7203 W Brady Ln · Homosassa Springs, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Check out this WELL-MAINTAINED and MOVE-IN READY 2021 3/2 only a few minute drive from the Gulf and a 10-15 min drive to Crystal River! Prominent features include: spilt and open floor plan, stainless steel appliances, main bedroom ensuite with shower/tub combo, inside laundry, water softener and filtration systems, detached carport/toy port with slab, paved driveway, partial landscaping, and fenced yard with privacy fencing. No HOA fees or regulations! High-speed internet available. Call today to schedule a showing!
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Main bedroom ensuite
- Paved driveway
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport; Driveway parking; Paved parking; Total of 1 parking space
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Private well water
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Single-story; Home faces south
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Chain link, privacy, and vinyl fencing; Outdoor pool; Cleared and landscaped lot; Rectangular lot; Paved road frontage on a county road
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Water purifier (owned)
- Flooring: Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Open floor plan; Walk-in closets; Master suite on the main level; High-speed internet
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Water heater; Water softener (owned)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-71 ($-847/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $227k (5.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (18.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $195k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#391 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Homosassa Elementary School (math 62% / reading 47%, grade C, #892 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 411 students, 78% FRL); Crystal River Middle School (math 49% / reading 47%, grade C-, #286 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 900 students, 64% FRL); Crystal River High School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #336 of 667 statewide, top 51%, 1,249 students, 56% FRL).
- Market conditions: 582 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $180k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.07%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $167,508
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6871 W Sasser St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-3%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $152 | 77 |
| 7315 W Hadenotter Ln | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,295 (+9%) | 9mo | $185,000 | $143 | 68 |
| 5143 S Knobhill Ter | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (-9%) | 2mo | $82,000 | $76 | 67 |
| 7510 W Otter St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-3%) | 13mo | $161,000 | $140 | 67 |
| 5535 S Scarlett Oak Ter | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+13%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $126 | 60 |
| 5372 S June Ter | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+2%) | 13mo | $190,000 | $156 | 57 |
| 5602 S Woodside Ter | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-11%) | 8mo | $135,000 | $128 | 54 |
| 5573 S Will Pt | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+5%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $92 | 52 |
| 7150 W Parkway Ln | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,088 (-8%) | 12mo | $95,000 | $87 | 46 |
| 4631 S Memorial Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+9%) | 12mo | $199,000 | $154 | 42 |
| 4931 S Phial Pt | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+13%) | 8mo | $190,000 | $141 | 41 |
| 7627 W Autumn St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+13%) | 8mo | $205,000 | $153 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-43,371
- Equity at exit
- $35,770
- IRR
- -10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-43,562
- Equity at exit
- $20,742
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34446
- Home prices YoY
- -10.4%
- Active inventory
- 582
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,946 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax from tax record
- −$183 /mo · $2,201/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $-71
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $65 | -5% $-3 | +0% $-71 | +5% $-138 | +10% $-206 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-224 | -5% $-147 | +0% $-71 | +5% $6 | +10% $83 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $50 | -0.5pp $-10 | base $-71 | +0.5pp $-133 | +1.0pp $-196 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5323 S Knobhill Ter Homosassa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,400 | $1.51 | 22d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 5900 S Oakridge Dr Homosassa, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,575 | $1.50 | 22d | 1 | 1.02mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $239,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $239,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $239,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $239,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $239,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $239,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $239,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $239,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-22$239,900 Active
-
2023-03-16soldstatus $179,500
-
1989-01-01soldstatus $18,000
-
1984-04-01soldstatus $12,000
-
1983-07-01soldstatus $7,200
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,201 · $183/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,201 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,352
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$2,201
- − Insurance
- −$1,997
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,868
- − Management
- −$1,868
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable loss
- −$5,000
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,200
- After-tax cash flow
- $353/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Citrus
- NCES district ID
- 1200270
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,618
- Composite
- 41.28/100
- National rank
- #3519
- State rank
- #44 of 73 in FL
Livability — Homosassa Springs
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #391
- US rank
- #6877
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- County
- Citrus County · 111,314 people
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,102
- Household income
- $58,802
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 121.0
Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,622 people
- By 2030
- 136,886 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 132,009 · -4.8%
- By 2050
- 125,196 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 108,570 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 84,454 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Citrus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.11%
- Current HPI
- 277.2576
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+3231.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $239,900 RACC
- 2023-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $179,500 Public Records
- 1989-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
- 1984-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
- 1983-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $7,200 Public Records
Property tax history
+20.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,201 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…