CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1407 Kenwood Ave
B- Composite 66.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$225,000

1407 Kenwood Ave · Belding, MI 48809
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,495 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1925 8,712 sqft lot Est $239k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 1407 Kenwood Avenue! This beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is truly move-in ready and offers immediate possession, making it a must-see. The main living area features a spacious living room and dining room, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. You'll find three comfortable bedrooms, a full bathroom, and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. A very large bonus/flex room provides endless possibilities, ideal for a family room, home office, or play area. Step outside to enjoy the private backyard situated on an extra-deep lot, perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or creating your own outdoor oasis. Conveniently located near shops, restaurants, and an elementary school, this home combines comfort with a great location. Schedule your private showing today!

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1925

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1-car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Ranch-style single family residence; Living room; Family room; Dining area; Entry level includes main living spaces
  • Construction: Built in 1925; Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Shed(s) on the property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Second bedroom; Third bedroom
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $404 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.5% in Belding — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#169 in MI, #4,436 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Belding Area School District (town): math 23% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #398 of 540 in MI (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 94 units permitted in Ionia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Ionia County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $87k; list at $225k implies a 159% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $225,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.45%
Cash-on-cash
7.69%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$239,200
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1407 Kenwood Ave 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,473 (-2%) 1mo $235,000 $160 95
1498 Kenwood Ave 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-6%) 12mo $255,000 $182 76
825 School Bell Ct 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,510 (+1%) 16mo $299,900 $199 62
210 Midway St 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,672 (+12%) 16mo $278,000 $166 60
7718 Whites Bridge Rd 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,468 (-2%) 7mo $335,000 $228 60
509 W Congress St 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,499 (+0%) 7mo $230,000 $153 58
833 Morgan Dr 0.38mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,400 (-6%) 6mo $325,000 $232 56
933 Masonic Ave 0.41mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,408 (-6%) 11mo $200,000 $142 55
920 Masonic St 0.45mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,462 (-2%) 21mo $170,000 $116 53
515 N State Rd 0.68mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,606 (+7%) 9mo $195,000 $121 41
910 W Ellis St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,392 (-7%) 21mo $215,000 $154 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.9%
Equity multiple
3.35×
Total profit
$148,206
Equity at exit
$202,698
10-year hold
IRR
25.9%
Equity multiple
7.60×
Total profit
$416,107
Equity at exit
$437,126

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48809

Home prices YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
72
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,295 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$136 /mo · $1,627/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$482
Net cashflow
$404

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,784
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
372 White Pine Ct Belding, MI 4.0 2.5 1750 $2,295 $1.31 10d 1 1.02mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-04-11
    status Pending 796-char remark
    Show marketing remark (796 chars)

    Welcome to 1407 Kenwood Avenue! This beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is truly move-in ready and offers immediate possession, making it a must-see. The main living area features a spacious living room and dining room, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. You'll find three comfortable bedrooms, a full bathroom, and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. A very large bonus/flex room provides endless possibilities, ideal for a family room, home office, or play area. Step outside to enjoy the private backyard situated on an extra-deep lot, perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or creating your own outdoor oasis. Conveniently located near shops, restaurants, and an elementary school, this home combines comfort with a great location. Schedule your private showing today!

  2. 2026-04-11
    status Pending 796-char remark
    Show marketing remark (796 chars)

    Welcome to 1407 Kenwood Avenue! This beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is truly move-in ready and offers immediate possession, making it a must-see. The main living area features a spacious living room and dining room, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. You'll find three comfortable bedrooms, a full bathroom, and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. A very large bonus/flex room provides endless possibilities, ideal for a family room, home office, or play area. Step outside to enjoy the private backyard situated on an extra-deep lot, perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or creating your own outdoor oasis. Conveniently located near shops, restaurants, and an elementary school, this home combines comfort with a great location. Schedule your private showing today!

