14806 Grant St · Dolton, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Completely remodeled and absolutely stunning, this move-in ready 4 bedroom, 2 bath home offers the perfect blend of modern elegance and functional design, featuring a large sun-filled living room accented by crisp raised-panel white doors and trim throughout, a main level with wonderful potential for related living thanks to a spacious bedroom and beautifully updated full bath with detailed tile accents and oversized tub, a gorgeous fully updated kitchen boasting white cabinetry, sleek white quartz countertops, and stainless steel appliances, and a spacious family room highlighted by a custom entertainment wall; the finished basement extends the living space with a huge fourth bedroom and p
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Updated full bath
- Finished basement
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (owned), 2 parking spaces total
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 2 stories; Fee simple ownership; Rehab completed in 2025; Built before 1978
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Estimated age: 71–80 years
- Exterior features: Landscaped lot; Fenced yard; Lot dimensions approx. 124 x 40
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; Eating area / table space
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on second floor (approx. 18 x 11, carpet); Second bedroom on second floor (approx. 12 x 10, carpet); Third bedroom on main level (approx. 13 x 10, carpet); Fourth bedroom in basement (approx. 20 x 11, vinyl)
- Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms and primary bedroom; Vinyl in family room, kitchen, dining room, living room, and basement
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Soaking tub
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Finished full basement; L-shaped dining room; 8 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $229k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $526 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $229k).
- Recommended offer: $208k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,655/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 919% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($208k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $77k; list at $229k implies a 197% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.84%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $177,840
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 515 W 146 St | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 1,572 (+1%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $165 | 80 |
| 14446 Park Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,549 (-1%) | 3mo | $126,400 | $82 | 63 |
| 14326 Irving Ave | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 1,597 (+2%) | 3mo | $195,000 | $122 | 61 |
| 504 144th St | 0.56mi | 4/1.5 | 1,619 (+4%) | 7mo | $67,000 | $41 | 60 |
| 14407 Irving Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,621 (+4%) | 2mo | $146,000 | $90 | 58 |
| 440 Engle St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,700 (+9%) | 1mo | $189,900 | $112 | 57 |
| 14509 Park Ave | 0.42mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,454 (-7%) | 3mo | $223,000 | $153 | 54 |
| 14519 Sanderson Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,704 (+9%) | 2mo | $166,000 | $97 | 53 |
| 15037 Irving Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,357 (-13%) | 5mo | $204,900 | $151 | 49 |
| 14521 S Michigan Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,497 (-4%) | 5mo | $200,000 | $134 | 46 |
| 14508 Ingleside Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,406 (-10%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $114 | 38 |
| 14644 Ellis Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,357 (-13%) | 7mo | $145,000 | $107 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $10,433
- Equity at exit
- $34,145
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $116,195
- Equity at exit
- $19,800
Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60419
- Home prices YoY
- -25.7%
- Rents YoY
- 9.7%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,655 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,201
- Tax from tax record
- −$276 /mo · $3,310/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$558
- Net cashflow
- $526
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,250
- Closing costs
- $6,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14916 Langley Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1418 | $2,500 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 14305 Irving Ave Unit 2 Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 14844 Wabash Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1277 | $2,320 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 7d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 14124 Manor Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,390 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 14505 Minerva Ave Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2100 | $2,500 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 14433 Woodlawn Ave Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 18d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 15231 Hastings Dr Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1487 | $2,146 | $1.44 | 7d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 19 E 140th Ct Riverdale, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2076 | $2,231 | $1.07 | 7d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 14716 Dorchester Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,800 | $2.24 | 19d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1429 Kasten Dr Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 1d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $229,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $229,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $229,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $229,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $229,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $229,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $229,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-08statusdays on market $229,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $229,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 102 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $229,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 99 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $229,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 98 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $229,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 97 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $229,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 96 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $229,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 95 DOM
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2026-05-13historical Contingent - Continue to Show
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2026-04-29status Active
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2026-03-27historical Contingent - Continue to Show
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2026-02-25$229,000 Active
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2026-02-25historical
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2025-12-08Active
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2025-11-22historical Contingent - Continue to Show
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2025-11-21historical
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2025-10-31price
-
2025-10-16status Active
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2025-10-12historical Contingent - Continue to Show
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2025-09-08Active
-
1997-07-11soldstatus $77,000
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1983-09-16soldstatus $53,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,310 · $276/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,254 · $355/mo
- Expected delta
- +$944/yr (+$79/mo · 28.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,864
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,828
- − Property taxes
- −$3,310
- − Insurance
- −$1,145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,549
- − Management
- −$2,549
- − Depreciation
- −$6,662
- Taxable income
- $2,822
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$677
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,630/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Dolton
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #263
- US rank
- #4883
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dolton, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 20,825
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,825
- Household income
- $57,887
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 919.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.88%
- Current HPI
- 193.2346
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.65%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+332.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-25 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-25 Listed $229,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-08 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-22 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-21 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-31 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-16 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-12 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-08 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
- 1983-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2023): $3,310 · +106.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…