Hvac (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — hvac unit appears old and weathered, likely in need of replacement
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen appliances — The appliances appear outdated and in disrepair, indicating a need for replacement.
- Major Bathroom fixtures — The bathroom fixtures and flooring show signs of wear, indicating a need for replacement or renovation.
- Moderate Exterior siding — The exterior siding appears weathered and could benefit from repainting or staining.
- Minor Landscaping — The landscaping is overgrown and could use trimming and maintenance.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Replace kitchen appliances — Upgrading the kitchen appliances will make the home more appealing to potential buyers and increase its resale value. ↑
- Rental Replace bathroom fixtures — Renovating the bathrooms will improve the home's rental appeal and potentially increase rental income. ↑
- Both Paint interior walls and ceilings — Painting the interior walls and ceilings will improve the home's appearance and increase its overall value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vernon Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201830
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -42.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,822
- Composite
- 36.42/100
- National rank
- #4674
- State rank
- #18 of 98 in LA
Livability — Leesville
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #5046
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leesville, LA
- County
- Vernon Parish · 45,401 people
- City population
- 21,275
- Metro
- Fort Polk South, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,275
- Household income
- $55,925
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9% of renters
Population outlook (Vernon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,401 people
- By 2030
- 43,015 · -5.3%
- By 2040
- 38,171 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 34,087 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 28,267 · -37.7%
- By 2100
- 25,486 · -43.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vernon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.9) · D 15.6% · R 83.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.5pp toward R · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -67.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.9 2020: R+64.9 2016: R+65.0 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.06%
- Current HPI
- 128.8849
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.60%
- Metro
- Fort Polk South, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+42.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2024-05-03 Rental Removed — RENTEC
- 2024-04-14 Listed for Rent — RENTEC
- 2022-01-26 Sold (MLS) — GFPAR
- 2021-09-15 Listed $55,000 GFPAR
- 2012-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $36,500 Public Records
- 2012-06-12 Sold (MLS) — GFPAR
- 2012-04-26 Listed $38,600 GFPAR
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $670 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…