  3. 2026-04-11
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (796 chars)

    Welcome to 1407 Kenwood Avenue! This beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is truly move-in ready and offers immediate possession, making it a must-see. The main living area features a spacious living room and dining room, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. You'll find three comfortable bedrooms, a full bathroom, and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. A very large bonus/flex room provides endless possibilities, ideal for a family room, home office, or play area. Step outside to enjoy the private backyard situated on an extra-deep lot, perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or creating your own outdoor oasis. Conveniently located near shops, restaurants, and an elementary school, this home combines comfort with a great location. Schedule your private showing today!

  4. 2026-04-10
    listed $225,000 Active 796-char remark
    Show marketing remark (796 chars)

    Welcome to 1407 Kenwood Avenue! This beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is truly move-in ready and offers immediate possession, making it a must-see. The main living area features a spacious living room and dining room, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. You'll find three comfortable bedrooms, a full bathroom, and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. A very large bonus/flex room provides endless possibilities, ideal for a family room, home office, or play area. Step outside to enjoy the private backyard situated on an extra-deep lot, perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or creating your own outdoor oasis. Conveniently located near shops, restaurants, and an elementary school, this home combines comfort with a great location. Schedule your private showing today!

  5. 2026-04-10
    listed $225,000 Active 796-char remark
    Show marketing remark (796 chars)

    Welcome to 1407 Kenwood Avenue! This beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is truly move-in ready and offers immediate possession, making it a must-see. The main living area features a spacious living room and dining room, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. You'll find three comfortable bedrooms, a full bathroom, and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. A very large bonus/flex room provides endless possibilities, ideal for a family room, home office, or play area. Step outside to enjoy the private backyard situated on an extra-deep lot, perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or creating your own outdoor oasis. Conveniently located near shops, restaurants, and an elementary school, this home combines comfort with a great location. Schedule your private showing today!

  6. 2026-04-10
    listed $225,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (796 chars)

    Welcome to 1407 Kenwood Avenue! This beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is truly move-in ready and offers immediate possession, making it a must-see. The main living area features a spacious living room and dining room, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. You'll find three comfortable bedrooms, a full bathroom, and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. A very large bonus/flex room provides endless possibilities, ideal for a family room, home office, or play area. Step outside to enjoy the private backyard situated on an extra-deep lot, perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or creating your own outdoor oasis. Conveniently located near shops, restaurants, and an elementary school, this home combines comfort with a great location. Schedule your private showing today!

  7. 2004-12-22
    soldstatus $87,000
  8. 2004-12-22
    soldstatus $87,000
  9. 2004-12-22
    soldstatus $87,000
  10. 2004-08-25
    listed $93,000
  11. 2004-08-25
    listed $93,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,627 · $136/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,546 · $212/mo
Expected delta
+$919/yr (+$77/mo · 56.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,540
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$1,627
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,203
− Management
−$2,203
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable income
$1,233
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$296
After-tax cash flow
$4,550/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belding Area School District
NCES district ID
2604530
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$46,310
Composite
23.33/100
National rank
#7915
State rank
#398 of 540 in MI

Livability — Belding

Score
74/100
State rank
#169
US rank
#4436

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Belding, MI
Population (ZIP)
11,292

Population outlook (Ionia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,958 people
By 2030
63,321 · -1.0%
By 2040
61,544 · -3.8%
By 2050
58,682 · -8.2%
By 2075
48,909 · -23.5%
By 2100
35,867 · -43.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Iranian 7% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ionia

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.9) · D 33.3% · R 65.2% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.0pp toward R · 2008: -5.8pp · 2024: -31.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.9 2020: R+30.3 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+12.8 2008: R+5.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.30%
Current HPI
412.5108
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+141.9% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-11 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-11 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-11 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $225,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $225,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $225,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
  • 2004-12-22 Sold (MLS) $87,000 REALCOMP
  • 2004-12-22 Sold (MLS) $87,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2004-08-25 Listed $93,000 REALCOMP
  • 2004-08-25 Listed $93,000 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,627 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…