223 Cardinal Ln · Tipton, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,240
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special! Unlock the potential of this home featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with a versatile layout ready for transformation. The bright, spacious interior and generous lot size provide endless possibilities for updates or expansion. The exterior includes a carport, additional storage, and a spacious backyard. Seize this opportunity conveniently located in a desirable neighborhood. Buyer to verify all information. Being sold As Is. No repairs, inspections, or warranties will be provided. No disclosures available. To submit offers/bids or view additional details, please visit www.mynextbid.com. All offers/bids will be subject to Seller Approval (minimums may apply).
Key facts
- Versatile layout
- Spacious backyard
- Carport
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $185 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($857 rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#421 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Tipton R-VI (town): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #277 of 324 in MO (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Moniteau County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $520 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.56%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-387
- Equity at exit
- $11,219
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $14,851
- Equity at exit
- $6,505
Cash invested: $21,067 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65081
- Home prices YoY
- -20.4%
- Active inventory
- 15
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $857 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$395
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $784/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$180
- Net cashflow
- $185
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,810
- Closing costs
- $2,257
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 686-char remark
Show marketing remark (686 chars)
Investor Special! Unlock the potential of this home featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with a versatile layout ready for transformation. The bright, spacious interior and generous lot size provide endless possibilities for updates or expansion. The exterior includes a carport, additional storage, and a spacious backyard. Seize this opportunity conveniently located in a desirable neighborhood. Buyer to verify all information. Being sold As Is. No repairs, inspections, or warranties will be provided. No disclosures available. To submit offers/bids or view additional details, please visit www.mynextbid.com. All offers/bids will be subject to Seller Approval (minimums may apply).
-
2026-04-22price $75,240 686-char remark
Show marketing remark (686 chars)
Investor Special! Unlock the potential of this home featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with a versatile layout ready for transformation. The bright, spacious interior and generous lot size provide endless possibilities for updates or expansion. The exterior includes a carport, additional storage, and a spacious backyard. Seize this opportunity conveniently located in a desirable neighborhood. Buyer to verify all information. Being sold As Is. No repairs, inspections, or warranties will be provided. No disclosures available. To submit offers/bids or view additional details, please visit www.mynextbid.com. All offers/bids will be subject to Seller Approval (minimums may apply).
-
2026-03-13price $79,420 686-char remark
Show marketing remark (686 chars)
Investor Special! Unlock the potential of this home featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with a versatile layout ready for transformation. The bright, spacious interior and generous lot size provide endless possibilities for updates or expansion. The exterior includes a carport, additional storage, and a spacious backyard. Seize this opportunity conveniently located in a desirable neighborhood. Buyer to verify all information. Being sold As Is. No repairs, inspections, or warranties will be provided. No disclosures available. To submit offers/bids or view additional details, please visit www.mynextbid.com. All offers/bids will be subject to Seller Approval (minimums may apply).
-
2026-02-09$83,600 Active 686-char remark
Show marketing remark (686 chars)
Investor Special! Unlock the potential of this home featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with a versatile layout ready for transformation. The bright, spacious interior and generous lot size provide endless possibilities for updates or expansion. The exterior includes a carport, additional storage, and a spacious backyard. Seize this opportunity conveniently located in a desirable neighborhood. Buyer to verify all information. Being sold As Is. No repairs, inspections, or warranties will be provided. No disclosures available. To submit offers/bids or view additional details, please visit www.mynextbid.com. All offers/bids will be subject to Seller Approval (minimums may apply).
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $784 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $784 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,279
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,215
- − Property taxes
- −$784
- − Insurance
- −$376
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$822
- − Management
- −$822
- − Depreciation
- −$2,189
- Taxable income
- $1,070
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$257
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,968/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tipton R-VI
- NCES district ID
- 2930330
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,395
- Composite
- 24.78/100
- National rank
- #7599
- State rank
- #277 of 324 in MO
Livability — Tipton
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #421
- US rank
- #17476
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tipton, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,377
Population outlook (Moniteau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,265 people
- By 2030
- 16,309 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 16,437 · +1.1%
- By 2050
- 16,475 · +1.3%
- By 2075
- 15,956 · -1.9%
- By 2100
- 14,142 · -13.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Moniteau
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.8) · D 18.1% · R 80.8% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.0pp toward R · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -62.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.8 2020: R+62.0 2016: R+60.3 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.94%
- Current HPI
- 186.7022
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-10.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $75,240 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $79,420 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-09 Listed $83,600 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $784 · +9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…